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Thursday, March 19, 2009
Peter Brookes :: Townhall.com Columnist
Russia's "Reset": A Military Buildup
by Peter Brookes
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From the looks of it, the Kremlin hasn't bought into the whole "reset but- ton" gimmick the White House has put forward as a framework for the Obama administration's new Russia policy.

Despite the olive branch offered by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov at their first meeting in Geneva two weeks ago, Russia has its eyes on matters other than better relations with the United States.

And the Russians clearly don't care who's in power here.

For starters, this week Russia heralded a military buildup with President Dmitry Medvedev calling for "comprehensive rearmament" of the once-mighty Russian armed forces.

In televised remarks, Medvedev proclaimed the "most important task is to re-equip the [Russian] armed forces with the newest weapons systems." The modernization is underway, he noted and will pick up pace, despite the challenges to the country's coffers from falling oil and gas prices and other economic woes.

Russia's defense budget could jump 30 percent this year, boosting Moscow's military might and preserving one of Russia's most-prized business endeavors its arms-export industry, which services the likes of China, Iran, Syria and Venezuela. (Moscow appears to have admitted for the first time yesterday that it has signed a large contract to deliver advanced surface-to-air missiles to Iran.)

Some say the defense budget bump is a result of the shortcomings Russian forces experienced last year when they invaded Georgia. But the Russian defense minister, Anatoly Serdyukov, reportedly said this week that the buildup is needed to thwart a possible US/NATO effort to grab the region's natural resources.

There's no such threat, of course but the Kremlin sees playing the nationalist card as a useful way to distract the public from those aforementioned economic woes.

Russia is also pumping itself up in an effort to quash the US missile-defense system (intended to guard against Iranian launches) proposed for Eastern Europe and to deter possible NATO expansion into Ukraine and Georgia.

It's also looking to project its power far from its neighborhood. A top Russian Air Force general this week claimed that Venezuela could host Russian long-range bombers, based on an offer from Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez. (He also mentioned Cuba as a possible base.)

There's precedent: A pair of Russian Tu-160 "Blackjack" strategic bombers visited Venezuela last fall, conducting patrols over the Caribbean for a spell before returning home to Mother Russia. The Blackjacks were later joined by a Russian flotilla, doing a little muscle-flexing in joint operations with the Venezuelan navy perhaps in a tit-for-tat for US Navy ships' operations in the Black Sea during last year's Georgia crisis.

Not surprisingly, both Moscow and Caracas have downplayed the general's comments, characterizing his suggestion as a mere hypothetical which it is, of course, until it happens.

The Kremlin clearly hasn't hit that reset button it's sticking to the same course it's charted for years: that is, rebuilding and reasserting Russian power by chipping away at US influence and position around the world, using ties with "unfriendlies" (such as Iran) if needed to check Washington.

Of course, Moscow could just be gathering bargaining chips in advance of the first meeting between Presidents Medvedev and Obama next month at the G-20 in London. But the Kremlin's notion of "reboot" isn't the same as the White House's: For Moscow, a restart in relations means a significant retreat in Washington's interests in Europe and elsewhere in the face of a resurgent Russia.

Editors' Note: This piece originally appeared in the New York Post.

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About The Author
Peter Brookes is a Heritage Foundation senior fellow and a former deputy assistant secretary of defense.
 
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Brookes wrote
"And the Russians clearly don't care who's in power here."

Actually they do--because they know that the designated POTUS is an abject version of a surrender-monkey, they have no fear of him doing anything rash or otherwise to stop them from running roughshod!

We need a leader in the WH
A real leader!

When will the Americans realize that we are being sold to the enemies by the CODEPINK, MOVEON, HOLLYWOOD, DSA, ACLU, .... and the White House's Obama himself?

Just when?

I agree
I agree with svpallava above. The Russians will find it much easier to accomplish their rearmament and modernization objectives while we have an administration that will bend over backward to avoid "offending" anyone. Especially when the current administrations objective regarding the military involves downsizing.

Why is it that Dems can't understand that their primary responsibility is not to make the world a fair place, but rather to protect their country from foreign invaders.

Olive branch
We offer it as a token of peace, but Russia sees it as a sign of weakness. Heaven help us.

VLAD IS MEAN
We'll wait and see.

Russia will thump the U.S. aside if we let Obama weaken our nation militarily.

I would too
Most of Eastern Europe which was part of the former Soviet Bloc is now in NATO and the EU. Some of which were even PART of the USSR.

