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Friday, January 18, 2008
William F. Buckley :: Townhall.com Columnist
It's Really Quite Simple
by William F. Buckley
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


It is a field day for practitioners in politics. In South Carolina the hottest issue this week wasn't the specter of recession and what the federal government should do about it, but the Confederate flag. A citizens' group pressing for the restoration of public display of the flag was running ads promoting Mike Huckabee over John McCain and Mitt Romney.

Huckabee, one South Carolinian said, is "a Southerner, who understands why Southerners value our heritage." Huckabee himself said: "You don't like people from outside the state coming in and telling you what to do with your flag. In fact, if somebody came to Arkansas and told us what to do with our flag, we'd tell them what to do with the pole."

In Michigan, on the other hand, the economy dominated the campaign, but the candidates concentrated on Michigan's distinctive problems, posed by the declining American auto industry. Such long-term problems were not what was exercising the president and congressional leaders in Washington. They were concerned with how they could jolt the economy out of the slide caused by the mortgage crisis.

The prescriptive remedy for overspending is reduced spending. Although it isn't being said in as many words, the trouble we are in is an aspect of overspending. But, paradoxically, the solution is not only to spend more, but to spend it quickly.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, proffers recent findings about how this might be done. An increase in unemployment benefits, he says, produces about $1.73 in additional consumer demand for every dollar spent. If Congress acted on that assumption, then $100 billion going directly to unemployment pools would increase consumer spending by $173 billion.

If Congress elected instead to energize the money being spent by reducing (or forgiving) taxes, it would do well, but not nearly so well: $100 billion in tax rebates would mean $119 billion infused into the economy. But hear this, $100 billion returned to taxpayers through reduced tax rates would mean only a $59 billion increase in spending. It should not surprise us that the propensity to consume is highest among the unemployed. But it is discouraging to be told that reduced income taxes do not result, pro tanto, in increased consumer spending.

The debate, therefore, rolls on. Almost certainly the package enacted by Congress will include a bit of every nostrum: lower tax rates, tax rebates, unemployment subsidies. What isn't likely to come out of it is generic reforms of a kind that might have spared us the collapse. And why is this so? Because economic practices are governed by political considerations. It is tempting to blame the leaking roof on the rainfall.

If there is a single image to crystallize the American dream, it would be house ownership. And the moment one makes widespread home ownership a priority, one is required to come up with a structure of credit devices.

Principal among these, of course, is the mortgage. There is nothing inherently corrupt about mortgage lending. The problem comes in when the mortgage is set at a figure that does not correspond with economic reality.

Why should such a thing happen? It could be that, when the petitioner comes in with his hard-luck story, the man on the other side of the desk is Jimmy Stewart, who ends up granting a much more generous mortgage than if he were a tough hombre making the rules.

But there would be a limit to how many such mortgages even a Jimmy Stewart could write if it hadn't been for the folks who came up with a way to sell the mortgages to third parties. These might be other banks. Or insurance companies. If you persuade an obliging behemoth to take on just, say, one-millionth of the risk you undertook, well, that is prudent at every level. But the problem comes when the banks that were willing to take just a little bit of risk find themselves staring at the million people on whom they depended for ballast-IOUs in hand.

When that happens you have only the government to lean on. And fortunately for the improvident lender, there are so very many people now involved, the general mood is cooperative. Whether Congress goes with tax-rate cuts or with rebates or with subsidies, the public is not likely to grind the government on the wheels of economic orthodoxy.

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About The Author

William F. Buckley, Jr. is editor-at-large of National Review, the prolific author of Miles Gone By: A Literary Autobiography.

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Subprime Nation


WND-Since it began to give credit ratings to nations in 1917, Moody’s has rated the United States triple-A. U.S. Treasury bonds have been seen as the most secure investment on earth. When crises erupt, nervous money seeks out the world’s great safe harbor, the United States. That reputation is now in peril.

Last week, Moody’s warned that if the United States fails to rein in the soaring cost of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, the nation’s credit rating will be down-graded within a decade.

Our political parties seem oblivious. Republicans, save Ron Paul, are all promising to expand the U.S. military and maintain all of our worldwide commitments to defend and subsidize scores of nations.

Democrats, with entitlement costs drowning the federal budget in red ink, are proposing a new entitlement – universal health coverage for the near 50 million who do not have it – another magnet for illegal aliens. Moody’s is telling America it needs a time of austerity, while the U.S. government is behaving like the governments we used to bail out.

READ MORE

http://controlcongress.com/uncategorized/subprime-nation

Sign me up as a grinder
Yes, the subprime mortgage mess is a mess. It got that way by fraudulent borrowers and too lax credit standards both caused by an unreasonable expectation that prices would continue to rise forever and appreciate away any bad decisions.

Oops.

The borrowers who committed fraud, and it is many by some accounts, should be prosecuted for defrauding the financial institution that originated the loan.

