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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Rich Smith :: Townhall.com Columnist
This Just In: Upgrades and Downgrades
by Rich Smith
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At The Motley Fool, we poke plenty of fun at Wall Street analysts and their endless cycle of upgrades, downgrades, and "initiating coverage at neutral." So you might think we'd be the last people to give virtual ink to such "news." And we would be -- if that were all we were doing.

But in "This Just In," we don't simply tell you what the analysts said. We'll also show you whether they know what they're talking about. To help, we've enlisted Motley Fool CAPS, our tool for rating stocks and analysts alike. With CAPS, we track the long-term performance of Wall Street's best and brightest -- and its worst and sorriest, too.

And speaking of the best ...
What do you do when one of the market's top stock pickers hops aboard one of the strongest commodity storiesin recent memory? Personally, I listen up. And from what I hear, Blue Horseshoe loves Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY). ("Blue Horseshoe" being, in this instance, New York banker BMO Capital Markets.)

And why has BMO taken a fancy to Yamana? Excellent question. Problem is, we don't know the answer. You see, while Briefing.com reported the factof BMO's upgrade yesterday, it left out one important bit of information -- the reasonBMO upgraded Yamana. Whether it's due to faulty reporting, or a reticent analyst, not a single major media outlet has any details on the upgrade.

Speak up, BMO!
There are few situations more frustrating to the individual investor than the one we face today: BMO wants us to buy Yamana, yet it won't tell us why. But while we're unable to tell you whatBMO thinks, here at CAPS we can at least clue you in to how wellit thinks.

Let's go to the tape
And here's the good news for Yamana shareholders: BMO's hip deep in the mining sector, and it's striking gold. Over the past three years, this banker has recommended trades on some 40 separate Metals and Miningcompanies -- making this sector BMO's second-biggest-after-oil.

And while BMO's not perfect ...

Stock

BMO Says:

CAPS says:

BMO's Picks Lagging S&P By:

Goldcorp  (NYSE: GG)

Outperform

**

35 points

Alcoa (NYSE: AA)

Underperform

****

31 points

... it still pretty good:

Stock

BMO Says:

CAPS says:

BMO's Picks Beating S&P By:

Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX)

Outperform

****

22 points (two picks)

Silver Wheaton  (NYSE: SLW) Continued...

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About The Author

Rich Smith is a business writer with the Motley Fool.

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