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Thursday, November 08, 2007
Victor Davis Hanson :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Oil Hydra
by Victor Davis Hanson
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Oil is nearly $100 a barrel. Gas may soon reach $4 a gallon. And Americans are being bitten in almost every way imaginable by this insidious oil hydra.

Two billion people in China and India are now eager consumers. They want the cars, gadgets and lifestyle that Westerners have claimed as a birthright for a half-century. Their growing energy appetites mean that the international petroleum market may remain tight, even if Americans — who use almost twice as much oil per day as China and India put together — cut back on imported energy.

The Middle East is raking in billions each week. At best, our so-called friends in cash-laden Saudi Arabia subsidize fundamentalist mosques and hate-filled madrassas worldwide. At worst, our enemies in petrol-rich Iran are after the bomb, send weapons into Iraq to kill Americans and fund Hezbollah jihadists.

War in Iraq, rumors of fighting in the near-future in Iran and tension on the West Bank only panic markets, raise oil prices and further enrich our grinning enemies.

The nearly half-trillion dollars we will soon pay for imported oil does a lot more than prop up Russia's Vladimir Putin, Venezuela's Hugo Chavez and Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The petrodollar drain also contributes to our trade deficits, falling dollar and a general demoralization of the American people.

Our oil habit not only makes us dependent on some creepy suppliers, but we look like fools as we work nonstop to hand over our earnings to those who are rich by an accident of sitting atop oil someone else found and developed.

There is talk in this country of a gradual transition to alternative fuels, solar power, wind machines, plug-in electric cars and nuclear power. Supposedly Americans will soon be less dependent on imported oil — while helping to slow global warming — as we are weaned off our fossil-fuel addiction.

But let's talk about the present: If oil continues to climb, ultimately, it will change our very way of life. Hard-pressed families will shell out thousands more a year in direct transportation and heating and cooling costs, and more still as consumer prices inflate.

It may have always been unwise for commuters to buy large SUVs and V8 supercab trucks. Now, though, we may reach the point where these pricey huge vehicles will sputter to a halt. Indebted Americans will still shell out monthly payments to pay off their parked dinosaurs, only to drive them for emergency or ceremonial occasions.

Also expect rising popular anger at an asleep-at-the-wheel government that for the last 20 years should have been doing a lot more to mandate conservation, subsidize alternate fuels, encourage nuclear power and open up oil fields offshore and in Alaska.

Instead, doctrinaire free-market purists and radical environmentalists, hand in glove, for years have thwarted both conservation and exploration.

True, in a perfect world, the market would teach Detroit not to build gas-hungry big cars. Yet in the here and now, we are needlessly burning scarce fuel as too many 7,000-pound mammoths deliver single 180-pound drivers to work — while the auto industry continues on its path to irrelevance.

Meanwhile, green politicians may not want messy oilrigs off their coasts, or tankers up north among the ice and polar bears. But so far very few of them have sworn off jet travel, nice cars or ample homes. Continued...

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About The Author
Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a recipient of the 2007 National Humanities Medal.

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SteveL
Although you raise a good point about the wahhabist propaganda and madrassas, etc, I can't agree that that's the only thing we need to address -- or that "Saudi propaganda" even CAN be starved away. Propaganda is also cheap, and gets more bang for its buck with every pretext people have for feeling sorry for themselves.

What it would take to actually deny oil revenues to Saudi, Iran, and Russia is a full-on "renversement" (great French word for which there's no perfect English equivalent) of the modern, convenient way of life that much of the world is only now attaining. The resentment that would be created by state-imposed suppression of the oil market would give "Saudi propaganda" a far greater boost around the world than anything we have seen yet.

The essential problem of wahhabism for the rest of us is precisely that it can't be comprehensively attacked on the traditional, historical state-to-state basis. The national boundaries and resources of its sponsors are significant to it, but not decisive in the summary, Clausewitzian sense. There's no such approach as the one that will efficiently make all the wahhabist terrorism stop -- and that includes "weaning ourselves off of oil."

2 Trillion barrels of oil in shale rocks
In Colorado shell oil has invested 1 Billion in a
shale oil recovery plant. However, when the shale rocks are cooked to get the oil, the shale
pops like popcorn. This leaves more volume of rock than they started with. When the enviro's saw the slag pile, they sued and stopped the project. So a producing plant is sitting idle until Shell can solve the slag pile problem. And this plant is in the middle of nowhere. And very few will every see the area. SMART!!! not.
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