Brian Walsh

Chris Murphy could very well be the victim of his own fortune on November 2nd.  Riding high on the waves of the anti-status quo sentiment that swept him into office in 2006, he also held on to his seat in 2008 thanks to Obama fever.  But Americans have woken up to the disastrous policies of this Congress and Administration and once again are hungry for change—and that spells trouble for Murphy.  As his opponent, Sam Caliguiri, puts into motion a calculated campaign, Murphy may find himself, for the first time, out of luck.

While Connecticut leans Democratic, the Fifth District is the most Republican in the Nutmeg State and voters are ready to put some red in the state’s all-blue congressional delegation.  Comprising much of the state’s western region, it encompasses the northern part of Fairfield County and includes cities and towns such as Danbury, Waterbury, and Meriden. Republican Rep. Nancy Johnson represented the area for nearly 25 years before she was defeated by Murphy in 2006.  George W. Bush and John Kerry essentially tied here in 2004--each pulled in 49% of the vote in 2004--while the district went to President Obama in 2008 after he garnered 56 percent of the vote.  With a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, this District is by no means safe for Democrats—and they know it.

Murphy got lucky: he was opportunistic and capitalized on the Democrat wave in 2006 and beat longtime Republican Rep. Nancy Johnson.  He can thank the emotional frenzy the Obama campaign ushered in for his reelection in 2008.  Unfortunately, he viewed that luck as a mandate to completely abandon the district’s independent tendencies for a liberal national agenda.  Murphy seems to have forgotten the meaning of the word ‘independent’ as he has consistently voted for the Democrats’ irresponsible tax-and-spend ways: the stimulus, health care reform, and the bailouts all received his support.  So while his constituents want jobs and economic stability first and foremost, he’s busy voting for measures that will drown future generations in debt and sink local businesses.  Even worse, he’s doing this all the while eyeing his next move up the political ladder.

Brian Walsh

Brian Walsh is the Political Director of the National Republican Congressional Committee.