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Saturday, September 13, 2008
Wayne Winegarden :: Townhall.com Columnist
Bailing Out Fannie and Freddie: Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain
by Wayne Winegarden
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Herbert Simon once remarked “"That which cannot continue forever – won’t." If only Secretary Paulson applied that wisdom to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs).

The government chartered Fannie Mae in 1938 to increase homeownership and home affordability in response to the Great Depression. Freddie Mac came along over 30 years later in 1970. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are an excellent case study illustrating the consequences that arise when vague notions of “Corporate Social Responsibility” are combined with a for-profit business model. In the case of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the consequences are diminished U.S. economic performance and increased overall financial risks.

The immediate problem prompting the latest financial bailout is the huge losses of the GSEs coupled with the size of their portfolio: together, both companies owned nearly $2 trillion in assets as of June 2008. Due to their mounting losses, the market was starving Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of the capital necessary for the firms to stay solvent. The sheer size of the companies meant that their troubles were feeding into the already stressed mortgage market, leading to higher home mortgage interest rates. Fears mounted that the higher home mortgage rates were threatening the already strained financial system. These fears forced the Treasury into action.

The Treasury’s actions officially recognized that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are in fact insolvent; and, their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), is now in control. Treasury Secretary Paulson’s program is designed to: ease the crisis at hand, preserve the assets of the GSEs, restore confidence in the Fannie and Freddie, mitigate the risks to the financial system, and try to minimize the ultimate cost to the U.S. taxpayer.

The Treasury’s plan does not address the larger systemic problems that helped to create the current mortgage market problems in the first place: the adverse economic incentives created by the current GSEs financial structure. Not linking the current solvency problem to the fundamental reforms necessary to prevent such crises from happening again squanders an opportunity to improve the workings of our financial system.

To see the adverse incentives, we need some background on Fannie and Freddie’s operations. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac increase liquidity in the residential mortgage market by purchasing mortgages from direct mortgage lenders (i.e. banks). Purchasing the mortgages provides funds to banks, increasing the banks’ supply of funds that are available for new mortgages. A larger supply of mortgage funds increases the quantity of mortgages extended and lowers the interest rate costs of mortgage. Thus, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are able to claim that “they increase the availability and affordability of home ownership” – their socially responsible activities.

But, there is a catch. Fannie’s and Freddie’s operations have been implicitly (now explicitly) backed by the U.S. government. While corporate titans, such as Enron or Bear Stearns, may go out of business, the U.S. government is perceived to be always capable of paying its bills. Government backing creates a safety premium for investors that invest in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The safety premium is a subsidy that confers real benefits to the GSEs and imposes real distortions on the financial markets.

The government subsidy to the GSEs allows them to raise funds at “below market” interest rates. Lower borrowing costs for Fannie and Freddie redirect resources away from other potential uses in the economy toward mortgages, raising the borrowing costs for other investments. Productive investments in other parts of the U.S. economy are, consequently, “crowded out” due to the favorable borrowing costs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Greater opportunities to fund emerging small businesses, increase economic efficiencies, or finance opportunities that people value more are subsequently lost.

The subsidy also creates adverse economic incentives for the GSEs themselves that compromises the efficiency of the mortgage market and violates the companies’ very raison d’être. The private shareholders of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reap the profits when their investment strategy makes money. But, when the strategy loses money, the government steps in and forces the taxpayer to share in the company’s losses. Consequently, the system provides the incentive and opportunity for individuals to profit from their risks but not suffer the consequences if these risks go bad. Under such circumstances, it should not be surprising that people take on more risk.

Perhaps more troubling, the government subsidy encourages Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to continue injecting excess mortgage liquidity into the system despite signs that a real estate bubble may be forming – why give up the opportunity to make money when prices are rising if the government will cover your losses when prices are falling. Due to the adverse economic incentives, the GSEs increase the volatility of the mortgage market; and, helped to fuel the housing bubble currently plaguing the nation by continuing to flood the housing market with liquidity at precisely the wrong time.

The CSR justification behind our current Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac policy is flawed. Their special status skews our economy’s capital allocation process and raises the overall risk to our mortgage markets. Treasury’s plan should have begun the process of dismantling or privatizing both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Instead, the plan is designed to remedy the crisis at hand and then punt on implementing reforms that would remedy the deeper adverse economic incentives exacerbating our current financial problems.

Because Treasury Secretary Paulson did not address the fundamental problems with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that helped to create the current financial problems in the first place, the country’s financial system remains vulnerable to the same problems in the future. More ominously, Fannie’s and Freddie’s business model provides a glimpse at the unintended and undesirable consequences that emerge from the current trend of companies implementing CSR-type policies.