The US plans to place missiles in Poland just a few hundred miles from the Russian border and Poland has always been the gateway to invasion.

NATO was founded as a alliance against the Soviets and most recently attacked without provovation one of Russia's most dear and historic allies--Serbia.

How would the US feel if a Chinese-led alliance now included Mexico and the former US states of Arizona, New Mexico and California? How would it feel if Chinese missiles and Chinese troops were in Mexico or made statements of support toward other states wanting to leave the American orbit? I am betting not too fondly.

If I was Russia I'd be looking at arming too and I'd be casting a wary eye toward the US--no matter who say in the Oval Office.

Akagi the sympathizer
There is no reason for Russia to arm. No one is looking to attack them. Its ridiculus. I bet you are a fan of the Palestinians continually lobbing mortars at Israel as well.

Rather have the Russians
The NATO leadership has finally decided to reconsider their rules of engagement in Afganistan. Das Spiegel last year reported the German Special Forces had the opportunity to take out a terrorist leader in Afganistan but could not because they were not fired upon. They had to let him go.

NATO let us down in Afganistan by not holding the ground. We would not have to go back had it not been for NATO's rules of engagement.

Jesse
"I bet you are a fan of the Palestinians continually lobbing mortars at Israel as well."

No reason for the US to arm against China either I suppose. And while I don't, if I lived in a Gaza refugee camp, I'd not shed any tears about mortars falling into southern Israel.

my 2 cents
SOME THINGS DON'T CHANGE:

Them roooskies respect only one thing; overwhelming force and the WILL TO USE IT. (ok - 2 things)

T'was always that way, t'will always be that way.

Why is that so hard to understand?

Can no one read HISTORY?

Oh, I forgot - history is no longer a required course in today's more enlightened curricula.

Silly me

Response to Michelle's 12:49 question
(maybe it was rhetorical, but...)

"Why is it that Dems can't understand that their primary responsibility is not to make the world a fair place, but rather to protect their country from foreign invaders".

Well, the party's unofficial (real) name now is Dhimmicrud-commiequeer--because the criterion for membership is to be dhimmi and/or commie.

Akagi
Why do you keep bringing up the Chinese? The reason Gaza even has refugee camps is because no other country wants those degenerates. They are fans of Hamas and allow terrorists to dominate thier homes.

Jesse
You say there is no reason for Russia to arm. They might well say the same about us. Just because you say so doesn't sooth them any.

I live in the US and personally I want to see my military strong and at the ready, it would be very short sighted of me to think other countries did not share the same view on their military.

There are potential threats the Russians are looking at, although you may not view them as being real threats to Russia, the people responsible for the secuirity of that nation must look at the potential. Russia didn't see where basing missles in Cuba should be seen as a threat by the US but JFK and 99.9% of Americans saw that differently.

If you've got a club you need to expect the other guy is going to want one too, you just make sure yours is big enough and you know how to use it.

Akaqi
You wrote: "No reason for the US to arm against China either I suppose. And while I don't, if I lived in a Gaza refugee camp, I'd not shed any tears about mortars falling into southern Israel."

I agree in that if I was Palestinian I wouldn't care either. On the other hand, if they were shooting them from my neighborhood, I'd be plenty excited. I wouldn't want to risk Israel shooting back.

Ray
You missed the point. We arm ourselves because there are many countries that want us to go away. Most countries could care less about Russia, but sure they have the right to arm themselves as well. The systems we want to deploy in Poland are strictly defense systems, unlike the missile systems the Russians wanted to install in Cuba which were offensive.

The name of the game is power
Russia is a powerful country. They have nuclear weapons (which alone makes them a power) and vast amounts of natural resources, which Western Europe relies upon. They have a power-broker (Putin) who is very smart and very shrewd. I have wondered where all those communists went after the old Soviet Union crumbled. Does anyone believe that Putin just woke up one day and decided not to be a communist? He knows the humiliation, as well as do all those communists we don't hear about, that the Soviet Union experienced when they fell. These people have a lot of national pride and will never, ever, let the U.S. have its way in the world. My advice to Obama is not to think that the Russians will be impressed with his smile and so-called articulation. We will see soon enough how much Obama knows and understands of U.S.-Russian relations, and the dynamics involved in it. We will see soon enough if Obama has any backbone to stand up to Russia.

Well, it's a relief that we have a
strong-on-defense POTUS!

HA! The minute it was clear that Barack Weakness is Strength Obama would become president, Russia unencumbered the funds to get stronger than the USA. They KNEW about Obama's public positions and his seeming disgust of the US Military.

