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Wednesday, August 08, 2007
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
Sub-Prime Politicians
by Thomas Sowell
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Amid all the hand-wringing and finger-pointing as housing markets collapse, mortgage foreclosures skyrocket, and financial markets panic, there is very little attention being paid to the fundamental economic and political decisions that led to this mess.

The growth in risky "sub-prime" mortgage loans by people buying homes they could not really afford has been a key factor in the collapse of housing markets, when the risks caught up with both borrowers and lenders.

But why were home buyers suddenly taking out so many risky loans and lenders suddenly arranging so much "creative" financing for these borrowers?

One clue is the concentration of such risky behavior in particular places and times.

Interest-only mortgages, where nothing is being paid on the principal for the first few years, enable many people to get started on buying a home with lower mortgage payments at the outset.

But of course it is only a matter of time before the mortgage payments go up and, unless their income has gone up enough in the meantime for them to be able to afford the new and higher payments, such borrowers can end up losing their homes.

Such risky mortgage loans were rare just a few years ago. As of 2002, fewer than 10 percent of the new mortgages in the United States were of this type. But, by 2006, 31 percent of all new mortgages were of this "creative" or risky type.

In the San Francisco Bay Area, 66 percent of the new mortgages were of this type.

Why this difference in times and places? Because housing prices were skyrocketing in some places and times, so that people of modest incomes had to go out on a limb to buy a house, if they expected to buy a house at all.

But why were housing prices going up so fast, in the first place? A number of studies of communities across the United States and in countries overseas turned up the same conclusion: Government restrictions on building.

While many other factors can be involved -- rising incomes, population growth, construction costs -- a scrutiny of the times and places where housing prices doubled, tripled, or quadrupled within a decade shows that restrictions on building have been the key.

Attractive and heady phrases like "open space," "smart growth" and the like have accompanied land use restrictions that made the cost of land rise in many places to the point where it greatly exceeded the cost of the homes built on the land.

In places that resisted this political rhetoric, home prices remained reasonable, despite rising incomes and population growth. Continued...

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About The Author
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and author of The Housing Boom and Bust.
 
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©Creators Syndicate
Land development costs excessive
I deal every day with the costs to developers of excessive land development regulation. In central Florida, developers can drop several hundred thousand dollars getting local approvals for a subdivision or commercial development. Try getting a stormwater permit for one project from four different agencies. This money has NO positive impact on the economy - NONE. It is a net drain in the form of government self-propagation, and costs are passed on to home buyers. Local and State governments are drowning in tax revenues, and won't spend a dime on infrastructure. All revenues money goes to social programs. Don't believe it? Get a copy of your County budget and spend 5 minutes reading it. Another exercise in reality - buy a piece of land in Florida and try to develop it.
Good Luck!

In some Tennessee counties, you don't even have building inspections. And I haven't heard of any deaths from collapsed buildings. Guess where the affordable land and housing is? The government restricts supply with excessive regulation which drives up costs. Not rocket science, but class warfare impairs clear vision.

BTW, guess what happens in a community when the smaller developers are priced out of the market?

Easy Money
It does not matter the source of easy money, when the well dries up times get tough. Historically the government has the deepest pockets. This creates an opportunity.

Sub prime market is drying up. The private money is running out. Government steps in directly or indirectly by releasing cash into the banking system. This new “money” is used to cover bad market positions. We can’t survive the market correction.

So,.....while the experts are propping up a market with more and more unstable finance, The people who hold their assets in a liquid form will be around to buy up the good pieces that survive the coming crash. Their cash held at current market quantities will be able to buy at future deflated values.

Thanks to talent scout for the following citation: Ec 1:15 - That which is crooked cannot be made straight:

With apologies to the Biblical writers, those who hold back will be buying the surviving straight pieces with the golden rule.

The BOB
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