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Tuesday, September 19, 2006
Rich Galen :: Townhall.com Columnist
Polls: And When They Are Good ...
by Rich Galen
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Poll
Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


  • The USA Today/Gallup poll released earlier this week had some very good news for the good guys. First, the President's approval ratings have grown to 44% with 51% saying they disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job. Minus seven.

  • If you don't think this is a big deal, keep in mind that back in May, the President's approval rating had dropped to 31%, with 65% disapproving. Minus 34!

  • When polls are bad, we (who are in the business of making the best of a bad situation) view them as minor irritations, sepia-toned, ragged-edged photographs, blurry in their detail, lacking in any depth.

  • When polls are good, though, hoo boy! They are the most important thing in the world; richly-pained tapestries, perfectly formed, sharpened to a scalpel's edge, the data jumping out in three-dimensional glory.

  • But that's not the big news in the Gallup poll. The big news …

    SIDEBAR

    I just realized why I used the image of a scalpel's edge. It's because I had what is called "out-patient surgery" on Monday morning. The answer to your question is: Hernia repair, although I didn't think my hernia needed any repairing. It seemed to be doing just fine on its own.

    What I wanted was the hernia-be-gone surgery.

    When I heard that it was "out-patient surgery" got it in my mind it was like going to the dentist: A couple of Novocaine shots some drilling, rinsing, and spitting, then drive home.

    Outpatient surgery: A few shots, zip, zap, zoom thank you for stopping by; pay the lady on your way out.

    Well, let me tell you: Does the phrase "general anesthesia" mean anything at all to you?

    END SIDEBAR

  • The big news was the answer to the question: "If the election for Congress were being held today which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional District?" This is known as the "generic vote;" it is asked without using candidates' names because the incumbent is often much better known than the challenger and will tend to sway the results.

  • Among likely voters, the answer was: Republican 48%; Democrat 48%. A Tie.

  • Among some Republican electoral experts, the feeling is: If the GOP is in the minus five percentage point range going into election day, that's good enough because the Republican turnout operation will overcome that. Continued...

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    About The Author

    Rich Galen has been a press secretary to Dan Quayle and Newt Gingrich. Rich Galen currently works as a journalist and writes at Mullings.com

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    Well, that settles it for me
    For months now, everyone has been predicting a Democrat takeover in Congress. I have continuously scoffed at such speculation. Though the Democrats may pick up a few seats in the house and a couple in the Senate, I admitted, they won't come close to getting a majority. That's been my line all along; you can look at all of my previous posts on the subject. I have even said that it is possible (though maybe not likely) that Republicans will actually INCREASE their majorities in the House and Senate.

    Well, now I'm ready to go all the way out on that limb. And when I'm proven right in November, I expect everyone to praise me for the genius that I am. The Republicans WILL increase their majority in the House, and will at least break even in the Senate.

    How do I know this? Believe me, it has nothing to do with Democrats spending too much time bashing Bush, or rifts in the Republican party, or the public's frustration with the war. The plain and simple reason is that Democrats 1) are liberal, and 2) cannot deceive 50% of the voters into thinking that they don't suck. For the former fact, we can think George McGovern for turning the party down that path, and the likes of Moore and Kos for keeping it on the road to political irrelevance. For the latter, we can thank Rush Limbaugh and the rest of the "new media", from Fox News to Little Green Footballs.

    If you want a specific reason why Democrats will lose, and lose big, this November, consider this. When they're not bashing Bush, all the Democrats can do is push gay marriage and demonize Walmart. These are both losing issues for the Dems. At least 70% of the population thinks marriage should be between a man and a woman. And at least that same percentage shops at Walmart. More importantly, an even greater percentage of poor people (a big part of the Dem base) shop at Walmart, because they have the best prices. They understand that their groceries and almost everything else they buy will be more costly if Democrats are successful in shutting down Walmart, or even in forcing them to offer certain fringes benefits to their employees. The simple fact is that Walmart has done more to improve the quality of life of poor people than every government handout program every forced on the taxpayers. They not only offer groceries and other items at substantially lower prices than their competitors, but provide millions of jobs to people that would otherwise be unemployed. Not to mention the contributions the corporation makes to various charities. Just look at how much they gave for hurricane Katrina relief. So, go ahead, Democrats, and continue bashing Walmart. Just like George W. Bush, Walmart's not on the ballot for any elected office. But, unlike Bush, if they were on the ballot, they'd kick the Sugar Honey Iced Tea out of you.

    Regards,
    Trevor

    Follow the Bounce

    Pretty amazing to me that Galen would choose not to even mention the bounce that the Republicans were bound to get with the 9/11 anniversary. At least, I'm thinking bounce, due to the President being on prime time, the docu-fictional "Path to 9/11" and the hullaballoo surrounding that, along with the blitz of anti-terror legislation that the President hoped to force through Congress before the election.

    The Rasmussen daily presidential approval poll seems to be showing that there was a bounce, very short-lived, that is now over. I think over the next three weeks the generic congress polls will go back pretty close to where they were in the week before 9/11, which was 10 points or so on the Democrats's side.

    But only time will tell.
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