Brandon Howell

Indicative of that: Democratic-leaning polling shop Public Policy Polling has yet to test the former president’s Peach State numbers despite including Sam Nunn in its first survey following Michelle Nunn’s Senate announcement.

Those factors serve to further undermine a midterm campaign in a state that’s not sent a Democrat to the Governor’s Mansion since 1998, when Roy Barnes netted 53 percent of the vote.

The three gubernatorial contests since have seen the party break 45 percent just once, and that was over a decade ago when Sonny Perdue dashed Barnes’s re-election hopes.

The latter’s 2010 comeback effort was rejected by a 10 point margin, meaning it’d take a remarkable turnaround to make that up in just four years’ time, regardless of how much money the Left pours into the effort.

While Carter likely poses a more formidable threat than the ever-polarizing Barnes, the odds of an upset remain unlikely. Georgia’s demographic shifts likely mean purple shades are coming, but it’d take some serious lightening in a bottle for the Carter-Nunn slate to bring it about next November.

All of which leaves Jason Carter a man arriving early for a would-be party, not Georgia’s next governor.


Brandon Howell

Brandon Howell is a conservative communications strategist and contributor to the Peach State political blog Georgia Tipsheet.