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Sunday, February 17, 2008
Salena Zito :: Townhall.com Columnist
Chasing Ohio
by Salena Zito
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Of the cluster of primary dates calculated in advance to be a deciding factor in this year’s race for the White House, Ohio never was one.

Located at the back of the primary pack, with Texas at its side and Pennsylvania even later, Ohioans had no level of expectation to make their mark in presidential politics.

“Not only is Ohio now a player for the Democrats,” says John Brehm, professor of political science at the University of Chicago, “it sets the table for neighboring Pennsylvania.”

In other words, what happens in Ohio on March 4 does not stay in Ohio. With similar demographics and voting patterns, the Buckeye State may significantly impact the Keystone State by giving one candidate invaluable momentum before Pennsylvanians go to the polls on April 22.

Paul Beck, professor of political science at Ohio State University, says it is too early to predict who will win Ohio, but to know the voters there and their issues is a good start on calculating the outcome.

“We are probably very representative of Democratic constituencies that you see across the country,” Beck explains. “We have a substantial black population in our major cities, a small but growing Hispanic population and a lot of blue-collar Democrats.”

Beck says Ohio is a state where voters are less ideological than those in some other states, very pragmatic in orientation. “So a hyper-liberal Democrat does not tend to do well here. In general, (Ohio) voters have a huge middle ground.”

The most recent polls show Hillary Clinton could get back her groove in Ohio.

A SurveyUSA poll, released Tuesday, gave her a 56 percent to 39 percent lead over Barack Obama. Much of that lead was due to white voters and strong support in the central and eastern parts of the Buckeye State.

In this Rust Belt region, the big issue for voters is the economy.

“It is much more exaggerated here than in other states,” Beck says. “Ohio is second only to Michigan in auto-sector jobs, so we have felt the restructuring pinch, our foreclosure rate is high and our unemployment rate is at 6 percent.”

To date, Clinton has held the upper hand on the economy. January exit polls showed her base -- the elderly and lower- and working-class voters -- favored her on that issue. But that Clinton constituency has eroded; exit polls in last week’s “Potomac Primary” showed Obama gaining credibility on the economy.

Democrat strategist Mark Siegel says that for Clinton to win Ohio, she has to talk specific, short-term solutions, not just long-term ones.

“Hillary needs to craft a very strong, almost populist appeal, near Edwardian” -- meaning John Edwards -- “in that it may have to border on class warfare,” Siegel says.

Evidence of Obama’s ability to win Ohio may be seen this week in Wisconsin.

“While the situation is not identical,” Siegel says, “it is a Midwestern ‘purple state’ that has a lot of labor people and blue-collar ethnics, so it may tell us something about the potential for Ohio.

“Right now, the tone of the race between Clinton and Obama is like a volleyball match,” he adds. “He tries to be specific as well as inspirational and she tries to be inspirational as well as specific.”

Beck believes that understanding voters and their issues is important but, in the end, it will come down to who Ohio Democrats think can win the general election.

“Remember, they have lost to (George) Bush twice by narrow margins in this state,” he explains. “They want a win, so the thing that looms large between Obama and Clinton right now is electability.

“One of the criticisms of the Clinton campaign has been that she has generated a lot of negatives” he says. “She may have maxed-out her welcome mat.”

Yet Beck warns not to expect a Clinton loss in Ohio to necessarily keep her from going on to Pennsylvania in April: “It would be tough, our voting patterns are very similar, but the Clinton family is very persistent.

“Plus," said Beck, "there is always the chance that Pennsylvania Democrats might be persnickety and put the stop to the Obama momentum.”

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About The Author
Salena Zito is a political analyst, reporter and columnist.
 
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Could she look more bored?

Look at Hillary "listen[ing] to a family's story" in the above photo. She is obviously trying to look interested but is clearly bored to tears. The look in her eyes says, "How much longer do I have to keep this pose?"

Someone needs to tell the poor woman that by dropping out she can instantly end the misery of having to pretend to care about average citizens whose lives she has no clue about and no interest in.

It's not Hillary's fault that she's out of touch with reality. What do you expect from someone who has not driven a car in 30 years?

Example; Ed Rendell
Don't expect Pennsylvanians to do the right thing.

Just look at the moron we voted in as Governor.

If you're waiting for PA to be the state that drive's the stake through the Clinton campaign heart, don't hold your breath.

Basically, we're idiots.

Hillary Uses Bush Style Diplomacy

Politco-Putin vs. Clinton

When Hillary Clinton said, way back in New Hampshire, that Vladimir Putin “doesn’t have a soul,” I figured that would be the sort of thing the Russian wouldn’t be pleased about. But when I called the foreign ministry the next day for comment, it was Orthodox Christmas, and I let it slide.

He was asked about the remark at his press conference yesterday, however, and indeed wasn’t pleased.