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About The Author

Wayne H. Winegarden Ph.D. is a partner in the firm Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics.

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Here Comes The Socialist
This entire bail out reeks of socialism! Its the biggest socialist move ever made by a capitalist nation! If we continue down this slippery slope by bailing another financial institution we might as well name the USA the Socialist Republic of America!! I believe it may already be to late with the bail out of Freddie and Fannie!!! Thanks Congress and Mr President for putting this burden on our Children and Grand Children! You bunch of THUGS!

Bernanke and Lehman Brothers
Finally! Something that Bernanke doesn't want to bail out with taxpayer dollars. (At least as of today). I'm guessing that means that Bernanke's friends do not have a lot of money at Lehman.

A basic conceptual problem
When a bank or other institution buys mortages, it is buying indebtedness. When lots of mortages are rolled together to provide a new basis for further mortages, debts are being combined to generate still more debts. Now consider: how come I can't take my home mortgage, combine it with my neighbors' mortgages, and then go to the bank to borrow still more money? Crazy, I think you'll agree, but that's what underlies the mess that the government is now trying to deal with.

Indebtedness, whether for an individual or a company, should have some plausible relationship to productive economic activity by somebody. The mortgage system now collapsing around us does not. The result is a shaky pile of debt that falls apart when its foundations are weak. Conservatives love to rant about Social Security, calling it a Ponzi scheme. It looks to me like the mortgage market, and the banks and investors that became quite well-off because of it, have perpetrated another Ponzi scheme, backed, unfortunately, by the US taxpayer.

Take Back The Government
When the finger pointing is over, the practical fact is that the Democrats and the GOP have essentially split the power in Washington since 1981. The GOP has controlled the Presidency for 20 of the last 28 years, the Senate for 13 of 28 years, and the House for 12 of those 28 years. At the same time, the GOP had control of all three branches for five years from 2001 through 2006.

The bottom line is that the GOP could have, had they chosen, reformed Freddie and Fannie in those 5 years, but did not, and at the same time, the President and the Treasury could have put pressure on the Fed not to lower interest rates without which, much of this would not have happened. But, everyone wanted the famous "consumer led recovery" to off-set the stock market boom and bust. And that meant closing their eyes for 5 years while housing inflated and consumers pulled over 3 trillion dollars out of their houses via refinancing and 2nd mortgages to spend. This created a "false" economy. Houses inflated by 50% or more in most markets. The Fed, the Treasury, and the Congress knew this was happening, and knew equally that the end result was going to be that it was not a matter of if, only when, the boom would collapse and housing would return to its previous values - as it has now done.

You can blame Democrats for Fannie and Freddie, but you cannot blame Democrats alone for the boom and bust, which was not due to laws on the books, but to a deliberate strategy by the Fed and the treasury to manipulate interest rates.

The bottom line is that without those low interest rates - we would not be having this conversation - because none of this would've happened.


Corrupt Democrats Cont'd...
This non-transparency allowed Fannie Mae to engage in serious accounting fraud, overstating its earnings by more than US$6-billion over the Raines years — overstatements that incidentally justified the company’s lavish compensation packages. (Both Johnson and Raines incidentally also received below-market mortgages from the large mortgage company — and major Fannie Mae beneficiary — Countrywide Mortgage.)

The loss of confidence that struck the markets this week has been gathering for years. It is the natural byproduct of the bad practice of merging private business with government power.

As so often happens with large scandals, the cost will fall on everyone except the responsible parties. In 2006, federal regulators sued Franklin Raines and two other Fannie Mae executives to recover US$115-million of compensation. The case was settled for US$3-million, plus the surrender of some (now probably valueless) stock options and other contingent benefits. The US$3-million was paid from Fannie Mae’s
own insurance.

And at the polls this November, the voters will likely exact a political price for the debacle from John McCain and the Republicans — even though the party most tainted by the failure ought to have been the Democrats. Indeed, James Johnson until recently chaired Barack Obama’s vice presidential selection committee.

That’s not close enough to justice, not even close enough for government work."




Corrupt Democrats Running Both Companies
EXcerpting from Canada's National Post, here's the lowdown...

"The two institutions have long been run not by bankers but by retired political figures, predominantly Democrats. From 1991 to 1998, Fannie Mae was headed by James Johnson, a longtime aide to former Democratic vice president Walter Mondale. Johnson’s successor, Franklin Raines, had served as budget director to Bill Clinton. Jamie Gorelick, vice chair of Fannie Mae from 1998 to 2003, served as deputy attorney general in the Clinton administration.

