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Tuesday, December 26, 2006
Rich Lowry :: Townhall.com Columnist
Bush's Vietnam Syndrome
by Rich Lowry
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President Bush is finally getting over his version of the Vietnam syndrome.

"If you're 60 years old, you tend to be a product of the Vietnam era," Bush told me and other journalists in the Oval Office a few months ago when asked if we needed more troops in Iraq. "I remember the tactical decisions being made out of the White House during that period of time. I thought it was a mistake then, and I think it's a mistake now."

Bush will eat these words if he orders the troop "surge" into Baghdad that is considered skeptically by some of his top generals. He thought he was avoiding a mistake of the Vietnam War by deferring to his generals on troop levels, but he has only internalized an erroneous conservative belief about that conflict. Conservatives falsely think that it was the civilian leadership that lost the Vietnam War by restraining the military.

The true lesson of Vietnam is that the civilian leadership should exercise close supervision of the military and ensure that, when fighting an insurgency, it acts in ways that don't come naturally to a U.S. Army that is most comfortable when smashing a conventional enemy.

As Andrew F. Krepinevich Jr. recounts in his classic book on the military's failures in the war, "The Army and Vietnam," it was a civilian, President John F. Kennedy, who was prescient about the coming era of guerrilla warfare. He pushed the Army to learn counterinsurgency warfare, but it ignored him.

The civilian who bears the brunt of conservatives' ire is President Lyndon B. Johnson. He once bragged that "they can't bomb an outhouse without my approval" and imposed political constraints on the use of force. But in a limited war, such constraints are inevitable. The question is whether they make sense or not. Some of LBJ's limits were for sound reasons. We understandably feared provoking the Chinese by a too-wide-ranging bombing campaign in the North.

If LBJ meddled on the air campaign, he didn't meddle enough on the ground. When Gen. William C. Westmoreland wanted 200,000 troops in 1965, LBJ quickly ponied them up.

The problem was that the military didn't know how to win the war. It was clueless about counterinsurgency, which typically requires careful discrimination in applying firepower, light infantry undertaking intensive patrolling, and political action to undermine the basis of the insurgents' support in the population. Instead, it dreamed of replicating the conventional clashes of World War II.

Westmoreland wanted to attrit the Communists, but the Communists wanted to attrit us, and they had a much better understanding of whose will would be broken. So the military did a perfectly fine job of losing Vietnam all on its own. "Westmoreland himself,"historian Eliot Cohen writes, "operated under remarkably little civilian oversight."

Too late, Gen. Creighton Abrams, Westmoreland's replacement, emphasized pacification of populated areas and other classic counterinsurgency tactics. Together with more bombing in the North, they met with some success. "By 1970," historian Max Boot writes, "more than 90 percent of the South's population was under Saigon's control." But, by then, the U.S. was ready to quit the war.

In Iraq, Bush has been deferring to generals of widely varying quality. Some deserved deference, others didn't. The question of troop levels might seem a mere tactical issue, but it has vast strategic implications -- without enough troops, it is impossible to provide the security to the population that is one of the foundations of a sound counterinsurgency strategy. As it became clear that the military strategy in Iraq wasn't working, Bush stuck with it, partly on grounds that he didn't want to gainsay his generals, when he should have been firing them.

Now that he might order a surge, Bush will have to backtrack on his conviction that generals are best left alone. As he does, he should go back and understand the source of his mistake -- a misinterpretation of Vietnam.

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About The Author
Rich Lowry is author of Legacy: Paying the Price for the Clinton Years .
 
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Iraq is Vietnam with sand
The parallels are there for those who recall history. There are allegedly neutral states who support our enemies. There are states with whom we cannot go to war because it would cause regional conflagration. We are hindered from conducting total war because it would cause international economic turmoil and draw in other powers. With only ten active Army divisions and a few Marine divisions, we are not equipped to be the policeman to the world. If the Iraqi security forces don't get squared away quickly, things may get even uglier next year when the Democrats control the purse strings.

A stroll down memory lane
Iraq = Vietnam
Britain = France
Syria = Cambodia
Saudi Arabia = Laos
Iran = China
Russia + China = The Soviet Union
Left Wing Media = Left Wing Media
Democrats hold the purse = deja vue all over again.

OK, the analogies are not perfect, but they are eerily similar.

I had a bad feeling about Iraq (before the invasion) after reading an article about how 75 percent of the population is armed. Folks simply get tired of seeing an occupying force in their neighborhoods, even if they are well-meaning and us. The natives are difficult to pacify and the longer the occupation, the more riled they become. The next thing you know, we'll be destroying the village to save the village.

President Bush undoubtedly thought he was doing the right thing, but we simply bit off too much too soon after 9/11.

Limited War
What a truly idiotic concept. It ranks up there with "mostly dead" and "a little pregnant". Limited war in the sense of the old Great Game between Britain and Russia is one of the few times the phrase has ever made sense - BOTH SIDES were fighting a limited war. Limited war now just means that the powerful country's establishment phones in a token effort against an enemy who is fighting a total war.
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