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Thursday, March 20, 2008
Victor Davis Hanson :: Townhall.com Columnist
Hope and Change Amid Despair
by Victor Davis Hanson
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


“I think the magic is over.” That's what French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner recently said about the United States' global reputation.

It's never been a great idea to rely on the assessments of French politicians, but the daily news coming out of the U.S. -- in terms of our image overseas and beyond -- does indeed seem bleak.

Oil has climbed over $100 a barrel. Gas is nearing $4 a gallon. Gold is at $1,000 an ounce -- a telltale sign the public is losing trust in paper money, stocks and bonds.

Housing prices still slump. Foreclosures are on the rise. The huge Wall Street firm Bear Stearns nearly collapsed before being bought out for a fraction of its former worth.

Seven years ago, the Euro was worth about 90 cents. Now it's soared past $1.50. Staples like wheat and corn cost more than at anytime in our history. Foreign creditors hold $12 trillion in U.S. government securities, the result of decades of staggering trade deficits.

We are still fighting to secure constitutional governments in Afghanistan and Iraq. Iran, contrary to headlines drawn from the recent National Intelligence Estimate, is likely still betting the U.S. can't prevent it from getting the bomb.

No one knows how many illegal aliens are in the United States --11, 15, 18 million? -- only that we can neither go on with open borders nor apparently close them.

Only a third of the public approves of the Bush administration. The ratings of Congress are even lower.

Our self-proclaimed reformers turn out to have feet of clay. New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer made a career of taking on Wall Street greed -- in between spending laundered money on high-priced call girls.

Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., promised a new politics of racial healing and political honesty. Yet despite eloquent speeches, he still cannot adequately explain why for 20 years he attended and subsidized a church whose fiery preacher spewed the worst sort of racial hatred and divisiveness.

So, is the “magic over"?

Not quite yet. The remedies for our current maladies require a moderate curbing of our extravagant lifestyle and voracious consumption. Given the vast size of the U.S. economy, we could easily restrain spending and begin paying off our debts at a rapid clip. Inflation and unemployment are still relatively low.

Over ninety-four percent of Americans with home mortgages meet their monthly obligations. More Americans own homes than ever before. More immigrants seek out America than any other nation.

We have not been hit by terrorists in over six years. And, slowly, both Afghanistan and Iraq are showing political progress and declining violence, despite recent suicide bombings.

In a relative sense, our problems pale in comparison to our past world wars and depressions, or those of our current competitors.

Unlike the United States, which is funding democratic change in Afghanistan and Iraq, Russia and China offer only brutal solutions to quench Islamic separatists in Chechnya and Xinjiang province. Neither country can square economic progress with human rights. Both have polluted their natural environment in ways inconceivable here.

Meanwhile, a shrinking Europe is disarmed in a dangerous world and can't assimilate its growing minorities.

We are still the world's third-largest petroleum producer with vast amounts of untouched oil. We have the world's largest coal reserves. Americans could use coal and nuclear power to generate most of our electrical needs and to charge hybrid electric cars.

Our universities remain the world's best, and we lead the world in cutting-edge technological innovation.

American elections are more wide open than ever before. Our next president will either be the first septuagenarian (when taking office), woman or African-American in the job.

America remains a meritocracy where no one is above the law. Unlike so many other places, success is predicated more on ability than race, class, tribe, religion or gender.

So while we exhibit outward symptoms of sickness, our inner constitution -- the real barometer of the health of a civilization -- is sound.

More importantly, there is a growing sense that Americans want to sacrifice to ensure our pre-eminence. Many conservatives are accepting that they can't just cut taxes without spending limits. And many liberals are seeing that more federal programs mean more dependency and debt for our children.

Divisive race and gender identity politics are becoming tired. A multiracial America in a strife-filled world works. So why copy the tribal separatism and divisions of the former Yugoslavia, Rwanda or most of the Middle East?

Because the United States is so huge, free, wealthy and dynamic, we can cause enormous problems overnight. But by the same token, we can curb these excesses quickly. The solution to so many of the hopeless headlines is entirely in our hands.

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About The Author
Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a recipient of the 2007 National Humanities Medal.

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Whistling past the graveyard, indeed
Only an eternal optimist would see anything positive in the Three Stooges currently running for POTUS.

Does he serioulsy think that any of them has whithin them the moral strength, let alone the political will, wisdom or ability, to rise above the forces that put them in place and do anything about the pathetic situation we have made for ourselves?