What a clusterf*** waiting to happen!

Watch this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7o84PE871BE

This is ONE DANGEROUS LIMP-WRISTED FOOL!

The Russians, Putin, in particular will drink his blood like vampires.

"We'll be tested within 6 months . . "
Meanwhile, the President wishes that Putin and Medvedev would hold off until March Madness is over.
At least he can send Hillary out to deal with it, unless NC State goes down early.

Ho-Hum
Here we go again. Russia has been an expansionist country ever since the Duke of Muscovy looked with greed south toward Kiev. Russia also has been rather consistantly paranoid. Therefore, our protestations about the defensive nature of those missiles in Eastern Europe fall on deaf ears. The default setting for Russian minds is that anything near their borders is part of a threat against Mother Russia. After all, that's what they've always done to others and why they turned the eastern european nations into a cordon sanitaire.

Akagi is correct. How would we feel if Russia were allied with Mexico and former US states? We would be very suspicious and wary. As for the missiles in Cuba, they were a two-pronged effort. They were in part the result of Kruschev's reading of JFK as a weakling to be tested and bested; also, they were a response to US IRBMs deployed in Turkey within range of Soviet territory. BTW, they were removed after the Soviets pulled their missiles out of Cuba, probably as part of a quid pro quo agreement.

Lastly, when the Warsaw Pact died, did NATO, created to oppose the Pact, go away? No, it moved closer to Russia and incorporated former conquests and political entities that had always been part of the Russian hegemony. What a great way to signal peaceful intentions!

Modern day US politicians, of whatever political stripe, seem to be unable to deal with other nations as they are. Other nations are seen as either beyond redemption and evil, basket cases that need to be "saved" or places to be used for our purposes. Obama seems to be trying be less confrontational, but he's bending over so far backward to be non-offensive I fear he is sending the wrong message in all directions. His "citizen of the world" persona will get old rather quickly with all those nationalists abroad.

Russian Re-arming
There is one big problem I see to Russian re-arming and building up its military. They can't pay the wages of the soldiers they have!

It wasn't that long ago that I read about some division that had sold all their equipment, including weapons, just to be able to buy local food since they weren't getting any of that either. Now they want to increase their military?

I don't care if they do but it makes me wonder how and where they are getting the money since their criminal groups have basically taken over all the oil, etc. that Russia has for their own personal accounts.

Akagi
Your anti-American comments while displaying sympathy and support for Communist Russia is very telling.

And now you say.."I'd not shed any tears about mortars falling into southern Israel."

That says all we American Patriots need to know about you! You aren't worth spit! And neither is anything you post!

Upland William
One correction. The Russian missiles were never actually pulled from Cuba. Most are still there and more were added. A few were removed for publicity but there was a strong push made by Congress against Kennedy to insure that nothing was done. Too many were worried that Washington might be the first target and none could figure out a good way to leave Washington until the problem was solved.

I had confirmation of that several years later when I was in the military.

Dose Of Reality
This is the reality.

So, we have Russia, facing NATO in the West, China in the East and Muslim fundamentalists in teh south. And we have the US, bordered by Canada and Mexico. Which country would you expect to be spending more in defense?

At this point, the US military budget is greater than the military budgets of every other nation on earth....combined. That's right. We spend more on our military than the entire rest of the world.





why worry
we got a messiah in the wh.

Mr. Brookes
Why is the USA paying for the defense of Europe?

-------POPULATION-------GDP------
---EU----500 million---$14 trillion
Russia-150 million-----$2 trillion

Why is the USA spending ten's of billions of dollars every year for the defense of Europe? And defend against who?

45caliber:
I think you have been misinformed. Those missiles most definately would not still be in Cuba today. They were SS-4s and would be obsolete as a dodo today. The only danger they would present would be to the poor saps who tried to launch them.

From what I know, the Navy confirmed their removal as they were shipped back to Russia and the launch sites were dismantled long ago. Ever since then Cuba has been under extensive surveillance and it is highly unlikely that modern missiles could have been brought in.

Jesse
The Russians are not going to view the missiles in Poland as strictly defensive in nature. If I were them I would not either, if you would then I don't want you responsible for the security of my country. Not trying to offend you with that, simply saying anyone who will be sold on "Trust Me" is not skeptical enough for security work.

Another thing, you point out correctly that the missles are defensive, but what and who are they defending against? You tell someone they can trust you then build new defenses against them, you can't act too suprised if they counter.