These figures have paid themselves impressive private-sector salaries. Johnson earned US$21-million in just his last year at Fannie Mae. Raines earned US$90-million for five years’ work at Fannie Mae. Gorelick got US$26-million.

Yet the companies never had to meet the discipline of the private marketplace. They paid no taxes, and they had access to a line of credit at the Treasury department. More ominously for today’s crisis: They were not required to provide anything like the level of information about their internal operations expected of a privately owned company.


Thank Bush...
and his Republicans for leading this economy where we get the failure of these institutions. They spent a bundle and we've paying for their spending with inflation, with businesses shedding jobs and struggling.

Fannie & Freddie's Big $$Money Lobbying
Fanie Mae and Freddie Mac are so well-entrenched on "K" street in DC that their combined lobbying budgets for the past ten years was $170,000,000 dollars, an average of 17 million dollars per year of bribe money to spend on both DEMS and the GOP. Jamie Gorelick(Clinton's horribly corrupt obstructionist chief lawyer who created the infamous Wall between the CIA, the FBI, and the Department of Justice to protect Clinton during MonicaGate - the very same wall which allowed the terrorists of 911 one year before the crime to go undetected by a US Army Intelligence investigation that had identified several of them as early as one year before the tragedy) and Harold Ickes(George Soros' Shadow Party CEO, bigtime Democratic fundraiser, and former Clinton Chief of Staff) and even former Clinton FBI director Louis Freeh along with former Bush officials alll served on the boards of these corrupt government institutions(more like money-making schemes). Is anyone really surprised therefore to find that both corrupt CEO's got off scot-free and ther American People were left with the bill??? The American People should be marching on DC, but the media has a blackout on this issue. The fact of the matter is that our elitist politicians in DC should be tarred and feathered by now for the criminal racketeering operation that we call the "Federal government"!!!! It is nothing more than lawyers doing what they do best - finding ways to make money by circumventing the law. DC is a criminal cartel that happens to be comprised of lawyers, globalist CEO's, and their cooperative whores in the media who depend on Corporate advertising dollars and the biennial influx of cash from the 2 main parties during election cycles for their livelihood. Only 3rd party coalition government can change this much rampant corruption. Vote Constitution Party; it's a matter of our national life and death.

When all hell breaks loose......
there is always plenty of people that should've, could've, but didn't.

It ussually only takes one bold person to stand talk and firm to change things, but seldom do.

The main thing is, will someone stand up now and reduce it to a private enterprise.

Apparently not from an exiting administration or a congress that has already decided they have it under control. Maybe new administration will do it?

chickpea
You need to go to the Fannie Mae web site and read their own "about" for their history.

They were created in 1938 as a government agency and they have never been a private firm.

TeeHall
The name of the prez who initiated and supports the bail out is a democrat? I didn't know you guys traded Bush! Was it a waiver deal for a mayor to be named later? Gee I thought the bailout was a rwconswervative idea. Leadership starts at the top (usually). Oh no like the war in Iraq! It was congress idea!

The lawyers are at fault

SNAFU Location: GA
Reply # 17
Date: Sep 13, 2008 - 12:52 PM EST
Assigning blame
========

But don't forget the lawyers. Of all the people on any side of the problem, most were trained as lawyers.

And they acted just like they were trained, that is, forget the people and the problem, let's worry about our ego and wallet.


Freddie and fannie
From what I read Fred and Fan became quasi government agencies because of their successful lobbying efforts. They should have been private all along but deep pockets are successful in buying favors. Now they are on the ropes and the whole economic system in danger of imploding and we the people have to face up to it and try to save our skins. Yes once again on the backs of the tax payers. You'd think we would learn. No government oversight of these big guys DOES NOT WORK. The savings and loan collapse that cost tax payers billions was due to lack of oversight of that, then came along Enron, and that one was engineered by McCains buddy Phil Gramm. He stuck a little amendment on an appropriations bill at the last minute to remove oversight of the Futures Trading Commission charged with oversight of groups such an energy companies like Enron. Gramms little foot note flew right through with no notice and Clinton signed it into law. Enron was unleashed, they imploded, and John Doe once again paid for it.

Now we have the subprime mess. There was plenty of warnings but no oversight form the Government was forth coming. Now this crisis is unfolding and it will be a wonder if the whole nation doesn't implode. TOO much debt!. Now we have Houston as well to put on the nation's credit card.

McCain should be elected to preside over the implosion so the blame rests where it should lie. With republicans and their no oversight, and fight wars and cut taxes philosophies.



