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Sunday, July 01, 2007
Salena Zito :: Townhall.com Columnist
PA is a big player in '08 battle for the House
by Salena Zito
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Chris Carney's seat in the northeast is probably most endangered. While much ado was made recently when U.S. Attorney Tom Marino dropped out of consideration, backbencher Dan Meuser is probably the better quality candidate anyway. He understands the issues, has charm and sports a sizeable personal checkbook. Marino was attractive, but this marks the second time in 10 years that he has floated his name only to pull out before his toe hit the water.

Then there are the pick-up opportunities high on the Democrats’ agenda; Republicans Tim Murphy of Upper St. Clair, Phil English of Erie, Jim Gerlach in Chester County and Charlie Dent in the Lehigh Valley.

This will be the first real test for the 18th District’s Murphy. Tough and hardworking, he has done a good job of taking enough centrist votes to appeal to Democrats; if he can get past ethical issues, he will be fine.

English, in the 3rd District, will need to step up his operations as he faces his first real challenge since 1996. And it comes as he has lost his top adviser Bob Holste to Rudy Giuliani’s presidential campaign. He has proven he can run aggressive, tough campaigns appealing to swing voters, just as he did in 1996 when Bill Clinton won the district and English won re-election.

Gerlach, from the Philadelphia collar counties of the 6th Congressional District, has had tough races with lots of money against him every time. Battle-tested, he is ready to go.

Dent, in the 15th District, is the most likeable of the four. He has experience winning tough races for the state House and state Senate; he coasted into his congressional seat in 2004 but got a real scare the last time. His is the most volatile congressional district in the state – truly purple -- competitive for both parties in registration and voter performance.

Americans sent Democrats to Washington to change policies. Yet the simple math is that they do not have a veto-proof majority in either House.

Top that with Congress’ cellar-dwelling approval rating and both parties face a challenge in 2008.

Pennsylvania once again will be in play in 2008. And as a politically “swinging” state that is the backbone of ticket-splitting Reagan Democrats, look for both parties to run hard here, as if every seat they’re seeking is wide open.

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About The Author
Salena Zito is a political analyst, reporter and columnist.
 
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The Republican Party "left" Us..
...Conservatives have not gone anywhere, We are without a party.

Kilroy, well stated.

Don't discount
the negative impact on Arlen Specter's earlier primary campaign on the more recent PA elections. Out of pure disgust with the party hacks, many people opted out on election day. Santorum, sadly, was partially responsible for his own demise.

Conservatism doesn't sell itself and when conservatives fail to promote their principles they will lose. The party hacks have sold our candidates a bill of goods that they must run from being a Republican and try to be some kind of Democrat lite. If we want to change our party platform to a vote buying party we will always lose because we simply will never be able to out-bid the democrats in providing "stuff". We aren't the party of "stuff", they are.

There is a faction within the party that, for some moronic reason, thinks they must "purge" the base from the Republican party. They operate under some asinine assumption that they have the authority to deny us the vote. Well, you can't purge anyone from voting but you can run candidates that offer them no reason to leave home. Arlen Specter is one of those candidates.

I, for one, don't see the point in striving for a Republican majority when the result is a party whose legislation becomes virtually indistinguishable from the Democrat party. At least when the Dem's control congress we have someone to blame. We have only ourselves to blame for the Specters, Snowes, Lindsey Grahams, etc.
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