We are all aware of the dangerous Middle East conditions the United States faces today after five and half years of President Bush's leadership. So let's consider what the world might well look like if, in his remaining two and a half years, he were to follow the recommendations of his critics.
First: America out of Iraq by the end of 2007.
We warn the Iraqis to get off their duffs and prepare to be in charge by Dec. 31, 2007. We depart (leaving a couple of divisions in a desert base somewhere in Kuwait -- per John Murtha's over-the-horizon strategy). The Iraqi military and police are still not able to manage. Full-scale civil war breaks out. The Iranians enter to give help to the Shias. The Egyptians, Saudis and other Sunni states lend a hand to help the Iraqi Sunnis. The Kurds declare an independent Kurdistan. The Turks go to war against the Kurds after Kurdish PKK terrorists hit the Turks yet again. The Sunnis try to take a piece of Kurdish oil resources near Kirkuk. The Shia workers, who dominate Saudi's southern oil fields, attack Saudi pipelines in solidarity with Iranian Shia-led fighting in Iraq. Kuwait demands our two divisions immediately leave, as it is arousing the hostility of its population. Qatar makes the same demand, for the same reason, of our naval base. The United States complies.
Second: President Bush forces Israel to accept Hezbollah's role as a non-terrorist, social services-based political party in Lebanon.
In a special election, Hezbollah combines its support amongst Lebanon's Shias (40 percent of population), with voter intimidation to dominate the next government led by President Hassan Nasrallah.
Third: President Bush finally personally "leans on Israel" to negotiate for peace with the Palestinians.
No longer in the sway of the "Jewish lobby," Bush threatens to cut off Israel from all dollars, military equipment (including spare parts) and diplomatic support. He threatens economic sanctions if Israel doesn't negotiate a peace with Hamas-led Palestinians. Going beyond President Clinton's peace deal of 2000, which was rejected by Arafat, Hamas demands Israel return to pre-1967 borders, turn over the Golan Heights to Syria, no West Bank occupation (including in suburbs of Jerusalem), the right of return of the first half million Palestinians to Israel proper and turning over Jerusalem to a United Nations mandate. Israel is compelled to agree. They sign the agreement that recognizes two states.
On the next day (Nov. 29, 2007 -- 60 years to the day from when the first post-U.N. resolution Arab terrorist attack on Jews occurred and the day the U.N. resolution for an Independent Israel was passed in 1947), Israel is besieged by terrorists and intensively grouped missile attacks on the north by Hezbollah-run Lebanon, on the south from Gaza and in the center from Janin to Hebron in the new state of the Islamic Republic of Palestine. Syria militarily re-occupies the Golan Heights. U.N.- administered Jerusalem becomes, with U.N. acquiescence, a free passage zone for terrorists into Israel. When the Knesset is bombed by terrorists, Israel declares a defensive, existential three-front war against Lebanon, Syria and the Islamic Republic of Palestine. The war escalates fast toward the edge of Israel's conventional military capacity.
Continued... |