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Wednesday, July 18, 2007
Walter E. Williams :: Townhall.com Columnist
Economists on the Loose
by Walter E. Williams
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Will Congress pass Obamacare by the end of the year?

On July 11, New York Times reporter Patricia Cohen wrote an article titled, "In Economics Departments, a Growing Will to Debate Fundamental Assumptions." The article begins with, "For many economists, questioning free-market orthodoxy is akin to expressing a belief in intelligent design at a Darwin convention: Those who doubt the naturally beneficial workings of the market are considered deluded or crazy." Cohen then reports interviews with several prominent economists, one being Princeton professor Alan Blinder, former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank.

Professor Blinder said, "What I've learned is anyone who says anything even obliquely that sounds hostile to free trade is treated as an apostate." Continuing his criticisms of mainstream economists, he adds that efforts to intervene in markets, such as mandatory minimum wages, industrial policy and price controls, are also viewed negatively.

First, let's establish a working definition of free markets; it's really simple. Free markets are simply millions upon millions of individual decision-makers, engaged in peaceable, voluntary exchange pursuing what they see in their best interests. People who denounce the free market and voluntary exchange, and are for control and coercion, believe they have more intelligence and superior wisdom to the masses. What's more, they believe they've been ordained to forcibly impose that wisdom on the rest of us. Of course, they have what they consider good reasons for doing so, but every tyrant that has ever existed has had what he believed were good reasons for restricting the liberty of others.

Tyrants are against the free market because it implies voluntary exchange. Tyrants do not trust that people acting voluntarily will do what the tyrant thinks they ought to do. Therefore, they want to replace the market with economic planning, or as Professor Blinder calls it -- industrial policy.

Economic planning is nothing more than the forcible superseding of other people's plans by the powerful elite. For example, I might plan to purchase a car, a shirt or apples from a foreign producer because I see it in my best interest. The powerful elite might supersede my plan, through import tariffs and quotas, because they think I should make the purchases from a domestic producer.

My daughter might plan to work for the hardware guy down the street for $4 an hour. She agrees; he agrees; her mother says it's OK, and I say it's OK. The powerful elite say, "We're going to supersede that plan because it's not being transacted at the price we think it ought be -- the minimum wage."

Cohen also interviewed Professor David Card, saying that he's done "groundbreaking research on the effect of the minimum wage." Literally hundreds of studies show that increases in the minimum wage cause unemployment for the least-skilled worker, a group dominated by teenagers, particularly black teenagers. But Professor Card's study asserts that increases in minimum wage actually increase employment. Besides the fact that reviews of his study show flawed statistical techniques, that assertion doesn't even pass the smell test. If it did, then whenever there's high unemployment, anywhere in the world, governments could eliminate it by mandating higher minimum wages.

Robert Reich, President Clinton's labor secretary, said that economists who question free market theories really "want to speak to the reality of our time." That's incredible. Reality doesn't depend on whether it's 1907 or 2007. Reich probably thinks the reality of the laws of demand depends on what year it is. I wonder whether he thinks the reality of the laws of gravity does as well.

The ideas expressed by economists interviewed by Cohen, while out of the mainstream of a large majority of economists, are solidly in the mainstream of mankind's traditional vision. Throughout history, the right to pursue one's goals in a peaceable, voluntary manner, without direction, control and coercion, has won a hostile reception. There's little older in history than the idea that some should give orders and others obey.

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About The Author
Dr. Williams serves on the faculty of George Mason University as John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics and is the author of More Liberty Means Less Government: Our Founders Knew This Well.
 
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Unintended consequences
The labor leaders and pro-union politicians who push for minimum wage hikes may think that it begins and ends with the low-wage worker losing his job, with the supposed result that there is more demand for higher-skilled union labor. But I think they are wrong.

Consider the teen who is not allowed to push a broom for $4/hr. So maybe the store clerk has to do it. So the manager has to cover for the store clerk. Or maybe the manager just bites the bullet and pays the higher minimum wage. In any case the cost goes up.

Because of such substitution effects, the supply costs go up throughout the economy, they aren't isolated to those at the bottom. These higher costs will translate into lower quantities.

The greatest reduction in quantity of goods will occur in those industries where the supply and demand are both elastic. In those industries, the relatively flat supply curve will scissor against the relatively flat demand curve to dramatically shift the quantity of goods.

The supply curve in those industries is elastic because most of the suppliers have alternative uses for their goods and services. But not all suppliers to that industry will be in the same boat. Some suppliers will be specialists in the industry who will have no attractive alternative uses for their goods and services.

So the suppliers who are most likely to lose out when the minimum wage goes up are specialists in industries where there is overall elastic supply and overall elastic demand. Especially if the manufactured good faces competition in the marketplace that flattens the demand curve for the domestic goods. An example of such a person might be a specialized worker in an industry that builds things out of steel, maybe an auto worker.

So the unions who want to force low-wage workers out of the job market in order to increase security for union workers may well end up threatening the jobs of those very union workers they sought to protect.

Free markets vs Closed Door Immigration
I believe in free markets, and this makes me predisposed to believe that the influx of foreign workers is a good thing. These immigrant workers want to work, and that there are people here willing to hire them, and the closed-door immigration policy just looks like a barrier to the freedom of these human beings to engage in a mutually-beneficial exchange.
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