Would those who have contributed to the situation now be expected to be able to reverse it?

Please.

Ha

Well I am certainly glad someone like Boutte is not calling the shots. At least Mr. Hansen points to some solutions.

In any case I am glad both Boutte and the Troll ummm Gnome crawled out of their cardboard boxes and let us all know how pathetic we are.

Why do I think
that if there were a Democratic administration in power VDH would be singing a different tune about this?

Victor
You are a "Old White Man",who will say anything to maintain the status-quo.But, today we have "Young White Men",who are not afraid to try something "New".Can you at least give them something they can use.Hate,deception,and "Misinterpretations of the Truth" are not the ingredients needed for that "TASK".Thanks....

Face facts
The Republican Party has screwed up this country so bad that even it's most ardent spokes people are reduced to saying "It's not so bad. It'll get better."

Phylo out.

It's the media stupid
The only thing screwing up America, is the Liberal Socialist 'so-called' Mainstream Media and the dupes that are brainwashed by them. America isn't perfect but she has a destiny and a duty in this world that no other nation has.

President Bush and the Republicans are the only ones standing between you and the total chaos of communism and Islamofascism. The Liberal Media and all its dupes are calling for the end to America, just like its enemies.

Like your stuff Victor, but...
... you paint a rosier picture than exists.

As well, if the economy declines much more, and there's little holding it back at this point, then you will have lost credibility with the above.

Rob
I know too much about economics to DESPAIR!I "HOPE" to meet others, who know as much.Conservatives "VALUES" are mine by NATURE.That is why, I don't dress it up in false doctrine.

Beware the Ide(a)s of March(ing Neocons)
What VDH says is spot on. But sadly Gnome & Phylo's points are valid. Bush & the neo-cons have been bloody hopeless.

The latest I hear is that although the troop surge has coincided with a fall in violence, & that militia are turning on Al-Qaeda, the US is paying them huge cash to do it. When the cash bribes dry up & the US vacates that crummy place(hopefullly sooner rather than later for the long-suffering American people) & if Iraq reverts to civil war as a result, then hopefully the US will learn a 1-off lesson for ever more.

Forget the rest of the world, look after #1. Do American citizens realise that the privelage of being American comes with the monstrous tax burden of having to look after the rest of the world? Stiglitz in his latest book says the cost of the Iraq war is $25 000 per American man woman & child when you include all costs - which have been supported by right wing rags such as the Economist & London Telegraph. My God.

If only we hadn't listened to half-wit Wolfowitz.

PS wolf in german means wolf & witz means joke. If this was a Shakespearean tragedy, that name might have been deliberate.


Realism
I don't think the Stiglitz prediction is that fanciful(regarding Tom's posting of 09:38).

His prediction is the total cost of Iraq will be two trillion dollars.

Given how utterly deceitful or clueless(take your pick)was the administration's prediction in early 2003 that Iraq would no more than 60 billion dollars, Stiglitz has more credibility than the administration. He could not have any less.

We pay $300 per month to 88,000 Sunni insurgents to redirect their fire away from us, and to Iraq's band of Al Qaida. $26,400,000 annually.

Some might say that is a bribe.

Still, it's probably money well spent. And one reason why violence is down.

We ward off, create walls and barricades, to separate Sunnis from Shias. That is also why violence is down.

Is that what Bush means by "democratizing" Iraq? Walling off one people from another?

Moqtada al Sadr's decision to extend his ceasefire of Shia militias for another six months, is another important reason why violence is down.

But I will give credit to Petraeus for rescuing the failure of five years of the Bush administration on Iraq.

His "surge" has worked, from a military standpoint.

Meanwhile in Afghanistan, Bush's dream of a harmonious democracy there is in shambles. It is little more than a narco-state, with opium poppies blossoming everywhere.

Karzai's authority is limited to parts of the capital. Warlords, aligned with the Taliban, control much of the nation.

Afghan religious leaders have threatened to target NATO troops over outrage European governments refuse to censor the Danish cartoons of Mohammad.

Does not exactly sound like a bastion of tolerance to me.

We are still the greatest nation, in my opinion.

But I think we have made huge blunders on the economy and on foreign policy.

