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Thursday, December 27, 2007
Victor Davis Hanson :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Bills Came Due in 2007
by Victor Davis Hanson
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2007 reminded us that our easy way of life comes at a price, and that there are consequences and tradeoffs in almost everything we do. Let’s go down the list.

Illegal Immigration

President Bush’s comprehensive immigration bill collapsed this summer, following public outrage from the middle and poorer classes of both parties. These Americans reminded their politicians that first they want their southern border closed to illegal immigration -- and discussion of anything else second.

They are not racists, nativists or protectionists -- much less “anti-immigrant.” Instead, a substantial number of Americans -- from all backgrounds -- simply believe that once illegal immigration ceases, the problem becomes manageable.

Employers will have to hire our own poor and unemployed, and thus raise wages. Mexico will have to deal with its own problems rather than blaming the United States. Tribalists and ethnic provocateurs will have to relearn that integration and the melting pot are not going away. And immigrants crossing the southern border will have to wait in line like everyone else and come here legally.

The Housing Crisis

Housing prices tanked in 2007. Millions of home mortgages by this past spring were behind or in default. The media rushed to blame government and lenders -- as if poor buyers had a gun to their heads when they bet that housing would continually appreciate.

Yet most Americans who buy homes judiciously, and pay their mortgages promptly, were probably more philosophical than outraged. Homes had become way overpriced. Anyone who rushed out to borrow heavily to buy in such an overheated market was intent on recklessly profiting by quick resale -- or hopelessly naive.

Food Is Not Cheap

Farm prices soared. For 40 years, Americans had become used to the idea that their food would stay cheap, and that farmers were invisible or irrelevant. Now we are learning that farmland and irrigation water are finite resources, while world population continues to rise. Before we can solve global warming, convert to ethanol fuels or restore ancestral rivers, we first have to eat -- and thus make sure there is enough land and water to produce food.

Oil

Oil reached $98 a barrel by November. Conservatives thought that the market alone might easily correct the problem. Yet they are starting to see in the meantime that petrol-rich, anti-American dictatorships, flush with American cash, won’t be so patient with us.

Liberals tend to claim that we won’t have to find and burn far more of our own oil and coal, or build nuclear plants. But they are learning that for now that would only make Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Hugo Chavez, Vladimir Putin and the House of Saud even happier. Continued...

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About The Author
Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a recipient of the 2007 National Humanities Medal.

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Alternative Explanations 2

Student loans were never necessary. The increase in tuition costs over the rate of inflation is due to the availability of low-cost loans. With no downward pressure on college tuitions, they soared. Colleges had more applicants whose grades in high school really didn't qualify them for the loans (no academic means testing) meaning that most would waste their time and government protected loans getting degrees in art history or some other useless degree with no hope of finding a job. Duh!

I agree that over-regulation by the fed has cost us dearly at the fuel pump. But the only viable, reliable, and greenhouse gas free source of energy is nuclear. Government regulations took away the promise of "electricity too cheap to meter". We now have meltdown proof reactor designs that can even burn the high-level radioactive waste currently stored on the sites of the current group of aging reactors, eliminating the need for a Yuca mountain depository. All we need is a president with the stones to say that energy independence is necessary for our national security and we WILL build as many nuclear reactors as it takes to supply our needs for electricy, and to create all the hydrogen (from seawater)necessary to fuel the entire fleet of American automobiles. Emminent domain should be used to locate these plants where they would be most beneficial with the least impact on the environment.

Considering the amount of carbon credits that a nuclear plant earns by replacing the equivalent in fossil fuels over its lifetime, it could be built for free!

Alternative Explanations
Sub-prime loan fiasco: The overly inflated housing prices and the sub-prime market were driven by "flippers". Investors trying to buy-low sell-high, thinking that the increase in housing prices per year of 10-15% offset the cost of a no-money down three year arm rate of 5%. They were using the housing market like a commodity futures market. But, just like puts and calls must be settled at the end of the day's trading, their debts had to be settled when their ARM's adjusted. OOOPS.

The frenzy to make a quick buck this way churned the market with people holding 3-4 even 10 mortages on homes they never lived in or intended to live in and drove up prices because they created a shortage of homes for sale. Now their gambles have not only ruined them financially, but also penalized people truing to buy the American dream and wanted to own only one home that they actually planned to live in.

The real reason why home prices have continually increased is because banks are allowed to consider both incomes when determining maximum loan values. This forces both mom and dad to work, leaving no one home to have, much less raise children. Smaller families resulted, and more of mom and dad's income was diverted into house prices.
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