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Thursday, November 29, 2007
Steve Chapman :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Eternal Life of NFL Sudden Death
by Steve Chapman
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The Chicago Bears won a football game Sunday in a way that is possible only in the National Football League. Tied with the Broncos at the end of regulation, they won the coin toss for overtime, elected to receive, took the kickoff, proceeded down the field and kicked a field goal, leaving Denver without so much as a single touch of the football. For those of us who live in Chicago, it was great fun -- but ridiculously unfair.

Imagine an extra-inning baseball game decided by this sudden-death approach: The visiting team bats in the top of the 10th inning, gets a run and everyone goes home. Imagine an NBA game in which one team is given the ball at the start of overtime and immediately hits a shot to end the game. Fans would be sputtering with rage and incomprehension.

Other sports think it's not enough to decide a winner -- you have to do it equitably. And whatever else you can say for sudden death, equity has nothing to do with it.

The NFL glories in its unique approach, but in this case unique means "so obviously wrong no one would dream of following suit." College and high school football have rejected sudden death in favor of overtimes in which each team is guaranteed the same number of possessions. So has the Canadian Football League.

The reason is simple: Sudden death doesn't give each team a sporting chance on the field. It's fair only in the sense that each side has an equal chance of winning the coin toss. After that, one team is playing on a steep uphill incline.

Failing at the critical football skill of choosing heads or tails usually is fatal. In regular-season games from 1974 through 2006, the NFL reports, the winner of the toss has won 53 percent of the games, the loser has won 43 percent, and 4 percent have ended in ties. Fully 29 percent of the games have ended on the first possession.

Last season, of 11 overtime games, the team winning the coin toss won seven, or 64 percent. In five games -- 45 percent -- the coin-toss champ won on its first possession. The team losing the coin toss had only a little better than an even chance of getting the ball.

The college game offers much better odds. In the NCAA, the winner of the coin toss merely gets to choose to have the ball first or second in the initial overtime (with each team starting on the opponent's 25-yard line). That would seem to provide a small advantage, since the team taking the ball second knows what it has to do to win or tie.

Since this method was adopted, coin-toss winners have come out on top about 55 percent of the time. But in the last six years, according to a study by scholars Peter A. Rosen of the University of Evansville and Rick L. Wilson of Oklahoma State University, coin-toss winners have won only 49 percent of the games.

The NCAA has found an option that is as close to perfectly fair as you could want with just as much drama as the NFL version. And you'd have to look hard to find any college fan who would trade it for sudden death.

So why does the NFL stick to its system? Every so often, it agrees to consider a change, but nothing ever happens, because the league and the owners think the status quo is just wonderful.

Reaching that conclusion requires some weird mental gymnastics. In 2004, Atlanta Falcons general manager Rich McKay said, "One play can end the game, and that's unique to our league." Actually, one play can end the game in college overtime, too. In fact, one play -- the last one -- does exactly that every time.

Baltimore Ravens general manager Ozzie Newsome came up with an even odder rationalization. "The system that we have in place right now is, to me, very competitive," he insisted. "Look, if you lose the coin toss, you just go out and play good defense and you get the football. Simple as that." If playing good defense is so important, why not guarantee both teams a chance to do it?

The NFL is exceptionally popular partly because it offers the best football players in a league where success demands excellence week in and week out. But when it comes to settling tie games, the NFL has embraced inferiority.

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About The Author
Steve Chapman is a columnist and editorial writer for the Chicago Tribune.
 
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problematic
The college football approach has the same problem that Hockey's new shoot out system has, namely that it is more a skills competition than actually playing football. Part of football is playing a field position game in which one gains advantages through slowly developed drives in which ones defense allows less movement than the other. That is dropped if one gives the ball to each team once on an arbitrary yard line and give them one drive to score for each one that the other team gives. And it allows for these silly multiple OT games.

Hockey is even worse with its shootouts which favor one kind of skill over the others that make up the game.

I have no problem with doing away with overtime and allowing more ties. But if you are going to have overtime it should be done in the way that most resembles the actual sport being played.

A Fairness Doctrine for the NFL?
Sorry, I just can't get my panties in a wad over this.

The argument can also be made that regulation play in an NFL game isn't designed to guarantee the same number of possessions for both teams, so why should overtime rules be designed to?

I suppose if the NFL eventually goes to NCAA rules for overtime, I won't especially care. But the way it is now doesn't seem "unfair" to me.

Hey, it sucks if you're the team that loses in sudden death -- but your defense will always have had something to do with that. It's not like fate handed you a bad hand because you had to rely on your defense in overtime, any more than at any other time in the game.

Rules of the Game
Windbags have railed about overtime being "unfair" ever since it was instituted. Werner Wolf (I think that is his name) used to scream about this every Monday morning, back in the '80s.

Actually, overtime is often won by the team that loses the toss. Whining is for losers!

Hey, why don't you become a fan of cricket? Play all morning, have lunch, play some more, have tea, call it a draw. Yawn...

My two cents
The Greatest Game Ever Played

I rest my case.