ModMark/Whatfur
Recognizing where we are and what we have to do is the first step in solving the issues we face. Neither one of you did that. We have added $4.35 trillion in debt and averaged over $550 billion per year in deficits over the full term of Bush's time in office, which does not include the SS money we have also spent in the general fund. The actual deficits have averaged over $650 billion, which, less the $250 b we now pay for interest on the debt, is 23% of the total federal budget. We have $53 trillion in unfunded future entitlement liabilities, whose cost is increasing each year, and that's driving the debt up higher - in 10 years this spending will increase from 43% of the budget to 63%. We have a $700 B balance of trade deficit which is masked by the fact that our dollar, 90 cents of which 5 years ago would buy 1 Euro in goods, now takes 157 cents to buy that same Euro. Meaning, if the dollar was at par, our trade deficits would be larger than they are today. Oil is also now controlled by a CARTEL which is now acting like one. The Fed now competes with the Euro, whose central bank no longer follows the Feds interest rate cuts - meaning that the international community is switching to the Euro, further weakening the dollar. This article talks about how "easy" the fixes are. That's absurd.

Do you seriously believe that the 65% of the public that still says it wants government insured health insurance, and that refuses to touch social security, is ready to negotiate their free lunch down by 20% or more today, and then more tomorrow as entitlement spending continues to grow? Do you see the public ready to substitute electric cars and nuclear power plants for oil? We can't even get one more refinery built anywhere in the US. And how do you or Hansen, for that matter, intend to deal with the trade deficit?

And today
the numbers are different, and tomorrow they will be different still.

Basing your life on a snapshot of numbers that change day to day is like weighing yourself every day and despairing because you never get any thinner.

Today gold is dropping rapidly, as is oil, and the Canadian dollar has dropped farther in one day than it has for fifty years (since John Diefenbaker was PM, if that means anything to you Yanks.) Gas has been over $4.00 a gallon (4 litres = 1.05 gallons) for more than two years here and the world has not come to an end. (In fact, I am old enough to remember when we were screaming that the world would end when gas went up to 45 CENTS per gallon.)

Y'all need to stop treating the world as if it is a Casino or a closed system into which nothing is ever injected. I am 60 years old now and "life as we know it" has ended at least half a dozen times since I was old enough to know the difference between Ike and Adlai. Not all the screaming and arm waving in the world has ever made a bit of difference in the end.

"Philo Out"
If only that were true.

Kasserine Pass? Good grief.
Some idiot at the top of this column of comments (calling himself Boot or something) was disparaging our military with such comments as "Relative to the self-imposed cost, its military prowess since the first troops cut and ran at Kasserine has been pitiful."

What kind of a fool would write something like that? Our military had been regenerated from practically nothing at that time and began WWII in North Africa precisely because it needed blooding and our leaders knew it. Gen. Fredendall was one of the early incompetents there, and when the inexperienced American troops were badly positioned at Kasserine Pass, the full shock of Rommel's highly experienced tank corps rocked them right back on their heels. Eisenhower soon sacked Fredendall and replaced him with men like Patton and Bradley, and it wasn't long before Rommel and Hitler were on the run as our superb citizen-soldiers became battle-hardened and routed his professional army while at the same time defeating Imperial Japan on the other side of the world. We have always had a superb military. So did Rome, despite Hannibal nearly wiping out its armies at Cannae. You want to judge a nation's army based on famous setbacks to it?

The fool above who wrote such rot about our military history is depending on the general public's ignorance of American history in general, a result of the rotten educations our children are getting our government-run public schools.

I could take down most of the rest of that idiot's facts and arguments, but frankly it just isn't worth my time. Anyone who takes things written by such a person seriously should reevaluate his credibility.

Nothin' like the USA
Stop mouthing the lies of the lefist that programed you and translate the above in real terms.

Clue: There's isn't another nation on this Earth that compare with the US.

Frenchy has been mouthing the same lines since WW2. Lefist the world over hate everything about us, but our success most of all. They never acknowledge that no nation on Earth can compare with our economic, military, and political power ... NO ONE.
Take a good look at a dying Europe, and ask youself why we listen to people that have been getting it wrong since WW2? Anyone?

economy
As well, if the economy declines much more, and there's little holding it back at this point, then you will have lost credibility with the above. >>>

Stop drinking the Kool aid! Were you even alive when that buck toothed fool Carter was president? You know, the days of double digit inflation, interest rates, and unemployment? We used to call five percent unemployment full employment! If you can't survive and prosper in this economy you better hope democrats give you their welfare state, or you will certiantly starve to death!