Assigning blame
Jim, far be it from me to defend economists or lawyers, but the Fannie/Freddie (and other, similar problems soon to hit) situation is a *political* problem created by *politicians* who didn't listen to economists...

This is just another example of social engineering gone awry.



put the blame where it belongs

Let's remember that people who had studied economics, and people who made their living doing and saying things about the economy, each and every time said, “A recession is coming a recession is coming.”

Then they said, “See we told you so, we told you so.”

Next comes, “We can tell how to get out of it, we can tell how to get out of it.”

Next, “See we told you, we told you.”

Then “See things are booming, things are booming.”

Well, if you economists are so smart why didn’t you use your brilliance to correct the problem before it hit, rather than after?

And you lawyers, since you draw up, or at least approve each and every document and activity of a financial institution, why didn’t you say stop.

Since the economists know how to cure a recession, they must know how to stop one. Since the lawyers know they are creating documents and situations that will cause the recession, why not just stop doing it sometime.

Of course we know the economist gets paid a lot of money to make his claims, and the lawyer is only interested in the legal system, and his wallet and his ego.

Have you ever heard of a lawyer who was interested in the Justice system, that is where as a defense attorney he insists that his client is guilty and must be punished. Of course not, that doesn’t fit the pattern.

But put the blame where it belongs, on the people who create the problem in the first place.

I have been in well over 100 escrows with property and trust Deeds, and I can assure you there was no doubt the money lenders were sitting up this mess, and I am thrilled to find them in real trouble.

But I am not thrilled to see the tax payer getting them out of trouble.



Why?
Why is the federal government--and US taxpayers--involved in the mortgage business, anyway? Where is the authority for this in the Constitution? There is no enumerated authority and now taxpayers will foot the bill for yet another example of failed social engineering.

Do the demo/lib/marxists see the light? Do RINOs? Of course not. If Fannie/Freddie are failing with $X, just pour in more taxpayer funds. That's always their solution, isn't it?

Time for another tea party, in my opinion.


John
You are absolutely correct. However, did Bush and the Treasury department make any effort to persuade the Fed "not" to lower interest rates, which, in they'd been kept at 4.5% or higher, would've eliminated 1/2 or more the problem. After all, banks were driven by profits, and chose risk for greater profits. Rather than pass the lower rates the Fed charged them onto consumers - they kept them.

Both groups carry heavy blame - if it's the blame game. Of course, since the horse is out of the barn, it makes little difference now.

Federal bailout
Chris Dodd wants to know where the Bush administration was while the Fannie/Freddie fiasco developed.
What we should find out is just where Chris Dodd was, he is the Senator in charge of that finance committee and the oversight of same. Bush warned of the lack of regulation of these institutions, their questionable leverage investments, as did others in his administration.
Will the dems step up for their share of the blame?
Most likely, NEVER!

Tee hall
Because you and I both know that what they dreamed up in the past is no more functional than what they're dreaming up right now. Did you know, for example, that we pay almost 17% for health, and that this is almost twice as much as any other industrial country? Further, the government controls over 50% of all expenditures - and some insist it's more like 70%. And we're listenting to Obama and McCain talk about more government involvment in a health system which we already know we can no longer afford.

God forbid we get them to think about what they dreamed up in the past, because when they do, the always do the same thing. Add more government - and far more cost. The only option is to give them all lobotomies.

What a mess.

The Dumb American
The government gave you a 50 billion dollar "Stimulus Package". They gave the "Rich" 600 billion. Only in America has new meaning...Talk about Socialism. It appears, that Socialism and Capitalism are "Brothers".

I find it amazing
that this is not the #1 topic of discussion in this country. Now the Feds are thinking of propping up Lehman too.

Liberal
Freddie and Fannie are programs which libs and Demos just love. They help those who cannot afford a mortgage to get one. Couple that with speculation as to the price of property and lying appraisers, a double whammy. For those who cannot afford your mortgage, sorry, but you got to go down. But that is not what is happening to those who profited from the scam, they will still get their bonuses. Politicians = ugly. What do they do other than dream up new schemes instead of looking after that which they dreamed up in the past?

Herb Stein
Your opening quote should be attributed to Herb Stein (father of Ben!).

