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Monday, February 12, 2007
Suzanne Fields :: Townhall.com Columnist
I'm in Denial, You're in Denial
by Suzanne Fields
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Nothing corrupts intellectual power like the abuse of the language. Free speech becomes an endangered species when powerful words, misused, become shortcuts for specious argument and repetitious cliches trivialize noble ideas.

Nothing stops someone in a foot-in-the-mouth defense of himself like being told "you're in denial," meaning that he's avoiding the truth of experience. If you don't acknowledge an accurate diagnosis of a terminal disease, recognize the philandering of a mate or see the approaching death that awaits us all, "you're in denial." The truth-seeker in wolf's clothing demands that everyone look at the world through his lens, as though through a glass, lightly. Denial is based not on facts, but emotion.

All deniers aren't equal opportunity deniers, and an all-purpose stigma inhibits rational argument. We see this illustrated on Page One every morning. Skeptics of global warming are compared to Holocaust deniers. The ecologically correct become eco-heresy hunters determined to silence anyone who questions their evidence, flimsy and questionable or not. Any human destruction of nature is described as "ecocide" (like genocide.) When David Irving was sentenced to prison in Austria as a "Holocaust denier," an Australian journalist suggested making climate-change denial a similar offense. An Internet commentator wants global-warming deniers to be tried like Nazi war criminals.

"Denial" came out of the therapyspeak prevalent in the middle of the 20th century, especially as it was applied to confronting the reality of mortality. It was popularized as the first stage of grief, but was quickly expanded to include refusal to confront any bad news or disturbing ideas. Like the broken clock that's correct twice a day, denial is sometimes an accurate label for certain behavior, but as a consuming mythology in our culture it becomes the all-purpose description to deny independent thinking.

On a personal level it's used to accuse others of cowardice in refusing to face up to what is regarded as in their own best interest. It elevates a kind of psychological groupthink over independent interpretations and casts a critical eye at those who face their problems in their own way. This attitude wreaks enormous havoc when it is applied to public issues.

When denial is used against those who question the evidence of conventional wisdom it acts as a secular Inquisition creating a free-floating metaphor for post-modern blasphemy. "This targeting of denial has little to do with the specifics of the highly charged emotional issues involved in discussions of the Holocaust or AIDS or pollution," writes sociologist Frank Furedi in Spiked Online. "Rather it is driven by a wider mood of intolerance towards free thinking." It becomes an informal but dangerous form of collective censorship, limiting free speech and demanding social or civil punishment, or both. (Free speech defenders have no problem defending their own dearly held beliefs, but often when called on to defend something they consider dangerous find all manner of exceptions.)

For all of the creepiness of "Holocaust denial," making it against the law not only restricts free speech, perniciously wrong-headed as that is, but forces those who perpetuate it to go underground. When President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran held his Holocaust denial conference in Tehran, he exposed his irrational hatred to the rest of the world, making his threat to "wipe Israel off the map" and his determination to develop nuclear weapons suddenly visible as a genuine threat to everyone.

His hyperventilated rhetoric, as outrageous as it is, requires counter arguments of reason and cannot be dismissed as the ravings of a madman, a mistake many critics of Hitler made. The Tehran conference drew wide rebuke, inspiring hundreds of articles refuting speaker after speaker. Such refutations won't dissuade the anti-Semites who ply their trade in the Middle East, but will establish a contemporary historical record and heighten the alert for those in the Western democracies who understand that words can be deadly weapons of mass destruction.

No word has been so trivialized as "Holocaust." It's attached to issues that bear no relation to the crimes of the Nazis of the Third Reich. The triumph of bad taste and perversion of moral meaning is exhibited by animal rights protesters who compare the slaughter of animals to the slaughter of Jews. In one of their campaigns, called "Holocaust on Your Plate," images of animals locked in pens are superimposed on photographs of emaciated prisoners behind the barbed wire of a concentration camp.

The human talent for devising destruction is boundless, and humans of goodwill must demand the careful use of words to make reasonable distinctions.

If we don't, we are truly in denial.

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About The Author

Suzanne Fields is a columnist with The Washington Times.

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©Creators Syndicate
Hey Professor Troothless ~
Please answer a simple question:

If my weather man can't tell me what the local weather is going to be in 2 weeks (given the relatively finite variables at play) - how can your climate models (given their exponentially greater number of variables) predict it with any degree of accuracy to 100 years out? because the historical regression is accurate? accurate regression does not, can not, and never will say anything in regard to accurate prediction - which is why none of your models, nor their averages have any real use.

Given that the former IS A FACT, on what basis would you suggest a complete disruption of the world economy that is going to primarily impact POOR people first, and hardest?

And btw - i'm utterly immune to you shouting 'denier!' - because, yes virginia - I'm a shameless denier. so you'll have to do better i'm afraid. to this point i've seen better arguments from a ouija board than you've given here. you sorta just keep repeating yourself.

p.s. - as we've already established (and you're about to) that the 'models' you worship are garbage - what in fact IS your reason for wanting to use government might to step all over the already downtrodden? Can you elaborate for us? Seems kind of heartless to us conservatives - if predictably leftist.



professor moron
"More than a dozen facilities worldwide develop climate models, whose ability to simulate the current climate has improved measurably over the past 20 years."

"Improved measurably"? Do you even understand what the hell that means, professor? That means that the predictive ability of the model has improved by a "measurable" amount. That's a layman's interpretation of the statistical term, "significantly different from zero". So congratulations, global warming modelers! Your models are now better than 20 years ago by an amount that is "significantly different from zero". Whoo doggy!

I'm sure the author of this little piece you cut and pasted hoped that the reader would misread that word as "IMmeasurably", which means a HUGE difference.

"Interestingly, the average across all models almost invariably outperforms any single model, which shows that the errors in the simulations are surprisingly unbiased."

Oh this one sounds good too. But in reality, it's very very bad. What it's saying is every damned one of the models SUCKS at prediction. They suck so badly that you can take an average of the predictions and do better than any single model. That's like a whole class taking a multiple choice test, and some idiot who just answers "C" on every question gets the best grade in the class!

More to the point: nowhere in your cut-and-pasted article are any statistical measures of predictive ability mentioned. For that matter, the author doesn't even say, explicitly, that the models are "good", "bad", "average", or "not worth a sh!t". In fact, the only objective statement made about the predictive ability of the models is that they accurately forecast a 5 degree drop in temps from a volcano eruption, something that models 50 years old probably could have told us.

Regards,
Trevor
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