I moved off the point for a moment, which was no longer getting into a house without a good down payment. Forgetaboutit! So let's move on to checking people's income. What does a tax return show you: how well the borrower did in the PAST. It doesn't do a thing for the future, when the borrower will be making the payments on the house. Just ask the employees of Circuit City, Lehman Brothers, Mervyns, IndyMac Bank and several hundreds of other businesses. The stubbornness of my industry to insist that this is the premier way to ascertain the borrower's ability to repay the loan has been one of the large contributing reasons for the problems we are having.
I believe we should concentrate on the present if we can't use the future. If a borrower has good credit (say, 700 or above) a low loan to value (like 60% or below) and has liquid assets equal to a minimum of a year's gross income, or 50% of the balance of the loan or some combination thereof, this borrower should be acceptable for a lower rate on a refinance.
We would have enough information from the credit report, the value of the house and the fact that the borrower has sufficient liquid assets to care for the loan under any circumstance. Unfortunately, this method of loan approval has been ruled out since December 15, 2008. You obviously can figure out what my opinion is about this ruling?
Liquid reserves, to me, are the answer to most financial problems. If you are still nervous about my idea set up a scale that has the most reserves needed, and seasoned for the longest time, when the loan to value is between 60% and 70% and the credit score is between 680 and 700. At this level, I would want 1 year's gross income in liquid assets that have been seasoned for 1 year (in the borrowers possession). Decrease the reserve requirement as the loan to value drops and the credit score rises, to a maximum of 740 credit score and 50% loan to value. At that value, I myself would be satisfied with 6 months of gross income in liquid reserves that have been seasoned for 6 months.
What we need is common sense and reasonable rules. We need to strengthen the mortgage industry, not destroy it.
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