My mega-strategic thinking is still this: Ideology is going to play a minor part in the thinking of most primary voters in each party. The big issue will be: Who has the best chance of winning?
This will change as the various candidates' campaigns ebb and flow as they certainly will over the next 10 months.
If Hillary loses her lead to Obama; which Republican will GOP voters think has the best chance of countering him?
If Al Gore gets in later this year, does that mean Republicans will look to Fred Thompson?
Before you place your house and kids' college fund in jeopardy by betting heavily on one candidate or another remember the cautionary tale of Howard Dean.
In December of 2003, Governor Dean was the Democratic nominee-presumptive. Then, about three weeks later, the good folks of Iowa went to their caucuses and decided that John Kerry, now Howard Dean was their guy. Three weeks after that, the Dean campaign folded.
Starting today, every Republican should repeat the Democrats' mantra: Giving one party control of both the Congress and the Administration is just … too … dangerous.
On the Secret Decoder Ring page today: The latest CNN poll of Democratic contenders, and a link to the NAM web page about this conference. An amusing Mullfoto which might take you a moment to understand why I thought it was amusing; and a Catchy Caption of the Day. |