The former KGB lieutenant colonel appeared to lash out at U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton — a leading Democratic candidate for president — when one reporter quoted her as saying that former KGB officers have no soul:

“At a minimum, a head of state should have a head,” Putin said.

READ MORE

http://controlcongress.com/uncategorized/hillary-uses-bush- style-diplomacy

Corndog
Idiots compared to whom? Thomas Sowell maybe, but compared to the rest of the voters, Pennsylvania is no worse than middlin' idiotic.

Hillary lies about NAFTA support?

Hillary falsely claims she never supported NAFTA
As Obama points out to rust-belt voters that Hillary supported NAFTA, she’s crying that it’s just not true. Why would she bother lying in the internet age?

DavidSirota: Hillary Clinton has made statements unequivocally trumpeting NAFTA as the greatest thing since sliced bread. The Buffalo News reports that back in 1998, Clinton attended the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, and thanked praised corporations for mounting “a very effective business effort in the U.S. on behalf of NAFTA.” Yes, you read that right: She traveled to Davos to thank corporate interests for their campaign ramming NAFTA through Congress.

READ MORE

http://controlcongress.com/uncategorized/hillary-falsely-cl aims-she-never-supported-nafta

Savage99

Let me get this straight. You think Thomas Sowell is an idiot?

Your credibility to have an informed opinion and hold an intelligent conversation just went to zero.

Why don't you go bleat your mantra over on moveon.org.

Corndog
Read my post. Sowell is one of the premier thinkers in the world today. Most Pennsylvanians, including this one, look pretty stupid compared to Sowell. Compared to other voters, we look much better.
I recommend more care before you run off half-cocked, and more civility when you do.

Savage99
If his response to your post is any indication corndog's assessment of relative levels of intelligence in Pennsy may be correct.

Apologies for the misread Savage
After rereading your post Savage, I realize I misinterpreted it. My sincere apologies.

I woke up cranky this morning and was looking to pick a fight with a lib.

On the initial read, your post seemed to denigrate one of my personal heros so I fired a salvo back at you. I blame the coffee having not yet kicked in. Again my apologies if it was unwarranted.

I still stand by my assessment of Pennsylvania voters being a bunch of clueless sheep, both liberal and conservative. The libs have put Rendell and Sestak (to name two idiots) into office. While us conservatives keep putting Spector in while letting Santorum slip away. I do agree with you though that in comparison to other states, we're no worse. The electorate in general need to get themselves informed.

Are we good now?

Savage: I've done exactly what corndog

has done on occasion.

Not only did I have to apologize to the poster, as I recall I had to apologize to all the rodeo clowns in the world. It tooks weeks to apologize. Ugh!





The Cincinnati Kid
I concur. NcCain will appoint the "right" type of justices we need in the U.S. Supreme Court, as well as the respective U.S. District and Appeals Courts throughout the country. Abspolutely critical.

Can you imagine 3 more Ruth Bader Ginsburg appointments by Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?

bilderberger
i noticed that at hillie campaign stops, miracles happen. 'why there is my first teacher with my class picture' 'look, there is my first pastor with my baptism papers' 'lookie lookie, there is my first whatever'.
someone shouldn't ask hilly rodham to iron their shirts.
they should ask her what was the topics of discussion was when she attended the

Bilderberger

gathering when she was the first lady.

or are did she forget?

shak'n it here boss,

Harvey
Lancaster, Naftafornia
dial 1 for english

president rodham
all i have to say to hilly is:
ron brown; vince foster; waco; vast right wing conspiracy; whitewater rose law firm; account books re: above; 1000 usd = 100,000 usd futures return; decade of greed?; waco; Mena, Ak; Tyson; bombs over Belgrad - coopting Juanita Broderick interview on t.v. that evening; hubble;
waco; Burger the burgler; shoot to kill @ ruby ridge; Hsu; travelgate; jennifer, paula, monica, juanita, kathleen; Ak state troopers; permanent secret service chaufeurs and coffee shaggers;
waco; secret hillarycare meetings; departing theft of whitehouse items; pardongate =
brothergate = feegate; bilderberger;
and on and on; want more of the same?
adios
Jarvey (formerly Harvey)
dial 1 for english



hilly
i see the picture above and can tell that the campaign is taking a toll on billies girl.
i could just cry.

adios
Harvey
Lancaster, Mexifornia
dial 1 for english - thanks juan mccain.

By Jove He's Right!
"but the Clinton family is very persistent."

Bullseye Professor Beck. If there were a nuclear war tomorrow lichens, cockroaches and the Clintons would survive the blast and the cloud of radiation that followed. If Mrs C wins Ohio and Texas they will hijack the nomination at the convention, giving us two candidates utterly despised by the activists in their own parties to run against each other in November.

Hillary “It’s Not Easy”
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