Its Gotta End Sometime Someway
1,2,3 punt, 1,2,3 punt, etc., does not make a good game. So you want to be fair? FAIR is not to be used after the 6th grade. Beyond that, you get what you are dealt, so live with it. The NFL is NFL because of money. If it is time for American Idol or Dance with the Stars, you think that the NFL is going to try to bull its way through the female population? After all, isn't Marie Osmond more important than Favre (who, by the way is getting too much face time)?

Shut up and play football!
Fairness-shmairness! If the Denver Broncos' fans want to complain that the "sudden death" format is unfair because "our team never even got a chance to touch the ball", why don't they tell their team to play defense, force a punt and TAKE the ball.

At least the Bears had to return a kickoff, take the ball on their own side of the fifty, and find a way to get in field goal position for the win. The joke-overtime is in college where the offense BEGINS their drive in field goal position.

BTW, I'm a life-long Broncos fan... sigh... I long for the days of Tom Jackson and the "Orange Crush Defense"...

Just Play Better Defense
If the teams that loses the coin toss wants the ball they need to play better defense.

Let them drive the offense back. Let them rush the QB to force a fumble or an interception. Let them stop the offensive drive cold. Let them do what a defense is supposed to do -- prevent the offense from scoring. Then their offense will get the ball and get their chance to score.

Football is not a game of offense alone. Spectacular, long-distance passes are not the sole point of playing. If a team has a weak defense they deserve to lose.

Of course my perspective is undoubtedly colored by having grown up with the Steel Curtain. ;-) :-D LOL

A contrary opinion
1. Mr. Chapman is wrong. NFL football is not the only sport in which sudden death is the order of the day for deciding a tie game. ANY sport in which the goal is to score goals (Hockey, Soccer, field hockey, etc.) if they have an overtime, it is sudden death. (Some sports, Soccer especially, do not use OT in the Regular season, only in elimination tournaments like the World Cup) It is certainly possible for a hockey team to take the faceoff, race down the ice, and score on the first shot without the other team even having a chance at the puck.

2. In football, if you want the ball, stop the other team. There's an even greate incentive to it in OT because you know if you don't stop them, you won't get a shot at winning the game.

3. Fair does not mean an equitable outcome for all concerned. That's the liberal definition. Fair means that a decision conforms to the rules used to make that decision. The college overtime doesn't do that. They change the rules dramatically to produce sometimes interminable games.

4. Because of the college rules (put the ball 25 yards from the goal for each posetion) high-powered offenses have a distinct advantage in a game where defense is normally king. Preventing a team from scoring a touchdown when they start with the ball on the 25 yard line is quite difficult, as is evidenced by the frequently absurdly high scores in college OT games.

5. Sudden death WOULD be unfair in basketball and baseball simply because of the nature of the games: Basketball is, by nature, very high-scoring, and in baseball teams take turns getting the chance to score. Football, being a game that is not so high scoring, as well as a game where the defense can score, lends itself to a sudden-death version of OT.

6. Sudden Death overtime is fair because everyone has to follow that rule, and everyone benefits from it at one point or another.

sudden death
"ANY sport in which the goal is to score goals (Hockey, Soccer, field hockey, etc.) if they have an overtime, it is sudden death. (Some sports, Soccer especially, do not use OT in the Regular season, only in elimination tournaments like the World Cup)"

Soccer does NOT use golden goal anymore. What happens now is that during a playoff/championship match they play two 15 min halves after regulation. at the end of the 30 min OT they go to the penalty shot setup each team designations 5 shooters and they each take a shot from the penalty spot. each team alternates. if at the end of the 5 shots they are still tied they keep taking shots until one team misses or their shot is blocked

I see no reason why teams can't have ties during the regular season except for baseball which has a tradition of not having ties.

Happy Jake
Your take on Hockey is off. Since the overtime starts with a face-off, each team has an equal chance to get the puck first. If one team manages to win the faceoff and score without the other team ever touching the puck it means that the losing team blew the face-off which is not at all comparable to losing a coin toss.

This is silly
First off, there are a number of sports, not just the NFL, that use sudden death systems, according to wikipedia - including golf, hockey, and Rugby League in Australia (and other countries). But second, it's not true that the losing team in a one-possession overtime never had a chance. It's true, their offense was not on the field: but the team was. It's not like the team that wins the toss gets to go on the field by themselves.

Taking that into account, there's no comparable rule in any sport that I know of other than baseball (where the defense is incapable of scoring). Let's say you use the proposed rule change in soccer. Now not only do you have to play the full overtime period, but you have to ensure that the losing team's offensive players get the ball also. If a team starts overtime, and successfully holds the ball from the other team's offense the entire time, Dean Smith-style. Would that overtime then be invalid?

I'm not saying the NFL should not change the sudden death system - frankly I don't care one way or the other. I'm just saying that there's nothing intrinsically unfair about it.

Professional ties
This debate is about as significant as two ants arguing about which one gets to bite my leg.

However, I do have an opinion, and it is my opinion on exactly this issue which usually keeps me from watching professional sports. I still however enjoy "amateur" sports, and like when both teams play to win.

