Townhall.com, Where Your Opinion Counts
Talk Radio:   Bill Bennett   Mike Gallagher   Dennis Prager   Michael Medved   Hugh Hewitt   
BREAKING NEWS  LeftArrow - Townhall.com : Conservative, Political, Republican   RightArrow - Townhall.com : Conservative, Political, Republican  
Columns, funnies & more in your inbox!
  • Check the boxes and send us your email address to receveive your free newsletter
  • Your daily must-read of conservative columns, cartoons and news. Coulter, Sowell, Krauthammer and more.
  • Townhall.com’s weekly inside scoop on what’s happening behind the scenes in the world of politics. When news breaks, we report.
  • Signup to receive the latest daily Townhall cartoons
Tuesday, October 31, 2006
Roger Schlesinger :: Townhall.com Columnist
Risk reward ratio
by Roger Schlesinger
Vote on It:
Average Vote:
[+] Text [-]
 
Poll
Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


This ratio is something we all have lived with, and will continue to live with until we are through with our active life. It is something few think about, but it concerns all of us in so many different ways. Let's take a look at what I am talking about.

When we were just little ones, we learned about the fact that in order to get something we wanted, we more or less threw a tantrum. The risk was that if we went too far, we were rebuked instead of being rewarded. The trick needed to turn the ratio in our favor was to learn just how far we could go and still have a positive result. That was our first lesson in the ratio, but not even close to being our last one.

When we became teenagers, we learned about the ratio when it came to the opposite sex. We took the risk of calling our "dream girl" on the phone to ask for a date. In my case, the fear of rejection was so great that it took a self "pep talk" to dial the phone. If I was turned down, I didn't lose money, but my ego took a tremendous hit. During those times I would have rather lost money, but that wasn't what it was all about. The reward was the date, and I found it always seemed to be greater than the risk. After a while, the rejection became less significant, although much too real at times, because the reward got better and better.

Financially, many of us faced the cost of college and found it daunting, even though in my day it was relatively inexpensive. When I graduated from high school, I was offered a surveyor's job for the City that paid $400 a month. The temptation to take the job was great and for a good reason. When I got out of college four years later I got a job at the bank for $300 a month. The decision to pass on the surveyor's job became easier when my father said I was going to college – period. The risk of disobeying my father far outweighed any reward I could think of – period.

Without belaboring the point, one can point to many instances of risk-reward situations that help shape your being without ever thinking of those instances in that way. Which leads me to the main part of the thesis. What is the risk-reward ratio? Why is it important to make use of in our lives? This ratio is a way to determine if risk, especially financial risk, is worthwhile when we compare it to the reward we might get from the action we are contemplating. Basically, how much could we lose from our plan compared to how much we can gain?

The answer is different for everyone. It is dependent upon your psychological makeup and your financial condition at the time. Would you be willing to lose $100 with the reward of making $125? For some, the ratio of return to the amount of risk is too small, while for others it is okay. At some point, as the reward gets larger in relation to the risk, the pendulum swings and fear begins to grow because of the belief that the financial outcome will not be reached.

Two examples at the extremes of the risk-reward ratio are gambling and buying a house. The risk in gambling is great, while the reward, albeit hard to achieve, can be extremely large. This is the reason for the popularity of gambling, which if examined under a risk-reward scenario would probably not make any sense and deter more people than it does. I am not a gambler and I used my own form of analysis when I was much younger at one of my many visits to Las Vegas. The town was continually growing, rooms were inexpensive, food was inexpensive, and liquor was virtually free, so how could this city be growing? The only thing left was gambling and I quickly realized a whole lot of people had to lose for the City to win in the manner it was demonstrating. I chose not to be one of the losers, thus I didn't gamble. Continued...

1 2
| Full Article & Comments | Next >
Share:
Vote on It:
Average Vote:
 
About The Author

Roger Schlesinger's Mortgage Minute is heard on hundreds of radio stations and daily on the Hugh Hewitt radio show and Michael Medved shows. Roger interacts with his hosts and explores the complicated financial markets in order to enlighten his listeners and direct them along their own unique road to financial freedom.

Be the first to read Roger Schlesinger's column. Sign up today and receive Townhall.com delivered each morning to your inbox.

Hugh, you have sunk
...to new levels of required income. These ads masked as intelligent columns have become so blatantly self-serving for roger that I no longer care for your site. No longer a fan of this site. Adios amigo.

VOTE:
THE MOST IMPORTANT THING YOU CAN DO FOR GOD, FAMILY AND COUNTRY


IS TO VOTE!!!


Not just when you have the time to do it, but at every opportunity that is given to you to do it.

If you do not vote, you are leaving your, and your families, fate in the hands of others. A low turnout on Election Day means that a fervent, well organized minority point of view can easily win and push this nation in a direction it might not want to go. The Iraqi people recognized this when 12 million people (almost 80% of the registered voters) faced threats of death from just such a fervent “terrorist” group and voted for democracy; a concept they didn’t quite understand but knew that its liberties would be far better than the tyranny that such a minority group would establish, given the chance.

So when you vote, make sure you know for what you are voting, and the repercussions that might result from an uninformed decision. Find time to study the issues and be committed to them before you choose. Know what groups have opinions and beliefs similar to yours and see what their recommendations on the issues are. Conversely, see what the opinions of those groups you oppose are and study their recommendations, then cast your vote wisely.
Sign Up to Post Your CommentsSign Up to Post Your Comments
If you are already registered, click here to login. Otherwise, please take a few seconds to register with Townhall.com. Once you sign up, you’ll be able to post your comments immediately, use the action center, get podcasts, and more!
Note: Fields marked with a red asterisk (*) are required.
Salutation:
First Name:
*
Last Name:
*
Email:
*
Nickname:
*
Note: Nick name will be shown when you post comments.
Address 1:
*
Address 2:
City:
*
State:
*
Zip:
*
Phone:
      
Your daily must-read of conservative columns, cartoons and news. Coulter, Sowell, Krauthammer and more.
(Bi-Weekly) We highlight the best opportunities from our partners for surveys, action items and more.