Democrats yearn for the bounteous days of Bill Clinton's
presidency, when the economy was flourishing, there were good jobs at good
wages, and poverty was on the wane. So it's a puzzle that on one of his
signature achievements -- the North American Free Trade Agreement -- the
party's presidential candidates are sprinting away from his record as fast
as they can. It's as though Republicans were calling for defense cuts while
invoking Ronald Reagan.
Even Hillary Clinton can't bring herself to defend the deal her
husband pushed through. Asked during a recent debate if she thought it was a
mistake, she did everything but deny she'd ever met the man.
"All I can remember from that is a bunch of charts," she
chortled, in possibly the least believable statement of the 2008 campaign.
"That, sort of, is a vague memory." In the end, though, Clinton declared
that "NAFTA was a mistake to the extent that it did not deliver on what we
had hoped it would."
She has plenty of company. Barack Obama is on record as saying
he "would not have supported the North American Free Trade Agreement as it
was drafted." John Edwards has flogged the treaty like a rented mule,
calling it "a complete and total disaster." And Dennis Kucinich thinks all
copies of NAFTA should be humanely shredded and used as compost on
shade-grown fair trade coffee, or something like that.
What did NAFTA ever do to deserve this abuse? Critics claim it
destroyed a million jobs -- forgetting that its implementation coincided
with the longest peacetime expansion in American history. During that
period, the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level since the Vietnan
War. If that was a disaster, I'm Hannah Montana.
Ordinary workers, contrary to myth, benefited from NAFTA. In the
decade before it took effect, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,
average hourly earnings (adjusted for inflation) fell by 5 percent. In the
decade after, they rose by 10 percent.
Even supposing the deal did eliminate a million jobs, that
actually doesn't amount to much. Every year, millions of jobs vanish and
millions materialize, as old companies cut back or close and new ones
sprout. What counts is net growth, and since 1994, the total number of jobs
in this country has risen by 26 million.
Candidates blame NAFTA for pushing American companies to close
plants here and move production south. But from 1994 through 2001, reports
the Cato Institute, U.S. manufacturers invested $200 billion a year at
home -- and only $2.2 billion a year in Mexico. After NAFTA passed, U.S.
manufacturing output soared, and it's now at the highest level ever.
American farmers have seen their exports boom.
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