ModMark
I was at the 12 Hours of Sebring last week, and while there I fried my computer (or thought I had; after two days of hard work, it proved to be only singed and seems fine now.) So I have missed a week of Fun Stuff over here.

Family values is one of those Marching Mommie phrases that makes me crazy. Having had no spouse and having 4 sisters who have had 8 or 9 spouses among them (and one is rather like the Samaritan Woman in that regard), yet every one of them has reared decent, God-fearing children who have married and so far produced 6 kids in the past 3 years among them, I can't see that it makes any difference at all how many husbands you have, have had, or never had.

Republican Financial Incompetence
The fiscal state of America under Republican leadership is pathetic. Republicans manage the economy based on an ideological basis. They don't do what is effective, they operate on the basis of slogan and sound bite.

Basically, the last 20 years of Republican Presidents have operated on the principal of borrow and spend. Of course they whine about Democrats as "Tax and Spend" politicians, but at the least, that policy involves paying for what you get. Republicans put it all on a tab to be paid by someone else some other time.

And for some reason, people seem to think that wars simply aren't affected by their cost. Quite the opposite is true: finances have been a limiting factor in far more wars than not and the fiscal effects of ill-considered war have destroyed any number of empires.

The Bushites have been a disaster for this nation.

Jack
If war is so costly why can't your lib buddies in Congress stop spending on it? If Bush is such a disaster why have you told us for eight years the economy is in the toilet to self-fulfill your prophecy and been wrong? Tax and spend dims pay for what they get? What a loon! They've had us in a hole for so long its business as usual to be in debt. They robbed SS for 40 years! Now they won't let us drill or build reactors. You better go back to school.

Incontinentum
You are basically throwing up on your own shirt here, dude.

Those in Congress who have abetted this disaster by funding it are no friends of mine. Bush is a disaster, fiscally, because he has done exactly what I described. He cut taxes, so people would have money to spend, then he BORROWED the money to replace it. Same thing Reagan did and the same thing Bush I did. Your rant about Democrats and debt is ludicrous. The national debt has skyrocketed under Republican presidents. Period. That is simply not debatable.

Now wipe that stuff up.



Oversimplified to say the least!
Sounds good in theory...but neither Republican or Democrat have been willing to put away their personal political agendas long enough while in office to address the real life everyday problems America faces.

Politiicans on both sides are frothing at the mouth with all kinds of empty promises during their months of campaigning (usuallly done on taxpayers time & neglecting their posts)& once they get in...it's no longer democracy...it's tyranny at it's worst.

Civil govt as laid out by the founding fathers was to secure & protect it's citizens...not to control them in every area where money is concerned.

I don't think any person should be voted in based on their gender, race or charming personality. A public servant (wow ...now there's a concept)...not a tyrant should be elected to govern his/her country solely on the basis of demonstrating a lifelong commitment to the countries fouding principles & the furtherance of the countries well being.

Doesn't matter how many degrees...from how many universities...education alone doesn't make one fit to govern. Let's get back to moral, ethical, honest politics so that the country can flourish again as it did in it's early days before the backs of Americans were broken under the burden of taxes & colossal government.

The writer of this article lists positive attributes of the country that like in itself were enough to put the scale back in balance.

Americans need liberating from Government & all it's greed & misuse tax payers money.

Are there any honest, God fearing, justice seeking politicians in office...I have to wonder?

Wonder No More
"Are there any honest, God fearing, justice seeking politicians in office...I have to wonder?"

No

Have to agree with Boutte...
and Redlac. We are governed by people who have no practical experience at anything but getting elected. Our dear leaders have learned they can have and hold power by promising more and more to the masses, paid for by the ever-shrinking cadre of entrepreneurs and actual workers.

We passed the tipping point around 2000 and are now on the downslide where so much more is going out than comes in. Our ability to print money hides and delays the fact that we are are bankrupt by any definition.

And our problems are much more than fiscal. We have the arrogance to think we can control events all over the world and that we are justified in bombing here and invading there for "national security" reasons. Our leaders, and many of you, can`t grasp the idea that other people don`t want our interference. Some of them, like the Muslims, have had enough of it and are striking back.

You can`t get wealthy by printing paper money or by consuming borrowed things. You can`t spend more than you produce. You can`t earn world respect by repeatedly failing on the world stage. You can`t fight a war without hurting people. These and other simple truths are lost on our current leaders, and the prospective leaders aren`t even discussing them.


Good article,
the only problem is I do not see the leadership that we need to overcome all the bad things that are happening.

