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Friday, July 10, 2009
Rick Aristotle Munarriz :: Townhall.com Columnist
This Week's 5 Dumbest Stock Moves
by Rick Aristotle Munarriz
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Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.

1. Heads you lose, tails you lose
You know there's something wrong in ETF Land when a pair of exchange-traded funds that aim for polar extremes on returns both stink.

Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (NYSE: FAS) and Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares (NYSE: FAZ) executed reverse stock splits yesterday. The two high-risk funds were launched with the goal of creating 300% of the move of financial-services stocks within the Russell 1000. If those stocks climb by 2% on any given day, the Bull 3x fund should notch a 6% gain. The Bear 3x fund should shed 6% of its value.

The problem is that they stink in tracking the index for extended periods of time. Through yesterday's close, Bull 3x was off by 69% and Bear 3x has surrendered 85% of its value. So Direxion executed a 1-for-5 reverse split for Bull 3x and a 1-for-10 reverse split for Bear 3x.

When both indexing extremes fail you, it's time for a new Direxion.

2. Sirius misinformation
The nerve of Mr. Market! Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) announces an important milestone on Monday morning -- that its iPhone app has been downloaded a million times since its debut two weeks ago -- and the stock goes on to fall for four consecutive trading days.

Sometimes it's not what you say that counts -- it's what you don't say. The download is free, so the real tallies to pay attention to are the number of activations. How many of those downloads resulted in new paying subscribers to Sirius XM's premium streaming service? How many existing subscribers decided to kick the tires through free weeklong trials?

These are the material questions that needed to be answered. Sirius XM may have figured that it had the mother of all press releases when it was issued on Monday morning. All it did was cast doubts over the meaty details that were left out.

3. New on the dollar menu: netbooks
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) is selling a $0.99 netbook this week, with a catch. Buyers of the Compaq Mini that normally retails for $389 must also sign up for a $60-per-month mobile broadband plan from Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S).

Work the math and chumps are paying $1,441 for a $389 portable computer.

Now, I have nothing against mobile broadband. I've had it for years. However, who wants to commit to a two-year connectivity contract with an entry-level netbook that may be sorely outdated soon? The way to go is with a USB card that can travel with you from device to device. Besides, if someone is buying a netbook as a cheap alternative to a full-featured laptop, does that person really have the $60 a month to spend on portable Web access?

4. Fitch or cut bait
June was a brutal month for most retailers, but it's hard to get worse than Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF). Comps for the suddenly not-so-hip apparel store operator fell by a sharp 32% last month.

Isn't this the same company that's shuttering its RUEHL stores because they weren't up to snuff? What do you do when comps at each of your four concepts plummets by 30% or more?

Maybe it's not too late to dust off a concept store that specializes in preserving archived copies of disbanded newspapers. I'd call it Abercrombie & Microfiche.  

5. We built this CityCenter on rock and turmoil  
Poor MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM). The casino operator is able to scale huge obstacles in keeping CityCenter afloat, and now the ambitious Vegas project is being attacked from the inside.

Some of its early condo buyers are regretting putting down big deposits as Vegas real estate prices were going through the roof. Now that condo prices in the area have fallen precipitously, nervous owners are angling to negotiate lower prices, suing to get their down payments back, or just walking away from their deposits.

Wasn't it Kenny Rogers who sang about a gambler having to know when to walk away from the table -- or when to run?

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