A financial advisor recently told me that the stock market
is as risky as "gambling at a casino." He argued that you'd
be better off shunning stocks and mutual funds in favor of
market-linked CDs,
equity-indexed annuities, and equity-linked life
insurance. While I can't entirely agree with his concerns,
there's some kernel of truth to them. The market can be
volatile, and it has yielded long periods of lackluster
returns. But unlike a spin at the roulette wheel, the stock
market isn't a game.
Wall Street trades in shares of real, bricks-and-mortar
companies, operated by flesh-and-blood human beings. For the
most part, these enterprises sell actual products or
services, generating revenue and, ideally, profit. And for
every extra-risky, super-volatile small company in the
market, there are sturdy, stable giants such as
PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) or
National Grid (NYSE: NGG), which provide
enduring products and vital services.
The "safer" path
As for the less risky investment vehicles the
aforementioned advisor advocated, well, they're not all
they're cracked up to be. Most will offer you just a portion
of the stock market's advance. They often won't pass along
dividend income to you from the stocks in the indexes they
track. The income that some will generate for you will be
taxed at your full income tax rate -- potentially quite a bit
higher than the long-term capital gains rate of 15% for most
folks. These investments can also tie up your money for long
periods, giving you little flexibility.
Running the numbers
The kinds of returns these alternatives to stocks will
give you may not help you retire the way you want to.
Remember that the stock market has averaged about 10%
annually over long periods, and that your average will likely
be a bit different over your particular investing time frame.
But investing in these "safer" options could leave you with a
far smaller average return of 5% or less. That can have a
huge impact on your final savings:
Average annual growth rate
$6,000 invested annually for 25 years
becomes
3%
$225,300
5%
$300,700
8%
$473,700
10%
$649,100
12%
$896,000
15%
$1.47 million
25%
$7.91 million
Clearly, the growth rate matters. How much of a nest egg
do you think you'll need to retire comfortably? According to
our
Rule Your Retirement
newsletter, if you want your nest egg to last, aiming to
withdraw about 4% of it annually (adjusting for inflation
over time) is a smart move. To see what kind of nest egg
you'll want, multiply your desired annual income by 25. Want
$60,000? Aim for $1.5 million. Will $40,000 be enough? Then
$1 million will suffice.
Clearly, many of the nest eggs in the table above won't
provide many people with much in retirement. If you're among
those staring at a puny expected nest egg, you don't have to
settle for that. Many experts have agreed that you're often
better off avoiding the sort of play-it-safe investments I
mentioned above; instead, stick your long-term money in good
stocks and mutual funds.
Better returns with limited risk
Fortunately, you can potentially boost the growth rate
on your portfolio beyond that of "safer" investments
withouttaking big risks on upstart companies that
lack established track records.
Solid dividend-paying stocksare one great way to combine
current income with future growth. If a stock pays you a 3%
yield, grows over time on top of that,
andkeeps increasing its dividends, it could be a
highly effective way to build wealth. Check out these
candidates for further research:
Company
Recent Yield
5-Year Average Dividend Growth
Rate
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