Townhall.com, Where Your Opinion Counts
Talk Radio:   Bill Bennett   Mike Gallagher   Dennis Prager   Michael Medved   Hugh Hewitt   
BREAKING NEWS  LeftArrow - Townhall.com : Conservative, Political, Republican   RightArrow - Townhall.com : Conservative, Political, Republican  
Columns, funnies & more in your inbox!
  • Check the boxes and send us your email address to receveive your free newsletter
  • Your daily must-read of conservative columns, cartoons and news. Coulter, Sowell, Krauthammer and more.
  • Townhall.com’s weekly inside scoop on what’s happening behind the scenes in the world of politics. When news breaks, we report.
  • Signup to receive the latest daily Townhall cartoons
Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Selena Maranjian :: Townhall.com Columnist
Stocks That Are Better Than Gold
by Selena Maranjian
Vote on It:
Average Vote:
[+] Text [-]
 
 
Poll
Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


It's tough to beat gold, isn't it? There's no better medal to win in the Olympics. For many people, there's no better component of jewelry. And when it comes to investing, quite a few folks think that other investments just aren't as safe or lucrative.

Well, that's just wrong. You might think of gold as safe-ish because it's a tangible item that exists in limited quantities, and because piles of gold bars in a vault somewhere aren't going to be worth nothing anytime soon. Think again, though. Stocks are tied to tangible things, too: actual bricks-and-mortar companies. Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) stock is tied to Pfizer buildings and Pfizer employees and lots of research and formulations of medications and patents. ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) stock is tied to oil-exploration equipment and data, to oil fields, pumps, and refineries, and to more buildings and employees, among other things. It's not likely that those kinds of assets will suddenly become worthless, or that the demand for energy and medications will shrivel up. Many great companiestend to hold their value.

Gold's mixed results
Those who think gold is a great investment need to think again, too. Sure, it canbe one. And it hasbeen one -- now and then. But over long periods, it doesn't have the best track record. Check out what $1 invested in various things between 1802 and 2006 would have grown to:

Investment

Real Return, in 204 Years

Dollar

$0.06

Gold

$1.95

T-bills

$301

Bonds

$1,083

Stocks

$755,163

Data: Jeremy Siegel, Stocks for the Long Run.

And as you can tell from the dollar's return, those numbers are inflation-adjusted. A mere $100 investment would have netted you more than $75 million in stocks, while your money wouldn't even have doubled in value if you owned gold.

I know, we won't be investing for 204 years. And gold has done well lately; it recently topped $1,000 per ounce. That's more than twice where it was five years ago. But check out these returns:

Between

Total Gain or Loss

1900 and 2000

1,372%

1900 and 1950

83%

1970 and 1980

1,607%

1980 and 1990

(38%)

1990 and 2000

(27%)

Data: National Mining Association.

Clearly, you can do rather poorly with gold over various long periods. The 1970-to-1980 period is legitimately exciting, with an annualized 33% gain. But even the overall 1,372% gain isn't so hot, since it's over 100 years. Annualized, that comes out to just 2.7%.

You can do better
So go ahead and invest some of your money in gold if you really believe in it. Just know that with prices near all-time highs, it might be more likely to fall in value than to keep rising -- which is why it's good to seek out investments that seem cheap. But consider parking much of your money in places where it's most likely to grow well for you, such as stocks.

You could follow the advice of Warren Buffett and us at The Motley Fool and just opt for one or more simple index funds, which will track the overall stock markets for you. The Vanguard S&P 500 (VFINX) fund, for example, tracks 500 of America's biggest companies, including Intel (Nasdaq; INTC), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), and Altria (NYSE: MO).

If you want to aim even higher than that, you might add a handful of carefully selected stocks to your mix. One way to find some is to screen for them. Here, for example, are some potentially undervalued companies I found when I screened for market caps of $2 billion or more, price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20 or less, three-year revenue growth rates of 10% or more, and four or five stars (out of five) in our CAPS community of investors:

Company

CAPS Stars

Market Cap

P/E

3-Year Growth Continued...

1 2
| Full Article & Comments | Next >
Share:
Vote on It:
Average Vote:
 
About The Author

Selena Maranjian prepares the Fool's syndicated newspaper column, writes articles for Fool.com, has coordinated the Fool's annual Foolanthropy charity drive, and has written a number of Fool books, among other things.

Be the first to read Selena Maranjian's column. Sign up today and receive Townhall.com delivered each morning to your inbox.

©Creators Syndicate
Sign Up to Post Your CommentsSign Up to Post Your Comments
If you are already registered, click here to login. Otherwise, please take a few seconds to register with Townhall.com. Once you sign up, you’ll be able to post your comments immediately, use the action center, get podcasts, and more!
Note: Fields marked with a red asterisk (*) are required.
Salutation:
First Name:
*
Last Name:
*
Email:
*
Nickname:
*
Note: Nick name will be shown when you post comments.
Address 1:
*
Address 2:
City:
*
State:
*
Zip:
*
Phone:
      
Your daily must-read of conservative columns, cartoons and news. Coulter, Sowell, Krauthammer and more.
(Bi-Weekly) We highlight the best opportunities from our partners for surveys, action items and more.