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Sunday, October 29, 2006
Ruben  Navarrette Jr.,  :: Townhall.com Columnist
No-Lose situation for Obama?
by Ruben Navarrette Jr.,
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Eric Liu is an accomplished, interesting and hard-charging member of Generation X. The 38-year-old writer graduated from Yale University and Harvard Law School, wrote three books, started a magazine, and worked in the Clinton White House as a speechwriter and domestic policy adviser -- and he was just getting warmed up.

Now based in Seattle, Liu's most recent book, "Guiding Lights," is about mentors and coaches and the impact they have on their apprentices. He's also working on a project that he hopes will "redefine patriotism and return us to core, moral and ethical principles of what we owe one another" as members of society.

When Liu isn't busy considering all that, he's thinking about how he'd love to see another accomplished, interesting, hard-charging member of his generation -- by the name of Barack Obama -- quit flirting with the idea of running for president and (to borrow a marketing slogan familiar to our generation) just do it.

According to sociologists Neil Howe and William Strauss, who have written extensively about generations, Generation X includes anyone born from 1961 to 1981. Obama was born on Aug. 4, 1961. So he's an Xer.

"I'm firmly of the belief that (Obama) should run," Liu told me. "I don't know if he'd win, but I think he should run. I think it's almost a no-lose proposition for him to run."

I'll buy that. Obama is an appealing politician with big ideas and a knack for seeking consensus. I know he's only just arrived on the national scene, but experience is only one ingredient in the recipe for what makes a good leader. It's goofy for political observers in Washington to say that Obama should slow down, pay his dues, wander the Senate for a few years, and maybe chair a committee.

Why not? Look how well that strategy worked for Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., who has been in the Senate since 1985 and who has spent nearly 20 years on the Foreign Relations Committee. Meanwhile, the last Democrat to be dismissed by the experts as not having the experience to be president because he was governor of a small state -- Arkansas -- won two terms.

Liu believes that not only does Obama not have much to gain by waiting, he might actually lose out if he waits too long.

"In my book," Liu said, "the longer Obama stays in the Senate, the less valuable he becomes."

For Liu, it harkens back to a major characteristic of this generation: a tendency to circumvent clogged avenues and find another way to reach one's goal.

"This is the bypass generation," Liu said. "People in our cohort have learned to embrace politics by other means. There are a lot of people in Generation X who just decided that traditional politics was too broken, too boring, too irrelevant and that they needed to channel their energy, passion, idealism in other directions."

Obama's challenge is to bring them back into the fold. He might do just that.

Consider Obama's recent appearance on NBC's "Meet the Press." The day after, all my media colleagues wanted to talk about was Obama's admission that he's thinking about running for president in 2008. The real question is what Obama would bring to the table should he run.

Moderator Tim Russert asked Obama about a passage in his new book where the senator laments that -- whenever baby boomers lock horns -- "you feel like these are fights that were taking place back in dorm rooms in the '60s." Obama responded that, yes, he believed that many of our political arguments -- over civil rights, abortion rights, foreign policy -- were "shaped by the '60s and ... the (influence of) baby boomers."

Hallelujah. Someone finally said it. I mean, does the country really need another debate over Vietnam?

Obama also said that while baby boomers like to argue the benefits of big government versus small government, "the current generation is more interested in smart government" -- that is, just enough government to get the job done but with a willingness to try a market solution if that makes sense.

It's one reason that Liu thinks Obama is uniquely positioned to do more than simply run a campaign -- that he can help start a movement.

"I look at someone like Barack Obama," Liu said, "and I think here is a person who can tell a story about the original purposes of American politics that will make people stop and think and hear it again for the first time."

I don't know about you, but that's one story I can't wait to hear.

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About The Author
Ruben Navarrette Jr. is a columnist and editorial board member of The San Diego Union-Tribune.

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Oh, yawn
"I think here is a person who can tell a story...." You've got that right! So far this guy is just like every other politician out there. He's just another double-talk story teller who changes his message for political gain. A new face perhaps, but the game's the same. It reminds me of the old saying-- there's a tongue in your mouth and a tongue in your shoe... All I see is another smooth talker with a typical liberal voting record.

Again,
Ruben is uninteresting. I guess its true. Town Hall has hired its own Alan Colmes.

Kerry
The reason "hanging around the Senate" didn't work for Kerry is that Kerry has just too many foolish and unsavory things about him. As a person, he sure doesn't sparkle.