The originators and hence the subsequent holders of those notes are responsible for creating complex new loan types to get people into houses that could prove troublesome if rates rose on adjustable mtgs or even if they didn't and the people had a teaser rate guaranteed to make the payment go up and they could not afford the standard payment.

Let the people who made those decisions face the consequences. That is the surest way to avoid speculative bubbles in the first place. Bailing out anyone and everyone has become a national pasttime.

Oh my god, if we don't the economy will crater. BS.

As to how to spend our way out of a possible recession, there is only one fair way, lower taxes. I don't care what the damn mulipliers are for unemployment compensation or tax rebates etc. How about doing nothing? Ever consider the possibility Mr. Conservative

Lowering taxes is ALWAYS a good thing. There are as many ways to do so as carter has pills thanks to our tax code. There are certainly fairer ways than others to reduce taxes but, as long as they are reduced I won't complain.

John Konop
I was not aware Moody's rated U.S. Treasury securities. I thought they were in a class by themselves somewhere just above AAA. Obviously Moodys is signaling a warning to the nation that, hey our independent analysis is saying the same thing many have been saying for a while, the impending cash requirements of the promised federal entitlements is about to become a tsunami and our government (meaning we) are not prepared for it.

I wonder what will come first? Massive tax hikes to pay for it, possibly condemning the economy or big cuts in the entitlements themselves. One of the two will happen or a combination. Probably the latter. It all started with FDR and we have not found the political will since to rein it in. Just passed up an opportunity to privatise and solve the problem recently. I believe the guy who suggested it was taken out back and shot. In government we trust.

Hitchhiker
Thanks! I agree with you on the mortgage mess.

I'm a Realtor in South Florida, and saw this coming. This market became a mess.

This is a business that I've been in for 40 years, so I recognize fraud when I see it.


I'm throwing the BS flag on this
faux Confederate Flag issue stuff.

Attention Buckley: THERE IS NO CONTROVERSY ON THE CONFEDERATE FLAG. That issue has long been over.

This is the work of Huckleberry and his hounds trying to stir up support and he is being fully supported by the media who love controversy.

You really should make a few phone calls and talk to some people before you repeat "political rumors".

$170 Billion Stimulus Package
Let us say the population of the United States is 340 million American citizens who are alive and can very well present themselves as such.

If this is indeed true this means each American citizen could receive exactly $500,000,000 MILLION DOLLARS! Mr. President this should give you some spending back into the economy and jolt every market and industry to start manufacturing stuff again.

Why, hell yeah, perhaps some more small and large businesses would popup all over the country as well as bringing the stock market out of their slump. What a deal! Who woulda thunk it? Those folks in Washington, D.C. have finally seen the light.

Rove outlines plan to beat top ’08 Dems
What do you think?

THEHILL-Karl Rove provided state Republican officials Wednesday with his strategy for winning the 2008 presidential election, suggesting the party hammer the top Democrats on taxes, immigration, national security and a lack of experience.

Speaking to a group of state GOP executive directors from around the country at the Republican National Committee’s (RNC) winter meeting, Rove said Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) and Barack Obama (Ill.) are beatable.

The former adviser to the president made no mention of former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.), who is trailing both Clinton and Obama in most polls.

On Clinton, Rove said the senator talks about fiscal responsibility but has introduced “$800 billion in new spending and the campaign is less than half over.”

READ MORE

http://controlcongress.com/uncategorized/rove-outlines-plan -to-beat-top-%e2%80%9908-dems


I'm with Hitchhiker...
Sometimes it's best to simply do nothing. In my opinion, this is one of those times.

Stimulating the economy
by giving everybody a lump sum is very similar to solving the problem of every worker by raising the minimum wage. Let's make the minimum wage $50/hour and there will be no working poor, and think of the incentive for people to get off those miserly welfare payments. So why stop at $800? Think of the boost giving everyone $100,000 would create? Even the most knee-jerk yellow dog liberal will admit these are impractical, but continue to defend the "liveable" minimum wage. The truth is that both a LMW and a lump distribution just kick the can down the road, enabling more of the individual stupidity and foolish self-indulgence that got us here in the first place. When fools and sloths are protected with assets confiscated from the wise and industrious, foolish sloth will increase, and here we are. When the chickens come home to roost, best that DC be mostly Dem. Otherwise the GOP is finished, and a third party will arise, populated by the Reagan coalition of the industrious and clear thinking.

Savage: You make a good point, but

I suspect there is a difference between a "one time" lump sum and a perm. minimum wage. (?)

Regardless of the whys and wherefores of the sub-primes, I do believe the real problem was the fraud perpetrated by those who pushed and who took advantage.

I know where my daughter lives in No. VA her neighborhood was pretty much taken over by (admitted) "illegal aliens" thanks to the sub primes and lax rules, etc.




