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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Rich Smith :: Townhall.com Columnist
This Just In: Upgrades and Downgrades
by Rich Smith
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


At The Motley Fool, we poke plenty of fun at Wall Street analysts and their endless cycle of upgrades, downgrades, and "initiating coverage at neutral." So you might think we'd be the last people to give virtual ink to such "news." And we would be -- if that were all we were doing.

But in "This Just In," we don't simply tell you what the analysts said. We'll also show you whether they know what they're talking about. To help, we've enlisted Motley Fool CAPS, our tool for rating stocks and analysts alike. With CAPS, we track the long-term performance of Wall Street's best and brightest -- and its worst and sorriest, too.

And speaking of the best...
What do you do when one of the biggest names in stockpicking pulls a complete 180 on one of the most popular names in retail? Personally, I listen up. And from what I hear, Citigrouphad a change of heart on Target (NYSE: TGT).

Predicting that "gross margin gains and productivity improvements" will lead to "positive SSS growth" in the coming year, Citi upped its price target on the stock by 39%, and swung all the way around from a "sell" rating to "buy" this morning.

From sell to buy in 60 seconds
Yet for 20 long months, Citi has been advising its clients to dump Target's stock. As of today, that counsel's cost investors more than 16 percentage points of market underperformance. Today, Citi asks that you forget what it told you back in February 2008 (sorry, Citi, CAPS never forgets) and buy Target stock. Should you listen?

Let's go to the tape
Um, no. Oh, I know Citi's record in the retail space isn't allbad:

Company

Citi Says:

CAPS says:

Citi's Picks Beating (Lagging) S&P By:

American Eagle (NYSE: AEO)

Outperform

***

33 points (two picks)

Gap (NYSE: GPS)

Outperform

*

28 points (two picks)

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF)

Underperform

**

8 points (two picks)

Bed Bath & Beyond (Nasdaq: BBBY) Continued...

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About The Author

Rich Smith is a business writer with the Motley Fool.

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