Will someone please inform Obama...
..that his 15 minutes are up.He is just a news cycle and will be burn't out by 2008.And no,the Dems will not put him on a ticket with the Witch Of Chappaqua.They want to win the White House badly,and they will not take any chances with a woman candidate and a black candidate on the same ticket.Obama could get a shot at the vice presidency with a white male in the first position,and Hilliary can get a shot at the first woman president,but she will need a white male in the second spot.That is the way it is in this country at this period of time.Evolution,not revolution.

my 2 cents
I have voted in 10 Presidential elections since 1968. 5 dems, 5 repub. I vote for the man I choose to be the best man. In 2004 I was at a union meeting and they were passing out watchcaps for Gephart. I took one and still have it.
The dems nominated John Kerry whom I, as a Vietnam era veteran, consider a liar a coward and a traitor. If you think that's extreme, ask those who served next to him what THEY think of him. After all - who is better to judge a man than those who have been in combat with him? Swifties - take a bow.

Anyway - from here I like Obama. He seems a reasonable person and a good decent honorable man and that's a start.

But there's a long way to go - this time in 1998 who had heard of George W. Bush?

Nam65-66
Right On. If Barak is still a recognizable name in 08, i'll think about him then. Until then.......ZZZZZZzzzzz

A couple of things to consider.
First, what are Barak's big ideas exactly? I haven't heard any from him, or any other Dems, for a long time! His primary appeals seemes to be that the medua likes him, not that he is particularlt accomplished at anything. He likes to say all the right words about being bi-partisan, then he goes out and votes with his caucus...and spits out the same lame Dem talking points as the rest of them.

Second, why in the blue h3ll does anyone think that the Dems would actually nominate hime for President? This is the same group that would not support Kweisi Mfume's bid to run for the Senate in Maryland, after all his years as a loyal Dem lapdog. What makes anyone think that they would change their historical stance on not supporting black candidates (Jessie Jackson, Sharpton, and Mfume to name a few) to push this guy?

The Democrat party is not interested in seeing blacks in any real positions of power, they just pretend to support blacks in order to get their votes. Besides which, no majority of American voters is going to vote for a junior Senate member that has absolutely nothing to offer, except the transitory affections of the press.

not what he seems`
Obama talks a good line , but look at his voting record. His record is straight, down the line liberal. We need more than talk.

Barack Obama
While Obama does not yet have an extensive voting record in the U.S. Senate, his record in Illinois is illustrative. For all his fine sounding rhetoric (and he is a master at saying absolutely nothing in the most eloquent fashion), this man is a firmly commited Marxist. God help us if he should ever acheive higher office. Bad enough that he purports to represent us in Congress.

krystalbird
You are wrong on one point.
You say Kerry hangs around the Senate.
He has a 70% absentee record!

Presidential vote?
I don't even see anyone I could even hold my nose and vote for!

Someone is probably waiting to throw their hat in the ring later so as to shorten the time of slings & arrows.
I sure hope we have something better than I see now.

If the bar gets any lower...
...it'll be underground!

Since when did having no experience, no record of ever running anything, and no discernible ideas qualify anyone for the presidency? I realize these are Democrats we're talking about, but come on...not even they can be that enamored with nothing....can they?

Barak Obama is like a blind date, wherein the less you know about someone the more it allows you to fill in the blanks of what you don't know about them with your own fantasies of idealistic perfection.

One consolation is that all the pundits are predicting Obama will lose if he runs. Let's just hope it's AFTER he becomes the democratic party's presidential nominee.

And FWIW, and someone please correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't the last person to be elected president from the Senate JFK, and then only by the skin of his teeth? The senate isn't exactly known for visionary statesmen.

Political scene
The political scene is getting stale even worse it is beginning to stink to high heaven. It does need someone new and fresh, an air freshener for Washington. Bush came in on the promise he would work with the opposition because he had done that in Texas and yet the country is torn to shreds in the middle of a terrifying war, the conflict with Islamic Jihad. We need someone to Unite the Country to meet this threat. One without the other does not work both unite the country and meet the threat are called for. Can Obama do this? I don't now but no one else on the horizon seems heading in that direction. Time will tell but we are at a critical stage and someone with depth and vision is needed to lead us out of the abyss.

ProfGene
The country is divided to a huge extent because the media decided at the outset that this war was not necessary, and has devoted the majority of it's ink and airtime trying to undermine Bush. It isn't much more complicated than that. Has Bush made mistakes? Of course he has,just as every other wartime President before him, except theirs cost far more lives.

Can we win? Absolutely. Will we? Not without public support, which the media has ben chipping away at since two weeks into Afghanistan, when they proclaimed it a "quagmire." That democrats would benefit from this is no surprise. But if that's the case, then the only "uniter' we're going to get is one the media approves of, which will be a democrat, reality be damned.

