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Monday, December 03, 2007
Rich Lowry :: Townhall.com Columnist
Huck's Daft Tax Plan
by Rich Lowry
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Mike Huckabee is not running a substance-free campaign based on biography and applause lines. No, the former Arkansas governor has the distinction of advocating the most radical -- and politically unsalable and substantively daft -- proposal of any major presidential candidate of either party.

It is the so-called FairTax. It would eliminate the income and payroll taxes and replace them with a (supposedly) 23 percent national sales tax. Not given to rhetorical understatement, Huckabee says, "When the FairTax becomes law, it will be like waving a magic wand releasing us from pain and unfairness." Waving a magic wand is about right -- since the FairTax is a bedtime story for IRS-hating conservatives.

Huckabee adopted the plan when he, unknown and languishing far back in the polls, was a Not Ready for Prime Time Player. It probably seemed a cheap way to inoculate Huckabee from his tax-raising history as Arkansas governor. Huckabee both raised and cut taxes during his 10 years as governor, but his tax hikes outweighed his tax cuts by half a billion dollars.

An editorial in the newspaper The (Arkansas) Leader recounting Huckabee's tax increases reads like a roll call of most of economic life. Huckabee repeatedly increased or expanded the sales tax; hiked the corporate income tax; imposed an income-tax surcharge on individuals and domestic and foreign corporations; raised the tax on gasoline and diesel fuel; taxed admission to theme parks and other tourist activities; taxed snuff, cigarettes, mixed drinks, private clubs and retail sales of beer; and so on. To all of this, Huckabee can now respond, "Yes, but I want to eliminate the IRS."

Tactically, the FairTax offered Huckabee a built-in cadre of activists in the crucial state of Iowa. He knew that he needed to do well in August's Iowa straw poll, where just a few hundred votes either way could make all the difference. As the champion of the FairTax, he tapped into the busloads of FairTax supporters there, finishing second and beating fellow social conservative Sen. Sam Brownback -- who was never heard from again -- by less than 400 votes.

So the FairTax has given Huckabee a convenient talking point, and it boosted him in a key test of Iowa strength five months before anyone actually votes. For the seat-of-the-pants Huckabee operation, this must make it ipso facto good policy. Never mind that it is unworkable and would be politically deadly in a general election.

To avoid the risk of getting both a national sales tax and an income tax, FairTaxers would have to repeal the 16th Amendment. Good luck. Huckabee's magic wand will come in handy.

Then, there's the rate of the sales tax. FairTaxers say that a 23 percent rate would be enough to replace current revenues. What they really are talking about is a tax of 30 cents on every dollar -- what most people would consider a 30 percent rate. The government would pay the tax on all its purchases, a gimmick "done solely to make revenues under the FairTax seem larger than they really are," writes economist Bruce Bartlett. Budget trickery aside, the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation has estimated that the rate would have to go as high as 57 percent.

The tax would apply to everything, even medical expenses, so it would amount to an incredibly regressive tax on even the most necessary purchases of low- and middle-income taxpayers. The home mortgage deduction would be gone, and instead buyers would pay a 30 percent (at least) tax on their homes. To make up for this burden, the government would send monthly "prebate" checks to all Americans based on income. (And you thought our current tax scheme was complex?)

Any of these points makes the FairTax so vulnerable to attack that it would kick away the tax issue as a Republican strength. This is why no serious candidate would ever endorse it. And why, despite his stupefying rise in Iowa and other states, Huckabee seems likable and talented -- but still something less than a serious candidate.

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About The Author
Rich Lowry is author of Legacy: Paying the Price for the Clinton Years .
 
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Low and middle income Americans
Facts for all you misinformed people who believe the FairTax is for the rich only. Currently even if you have no income tax liability, 7.65% of your gross income still goes to Uncle Sam for S.S. and Medicare. Plus, you still pay all the embedded taxes when you buy something. With the FairTax, you will be completely untaxed. If you are earning the poverty level or less, which currently is $34,340 for a family of 4, your monthly prebate check will cover their eitire tax burden. With the FairTax it will be easy to figure the amount of tax you pay. If you have a family of four and you earn $50,000 and you spend your entire earnings, all you need to do is take $50,000 times 23% which is $11,500. And don’t say this percentage should be 30%. Every time you spend a dollar, 23 cents goes to the government. Next you subtract your prebate which is $658 per month times 12 months or $7896. Your net tax for the year will be $11,500 less $7896 or $3604. Do you realize that with our current income tax system, $3,825 would have been withheld from your paycheck just for S.S. and Medicare? This is more than your entire tax burden under the FairTax system. But, with our income tax system, in addition to this withholding, you would have paid approximately $8000 in embeded taxes; plus you would have paid at least another 15% on your taxable income. Even if you had no income tax liability at least $11,000 of your $50,000 would have ended up in the government’s hands. You would really be upset if you had to write a check to the government for $11,000, but our good old withholding and embedded tax system keeps us from knowing exactly how much of our hard earn money ends up in the governments hands.

Clearing up the 23% 30% argument
I get so tired of hearing that the FairTax proposal is really a 30% tax not 23%. I don’t understand what is so difficult to understand. If you cut an apple into 100 pieces, and you give Bill 77 pieces and Joe 23 pieces, Bill got 77% of the apple and Joe got 23%. This is the way a national sales tax works. If something costs $1.00 the seller will receive 77-cents and Uncle Sam will receive 23-cents. I know a state sales tax is a percentage that is added on to the selling price, but to have a true comparison of a federal sales tax to an income tax, the sales tax must be included in the price of the item. If you are and average American, you are in the 15% income tax bracket. When you add on the 7.65% that is withheld from your paycheck for S.S. and Medicare, you pay approximately 23%. This 23% is deducted from your paycheck before you have a chance to buy anything. This means your dollar becomes a 77-cent dollar. If you buy something that cost $1.00 it will take one of your 77-cent dollars and 30% of another. If you say the FairTax is 30% then you must also say your 23% income tax is really 30%. Which ever way you cut the cake, the FairTax will taste better.
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