Allen Skinner

One More Indicator:
We are exporting our sovreignity and importing our dependency. The trigger for the takeover was the decision by the Chinese, who had purchased $375 billion of Freddie and Fannie Securities, to sell those securities unless the US government guaranteed them. The Fed and the Treasury had no option, because this action would have destroyed these companies and thrown the US into a depression. The foreign governments owning these securities now have a US goverment guarantee, whereas the common and preferred shareholders - mostly Americans - are wiped out. Now, we must spend $100 B to prop them up, and are on the hook for $7 trillion in loans. 9.3% of all current mortgages, of which these companies hold over 1/2, are in default or behind in payments, and 30% of all mortgages now exceed the value of the property. China, in turn, now owns $800 billion in bonds sold to finance budget deficits, and $375 billion in government backed guarantees on these mortgages. The total is $1.175 trillion. As they just demonstrated, they use this as leverage to pursue their own goals, not ours, and we are now subject to their dictates. Our military is useless in this global financial world, and Americans are now as subject to the decisions made in Beijing, or in Bussels or Toykyo, as in Washington. We have allowed ourselves to be systematically absorbed by the international banking and financial community - and are now subject to their dictates. And, neither McCain nor Obama, let alone the Fed or the Treasury, can any longer resolve this. We have increased debt from $5.5 trillion to $9.7 trillion in the last 8 years. This years deficit of almost $500 B has just increased to $600 B with this bailout - money we will also borrow. To get even, we'd have to cut spending by 20%, and we do not have a single proposal to cut spending by these candidates, rather, we hear only about more spending. Alice eventually had to come home to Kansas, and so will we.

Wayne
I liked the way you tried to explain the "Deceptive Affects" of Freddie and Fannie,by using the concept of "Opportunity Cost". However clever your attempt, you and most other Americans have not fully "Grasped" the long term affects, that will be inflicted on this economy? I could help but I won't...Sorry!If elected John McCain will finish destroying this economy. I cannot wait!!!

Reform???????
hahahahaha

Thge only reform they need is closure and the CEOs should go to jail instead of getting millions after squandering taxpayer money.

If the American people realized...
...just how thoroughgoing and destructive this indirect subsidy to the housing industry is ( http://www.eternityroad.info/index.php/weblog/single/one_h and_on_your_wallet_dept/ ), there would be a march on Washington, millions of Americans brandishing pitchforks and demanding that it come to an immediate end.

Sadly, quite a few persons are lacking the basic grasp of fiscal matters required to give the thing its complete and horrific coloration.

The Looming Depression
The dam will break eventually. More and more banks in America every year are consolidating for one reason only - to increase liquidity as they take on more and more risk and lose more and more money. The Fannie Mae/ Freddie Mac Socialist Corporate Welfare debacle is symptomatic of this same trend. As can be seen in the following Constitution Party article, the current propped up economy is all an illusion. It will come crashing down becasue both parties in DC are too concerned about politics to do the right thing and let the markets crash and the impending depression take hold. The next Depression will be worse than 1929, but it is what is sorely needed in America today because our NAFTA-loving, CFR-loving, politicians in both parties have been playing politics with our economy for far too long, and have systematically engaged in turning American government from a democracy to a Corporate Welfare State for their globalist CEO buddies in the CFR. God is sifting and destroying this nation for how we have divided the land of Israel and Jerusalem, yet our leaders and our people - even our religious leaders - haven't even a clue that we are currently under Judgment of Almighty God. It will only continue to get worse. The GOP was in power in 1929 with the first crash, andthey will likely be in power for the next one, but remember this: the party in power always takes the blame. There are people today still living from that generation who would elect Hitler on the Democratic ticket over any Republican becasue of that debacle. I know most of you CINO's are still enamored with the Palin Beauty Contest, but if you have any concern for what's looming, educate yourselves. Neither political party is concerned with America's viable economic future; they all have their blinders on and are drunk with power however much they pass themselves off as patriotic statesmen.

http://www.constitutionparty.com/news.php?aid=768

Anybody Listening?
The power of supply and demand would do a good job of rewarding ethical dealings and punish the greedy for irresponsible risk taking. The "utility" awareness of the common man is admirable in its efficiency. The efforts to manipulate and control the reasonable market decisions generated by expressed demand and the incentive for producing a supply in meeting market demand is always a negative economic environment that generates loss of opportunity and increases the cost of price...in the long run. You could also call this "indirect taxation".
The lie of security for the people and insulation from market fluctuations is used by the power hungry for their own benefit. Enter the elitist career politician, Congressman Do Gooder. In particular, the "Big Government", fear mongering socialist who believes that poverty is the root of all social ills. It is actually the symptom.
"The curse causeless does not come." It follows immediately on the heels of sin.
The government is supposed to protect the freedoms we need to operate an economically unregulated market as is possible. They are not supposed to be a giant Nanny state that protects us from the realities of living from cradle to grave.
Of vital importance is the need for the majority of Americans to fear God and exhibit personal responsibility and moral integrity. Without which a regulating tyrannical government is the only alternative.
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