The Absolute Wrong Reward
Those that have been morons in their borrowing and lending should not be bailed out. The money the government plans on spending to save this group from their own stupidity should be sent to those that have worked, planned, saved and put themselves in the position of making their payments on time. These people should be rewarded for doing things right. As it appears they will be making payments to those that did it wrong.

TruLib: Stimulate economy vs Bail out?

Maybe I'm missing a link here.. :-(

However, I agree 100% that none of the lending institutions, nor those who got in over their heads should be bailed out!

I sold my last townhouse a few years ago thinking that I was going to relocated. But then, partly because of the sub-prime, etc., the cost of housing went sky high. No way was I going to pay an inflated price for a house (large or small) regardless of the interest rate simply because I did not want to owe more on the house than I could sell it for when the market corrected itself.

It all comes down to personal responsibility or lack thereof.





Why I support Romney
ROMNEY is our best hope for a strong economy. Romney has turned failing businesses into productive , profitable ones. Romney knows how to create and hold jobs. He has a history of asking the right questions, intelligent listening, careful analysis and evaluation, and dynamic leadership. Without a strong economy, nothing else works. WE NEED Romney's business expertise and new vision to create a leaner more efficient government. Romney is a man of integrity and high moral standards. The closer you examine his life and his family, the more you will like him. Vote wisely, vote for Romney!

Stimulous
is media hype. Now everyone thinks we need it. Last time this was tried, the $500 went to pay debts not to stimulous- buying. Why not sit tight and ride this out as a correction? We are not in a recession according to many finincial people. 2% growth is predicted.

Pelosi and Reid working with the Republicans scares me. Comromise will probably mean more government and give aways and not the reform so desperately needed.

Debtor Nation
Pay attention to Buckley - I am a social liberal and an economic conservative - these are not mutually exclusive terms. We must reign in our attitude about debt.
Ohg
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/01/18/debtor-nation-and-der egulation-of-banking/

McCain People Be Afraid!
Professional, political parisites listen to LOBBYISTS who eventually get them into trouble! Have you forgotten the Lincoln Savings and Loan scandal of Arizona? Senator John McCain, who has been in Washington, D.C . 27 years, was one of the ringleaders of the "KEATING FIVE" that cost the American taxpayers $160 BILLION dollars. Keating was convicted of more than70 criminal violations. What will McCain do as POTUS? McCain accomplishments: McCain/Feingold(D)(FreeSpeech), McCain/Kennedy(D)(Amnesty Bill), McCain/Lieberman(I/D)(Energy Tax), Gang of 14(7D's/7R's)(Filibusters), Voted against Bush tax bill, against MLK Jr. Holiday, and anything else Republican if he was not a sponsor or writer of the bill. Be afraid! Be very afraid!
http://eclipptv.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=954&title=John_M cCain_in__quot_Missing__Presumed_Dead_quot _

http://eclipptv.com/viewVideo.php?video_id=956&title=Vietna m_Veterans_Against_McCain&vpkey=62acaf320c



FIGHT FIRE WITH FIRE?

.....Buckley ...

....Why not let people wander through the Treasury and let them keep all the money they can stuff into their pockets? ...If we can spend our way out of debt then this should be the way to go ...

.....I own two homes free and clear and the biggest mortage I ever carried was a 15 year note at 7 percent ....If banks who are prevented from red-lining by law ...sell notes to fools who cannot afford them ...then why should the taxpayers be forced to bail them out? ...

.....The Market will weed out the fools if the Government would just get out of the way and stop screwing things up with politically correct socially engineered regualtions .....COLOSSUS

Tax Rebate
Yesterday I was sitting with a large group of people when the subject of the proposed tax rebate came up. Every single person present said that he or she would take a rebate and put it in the bank---not spend it. If hard times are breathing down our necks, that would seem to be almost instinctive---it's like, if you hear there might be a food shortage coming up and somebody gives you a big box of canned goods, do you open all the cans and throw a party tonight or do you carefully put the cans away in your pantry? Even squirrels know to do this. The suggestion that everybody will run to Wal-Mart and buy more crap---or take a trip to Disneyland---is, I think, unrealistic.

Why not scratch the itches?
If high gas prices and health insurance affordability are the culprits, why not suspend collection of federal taxes on gasoline immediately and then earnestly get to work implementing the free market reforms that will make health care affordable?
Did you think you could kick up a huge fuss and run off illegals without economic dislocation?

It's very simple
Stand back and let it crash. Then rebuild.

The same people who were shrieking that denying credit to people who were not credit worthy was racism are now crying that, despite proof in hand that these same people WERE not credit-worthy, Q.E.D. is RACIST.

Someone once said that there is great value in making a few big failures early in life. But there is no value in failures if Mommy comes and bails you out.

Let them fail, pick up the pieces, and make a sadder but wiser decision next time.
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