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Friday, November 06, 2009
Rich Smith :: Townhall.com Columnist
This Just In: Upgrades and Downgrades
by Rich Smith
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


At The Motley Fool, we poke plenty of fun at Wall Street analysts and their endless cycle of upgrades, downgrades, and "initiating coverage at neutral." So you might think we'd be the last people to give virtual ink to such "news." And we would be -- if that were all we were doing.

But in "This Just In," we don't simply tell you what the analysts said. We'll also show you whether they know what they're talking about. To help, we've enlisted Motley Fool CAPS, our tool for rating stocks and analysts alike. With CAPS, we track the long-term performance of Wall Street's best and brightest -- and its worst and sorriest, too.

And speaking of the best ...
Ever wonder what sound "one hand clapping" makes? Judging from the reaction to yesterday's upgrade, Palm (Nasdaq: PALM) investors seem to think it resembles a "barbaric yawp" of victory. They're wrong.

As you've probably heard, Barclays Capitalupgraded Palm shares yesterday, removing its "Under Weight" rating and replacing it with one of "Equal Weight." In essence, the upgrade amounts to advising investors not to risk selling Palm short -- but not rush out and buy the stock, either. Is that good advice?

Survey says: Probably yes
Now admittedly, Barclays is best known for its energy picks. Barclays spends more time advising on energy stocks than on any other sector in the market -- and it does well at it. For example, the banker picked both Suncor (NYSE: SU) and Peabody  (NYSE: BTU) to outperform earlier this year. Both of 'em have done just that -- trouncing the S&P 500's performance by 42 and 57 percentage points, respectively.

But while very much an "energy shop," Barclays is also no slouch when it comes to Tech. Four of the five Computers and Peripheralsstocks Barclays picked over the past year have beaten the market:

Stock

Barclays Says:

CAPS says:

Barclays' Picks Beating S&P By:

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

Outperform

***

90 points

Lexmark Int'l (NYSE: LXK)

Underperform

*

35 points

EMC (NYSE: EMC)

Outperform

**** Continued...

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About The Author

Rich Smith is a business writer with the Motley Fool.

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