What is This Guy Smoking?
"America remains a meritocracy where no one is above the law."

Excuse me, but we have an entire government that believes it is above our laws and Constitution from the President on down to the Congressman.

This Idiot's Thinking
is exactly how we got here in the first place - pretending money grows on trees and we can all pay the debt off in no time if we just put our mind to it. IT TAKES LEADERSHIP BONEHEAD! THERE ISN'T ANY AROUND WITH THE LIKES OF YOUR GENERATION! America is no longer a United States but rather the Divided Red & Blue States of America: Two nations - one under God and the other under Godknowswhat!?

Perspective
So, now we hear lots of exaggerated laments on the cost of Iraq. It is just foolish to look at a $3T budget and make believe that the Iraq line item explains finanical woes. It is a small fraction of the whole.
In no sense have we spent more than we lost by ignoring the threat of al Queda. 911 cost our economy $1T in one hit. Has anyone ever added up the cost of destroyed embassies, Kobar towers etc?
It is tough to be at war, and those who seek to exploit that make it harder. I just hope that the American people will not reward the purveyors of war room spin who have buried us in malicious negativity since Floriduh,

Take Back...
I agree with your comments about those who totally ignore the Constitution, and was very disappointed in the poor showing Ron Paul made in the primaries.

He was called a kook, etc. because he said we should be fiscally responsible, refer to the Constitution before doing anything, and should not have troops in over 100 countries.

The world is upside down when these ideas are considered radical.

same old right-left pseudo paradigm ...
how convenient for those beholden to the oil economy (those evil Halliburton Republicans) that Three Mile Island followed the China Syndrome by about a week and what a coincidence 9/11 followed some South American country (Argentina) maybe winning the contract to build that pipeline through Afghanistan near those opium fields the CIA craves. we talk about Repubs wanting to build reactors and Dems wanting to be green but the reality is that both sets of our Bourgeois run of the mill Dims and Reps who crave their cheap jeans at Wal-Mart are mere dupes of the ins from the "left" and the "right" (i.e. the Clintons and the Bushes of the world).

"lefties" excuse Clinton for allowing our military-industrial complex to sell our crown jewels to the Chinese and "righties" excuse Bush for selling out our industry in the name of a tidal wave of illegal immigrants ... yet none of our middle class Republicans and Democrats seem to put it all together and figure out that the answer is to throw all the bums out and get someone (assuming Die-Bold doesn't control things); anyone from the REAL ideological left (Nader) or the REAL ideological right (Paul) ... short of that you're merely voting for the same status quo monied interests controlled by our unipolar Israeli-run media. gotta laugh if you buy the Factor and Hillary dance regarding the Daily Kos; O'Reilly treats the Hildebeest like she's a queen bee while he disses Ron Paul and we act like the "system" isn't rigged from the get go.

Historical illiteracy
When I read the comments here, the historical illiteracy was so dense that I thought someone had transplanted the MoveOn chat room to Townhall.

I have no time to dissect each of the anti-American lies and idiocies, so I'll just mention the most obviously anti-American one.

The IslamoNazis have not suddenly decided to strike at America because we have somehow offended them. They have been attacking infidels in general, and the West specifically, since 636 A.D. The lefties and anti-Americans and anti-semites claim that Israel has no right to exist or reclaim any Jewish homeland (I'm not Jewish, so don't bother to make that claim), yet those same historically illiterate critics refuse to acknowledge that the Moslem Empire was created by conquest, with lightning speed. Look up "Battle of Tours", and note the location. Are you going to claim that the IslamoNazis were reclaiming a lost French homeland?


Historical illiteracy addendum
I forgot to mention that the IslamoNazis first started attacking Americans in 1795, enslaving American merchantmen and stealing the ships and cargo. This was occurring at a time when the U.S. had no military bases overseas and didn't even have a Navy to patrol the Mediterranean.

We stopped their depradations by building a Navy and sending it to the source of the trouble, the Barbary Coast of North Africa.

I have a question for the anti-Americans in this comment group: Have you seen a single Muslim leader who is offering us PERMANENT PEACE with EQUALITY and TOLERANCE? Do you think that any of their leaders could enforce such a peace even if they intended to do so? How do you plan to have peace with a group that intends to murder, enslave, or convert by force every human being on earth? Read Koran, Sura 8, verses 38-39 and Sura 9, verse 29.

Feel free to provide your evidence.
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