A tie in regulation is a better outcome than a loss and a worse outcome than a win. Thus, in regards to the standings for playoff berths ties should be counted as ties or half a win. the way these things are currently done the standings do not truly reflect the skills of the teams during the game. Ties in regulation should not be broken.

In the game in question, if a tie were expected to stand the bears would have been forced to play those last two minutes with an eye on the TD, requiring greater effort. As it is they were able to play easier because they could win with a field goal. Likewise Denver's defense would have been expected to play harder because they could not have "saved" the win if they gave it up in those last two minutes.

Professionals should play to win for the entire game. If they do not they do not deserve to be professionals.

great points!!! and my 2 cents
TeeHall writes: So you want to be fair? FAIR is not to be used after the 6th grade. Beyond that, you get what you are dealt, so live with it.

Happy Jake writes:
3. Fair does not mean an equitable outcome for all concerned. That's the liberal definition. Fair means that a decision conforms to the rules used to make that decision.
6. Sudden Death overtime is fair because everyone has to follow that rule, and everyone benefits from it at one point or another.

Besides, who doesn't like a good nail-biter!!!

Unfortunately for me, the only sport I was ever good at was football, quarterback at that. Seeing that I am a 5'3" female, that limited my sports playing opportunities anywhere other than pick-up games. But in those games on Friday afternoons in college, I learned that when you're the only girl (my mom played when I was a kid, so I wasn't the only girl then), you have UNFAIR advantages: the guys don't hit you as hard, when you block the guys take alot longer to get past the line of scrimmage, etc. And I took every advantage I got and had a blast doing it - and I was never picked last for a team!! Seemed fair to me!

Apples and oranges
"ANY sport in which the goal is to score goals (Hockey, Soccer, field hockey, etc.) if they have an overtime, it is sudden death."
But they are not the same as football, where only one side can have the opportunity to score and the first opportunity is often it.
In the other sports you mention, both teams go up and down the field, and rather than the team with first possession scoring in these sports, as is most often the case in pro football, in the vast majority of the cases possession changes hands over and over during that "sudden death" period.
So what? My only argument is with a system that, after two teams have slugged it out on the field for an hour, the outcome of the game is so often decided, not between the teams on the field of play, but by a stupid coing toss.
As for those of you who say that the coin toss loser should just play good defense and get the ball back, you merely show you lack of understanding of the game.

It is not "FAIR" the this column got
4 stars! What a bunch of bunk! Sorry, it is time for your nap. How did anyone give more than one star for the whining of a child.

Simple
College rules are more fair. But the ball should be on the 50, too far out of field goal range. If you make the FG on 4th from the 41 yd. line (or a 70 yd kick!), better do a defensive job to limit them to one or prevent a TD. (If you can't get into field goal range, do you even deserve to win?) Tit for tat alternating who goes first until the tie is broken or impose a time limit to declare a tie. Just slight mods to the college rule. Or flip a coin and declare a winner if time is more important than fairness.

Overtime is Overused
I'm not a proponent of the use of overtime play other than for playoffs and bowl games. Although it's been decades since I played college football, I remember the satisfaction in leaving the field playing a Top-10 team to a 20-20 tie. You see, my squad was ranked 7th on the Bottom Ten list...the worst college teams. No, we didn't strive for a tie; the other team scored a TD late in the game to tie us. As I recall, my teammates and I were in no shape for multiple overtime sessions. As it is, I look back knowing we held our own and earned a tie.

Mother of 4
Are you a Pittsburger?

Bears vs Lions
Were it not for Sudden Death, Bear fans would not have been treated to what has to be considered one of the great bone-headed coaching decisions in NFL history: When Detroit head coach, Marty What's his name won the coin toss before overtime, elected to kick the ball to the Bears and then watched as Chicago marched down the field and scored, thus sealing the end of his head coaching career. Now that's football!

Sudden Death
Anyone who has watched one of the silly "overtime" periods in college football realizes that this is political correctness gone mad. It is evidence of our society that doesn't want to hurt anyone's feelings, everyone has to have an equal chance to win. This is the result of the feminization of our society, where men are treated like little boys and everyone has to have a fair chance to win. As many other posters have stated, if you want to win, even if you didn't win the coin toss, it is your job on defense to stop the team that won the coin toss and get the ball for your team. Enough of PC, colleges DO NOT HAVE IT RIGHT! I refuse to watch any college football game that goes to overtime, since it is evidence of poltical correctness gone mad.

Eh, nothing unfair about it
Many ice-hockey games (especially those in Stanley cup quarter, semi, or decider series) have been settled by sudden-death-overtime; so could anyone tell me why it is wrong for North American "football" to be decided that way? By dropping SDO in favour of the "equal-posessions overtime", CFL has only given one more reason to fans to stop seeing its games (fact: CFL has been losing Canadian audience since mid/late 1980's)!!

Rich D.
Grew up in Pittsburgh.

As far as sports go I'm mainly a Nascar fan. But when watching football I still root for the Steelers.

I'm a heretic, but not a traitor. ;) :D LOL
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