Don't worry--you guys will spike him
I can see it now. Obama gets the Democratic presidential nomination. Then some conservative strategist comes up with an ad that has hip-hop thumping as background music, a dimly lit setting that just might be a club, and some white girl winking at Obama and saying, "Why don't you call me?" Obama's candidacy is spiked and down he goes.

It's not like you haven't practiced this one before.

Gestell
We're going to spell his name as OSAMA!

Gestell-oh, please...
...all the dems wil have to do is pull out a James Byrd commercial. It's not like they haven't pulled the race card before.

Kinda like you're doing now.

Gotta hand it to you, though. The pre-emptive race charge is subtle, and often works on people not paying attention. But the fact is, no one here has mentioned race--until you did.

I agree with Nam65-66
"They want to win the White House badly,and they will not take any chances with a woman candidate and a black candidate on the same ticket.Obama could get a shot at the vice presidency with a white male in the first position,and Hilliary can get a shot at the first woman president,but she will need a white male in the second spot.That is the way it is in this country at this period of time.Evolution,not revolution."

The "Black" vote is not large enough to get a Democrat elected, but the "Women" vote is. An Obama on Hillary's ticket could (and I believe would) get all the "fed up with affirmative action" back lash and Hillary already has the "anti-Clinton" AND "you're not Bill" going against her. A good solid White Male running mate that won't be shoving "black guilt" or "blacks are STILL secondary" in voters' face would be the smarter choice.

But I personally, because I DO love my country and want to see another "bring it on" GOP in the WH, don't mind if the two hook up for a run and think pundits from both sides of the aisle should continue to encourage this union.

Clever but evil
Did somebody lose a law suit?

Ruben Navarrette Jr dilutes the reasons why people come to Townhall.

Take a poll, promote the top personal blogger to columnist, let this cretan fume at the world from his cave.

Take a look at his votes, that should be a clue.

truthbetold
You are too late.
Ted Kennedy already got befuddled and called him Osama on the Senate Floor!

Promotion
If the media is promoting Barak Obama, they either own him or they think they can if he wins. That is the same reason they extol the virtues of John Kerry--during Viet Nam they could pull Kerry's strings and he would become their marionette. Kerry was groomed by the Radical Jews in the media to undermine the nation and the media kept their hands clean while they enjoyed such titles as "The most trusted man in America"(Cronkite).

MyO
I hadn't yet heard that one! On the other hand, can we believe anything that Ted Kennedy says.

truthbetold
There is video record of it somewhere that is bound to surface during the campaign.
Kennedy got tounge tied and called him Osama bin Bomba. Rush Limbaugh ran the audio clip on his show.
Probably the result of a liquid lunch.

Who Is Going To Run For The Republicans?
About the only person I see with any chance is McCain, and in my opinion, he is not a lot better than Hillery.

I do not wish to see anyone like Obama get the job. For one, other than a very liberal voting record, we hear nothing of substance from him.

I have no problem voting for women or minorities, but I want to hear a genuine and sincere platform. I want to know the candidate is sincere about his/her beliefs, and will have the gonads to stand up for what is right, even if it is not popular.

I am so sick of this supposed bi-partisanship. This is nothing but a code word for selling out the right, with nothing to gain from the left but broken promises.

2008
What if the Republicans go really radical and run Swann, Blackwell or Steele in 2008, assuming that one of them can win this year?

This site

From what I've seen on this blog, we all seem to be saying that Xxxxx (you fill in the letters) is no good and should not be voted in Yyyyy (you fill in the letters) office.

This is a sad state of affairs. Is there no one who will stand up for someone. I will, I'll vote for Newt. He's made mistakes, but I'll not cast the first stone.

Ed

regarding Mr.Obama

My question is what does he Mr.Obama really bring to the table?

Circumvention of the establishment is not the best tactic for trying to decrease the government. (look how many baby boomers ended up being exactly what they hated most)
Perhaps Mr. Liu is stuck in some ivory tower bathed in all of his accomplishments to realize that although true and tried conventions can many times be challenged; nevertheless, Mr. Obama may not fare very well if he tries this tactic in the belt way.


Newt is the best so far BUT
It is still early yet.
Any candidate who comes forward at this time is painting a target on himself.

Yes I am impatient too.

AND I have a bad case of Pneucomputeritus and it is catchy.

reply to truthbetold and Red Stater
I'm a political realist. Trashing the opposition is the name of the game. My guys will need to be better at it than your guys. We all know negative ads work.

Why leftist hype on "conversative" site?
I don't surf here to get the latest puff piece on Obama or Hillary or whoever the leftists are pushing of late. Isn't Slate.com still around for such things?


> Who Is Going To Run For The Republicans?
About the only person I see with any chance is McCain, and in my opinion, he is not a lot better than Hill[a]ry. <

As mentioned earlier by s/o else, Newt for Prez!
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