Buy and hold. It's a familiar investing maxim, and one
frequently under attack these days. It still has its
supporters, though, as many believe you can find
stocks you'll probably never want to sell. Long-term
investing can also play an important role in
helping your portfolio recover. Â
I'm a practitioner of buying and holding, myself, but I'd
like to make a little clarification. Here in Fooldom, when we
talk about buying and holding, we don't mean to suggest that
you should never sell or that you should buy and then never
look at the stock again. Instead, think of the strategy as
buying
tohold.
You buy with the
aimof holding for a very long time. That is, after
all, how many of the world's best investors made a lot of
their money.
Berkshire Hathaway 's (NYSE: BRK-B) Warren
Buffett, for example, has seen his very long-term investment
in
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) increase around
seven-fold since 1988, and his investment in
The Washington Post Co. (NYSE: WPO) has
surged more than 60-fold since the 1970s.
But along the way, Buffett sold shares of
McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) and
Disney (NYSE: DIS). Investors such as Buffett
-- and us -- shouldn't always hold forever. If we no longer
have great faith in the company's promise, if the reasons we
bought are no longer valid, if we simply find much more
compelling investments -- these are all rational causes for
selling.
Responding to naysayers
Not everyone thinks that buying and holding is a smart
move. They have a number of reasonable arguments why you
can't count on gains as a long-term investor. (Check out a
lively give-and-take among Fools, starting with our June
article "
So Is Buy and Hold Dead or What?")
For instance, some will argue that while the market may
have averaged annual 10% gains over the past 70 or 100 years,
it may well perform very differently over the 20 or 30 years
that you invest. They argue that stocks don't always beat
bonds. Well, true. But professor Jeremy Siegel has shown that
stocks have nearly always topped bondsover periods of 20
years or more.
And although you can never
expectto earn a 10% average, it's a reasonable
starting point for your planning. But feel free to go ahead
and expect less and save and invest more; if you end up
earning 10%, you'll just be better off.
Still, some point to the fact that stocks have gone
nowhere over the past decade. But hold on there -- that's
just for those who bought at the top of the market in 1999.
Remember that most of us keep adding money to the market as
we're able. So while your 1999 investment in the S&P 500
is in the red, your 1996 investment is up more than 50%.
Those who invested a year ago are up about 14%. Each year's
investment will offer a different return, and over decades,
you're likely to do well overall, if you keep adding money
into the market.
Other naysayers will argue that if you buy and hold
through thick and thin, you'll sometimes be holding onto
stocks when they're significantly overvalued. True enough.
But many of us are not expert stock analysts. We don't always
knowwhen a stock is overvalued. Continued... |