Don't get me wrong, I've got few reservations about putting missle defenses in Europe, Asia, Antartica, the moon wherever we are allowed. I just don't get real suprised when the Russkies get annoyed over it nor does it bother me.

Jesse
"There is no reason for Russia to arm."

Are you a Moron? Don't you know their history in the 20th century?

Goshawk
"And now you say.."I'd not shed any tears about mortars falling into southern Israel."


You left out the very important qualifier and very dishonest in doing so. "If I lived in a Gaza refugee camp." Anti-American? No. But not one of its jingoistic cheerleaders either.

Jesse:

The reason the Arabs don't take them in because they don't want to reward Israel with facts on the ground. Should the US take in British refugees if they get overrun by Pakistanis?

zapdoodat:

The US isn't in Europe to protect Europe (or in Japan to protect Japan) but to project power. Europe serves a much better rear area than say Georgia if you are fighting in Iraq.

I feel sorry
I feel sorry for the Russian people and for us too. The Russians I have met in Finland and Russia during 2007 and 2008 like Putin very much. He carries a promise of former power and world respect with him. They believe he will correct what was wrong with the soviet system and preserve what was good. And Russia will be a respected world power once again. In the meantime, the interior of GYM shopping mall is empty, housing is limited, water is not really potable even in Moscow and St. Petersburg, buses and subway trains are at least 50 years old. Medical care is antiquated and dangerous. Everyone must carry a national ID/passport at all times and anyone can be stopped by police at any time without cause. A few people who were in the right place at the right time when the soviet union collapsed are gazillionaires and corruption is rampant. And Putin is going to spend whatever they do have on the military.

And our leaders want the same future for us without a strong military. The greatest experiment in socialism is a complete failure and our current leaders want to take us down the same path. And playing nice with the Russians ought to speed the process up.

Akagi
"Europe serves a much better rear area than say Georgia if you are fighting in Iraq."

Had we left the defense of Europe to the Europeans, then maybe we wouldn't have had blundered into Iraq?

zap
"...left the defense of Europe to the Europeans, then maybe we wouldn't have blundered into Iraq"

That doesn't make much sense on a couple of things.

What makes you think we were defending Europe? If you believe we were defending Europe, then from whom? This would be the same "Europe" that was run over by Germany. Twice. Within 20 years.

Second thing. How did Iraq get tied into this?

Ray
"This would be the same "Europe" that was run over by Germany. Twice."

Isn't Germany a NATO ally now and an integral part of the EU? Time to get into the 21st century and stop relying on your WWII documentaries for your points of view. It's a different world now.

my two cents
This is really a bit off the subject but: When I was in the service in the 60s i was in Athens I picked up a recording of Tchaikovsky's Overture of 1812 and it is unlike anything I have ever heard - it is done using a chorus. If you are EVER in a music store and you happen to like classical music and you can find THAT recorking of the piece - there are DOZENS available, buy it. It's on RCA and the front cover has yellow in it and the other piece is some Beethoven, but there is NOTHING like this piece done with a chorus.

BTW - Thaikovsky was gay. Just thought I'd add that.


Zap
Aside from the name-calling do you have anything of value to add to the discussion? When was the last time a nation took up arms or railed against Russia? The history of Russia is to be the aggressor, unlike our country where we defend liberties. Get a clue man and feel free to throw out some facts instead of barbs.

Jesse
"Get a clue man and feel free to throw out some facts instead of barbs."

Russia (150 million people) has borders with the EU (500 million people) and China (1.3 billion people).

Why does the US taxpayer need to spend money defending Europe in the 21st century?


Akagi
You asked "Should the US take in British refugees if they get overrun by Pakistanis?"

I don't think we should but I beleive we would. Not sure where you are going with this...


Zap
Last I checked most of the countries in Europe are still our allies. Having a military presence in Europe is a deterrent against attacks. I'd be all for pulling out of there but those EU cowards would be steam rolled in a heartbeat.

China, I'm not real sure about though. I honestly can't say one way or another what there long term goals are.

Hey AKAGI
I would feel much better knowing you were in the former state of California if your delusional dreams ever came true!!!

Akagi
Back when the West divided the Ottoman Empire lands conquered, the Jews got the land west of the Jordan and the Moslems got the land east of the river. The Moslems living west of the Jordan were denied entry into the new country, Jordan.

That's where "Palestine" came from.

The present problem in Israel (which properly runs from Jordan to the Med) is the result of spinless Westerners not putting their foot down.

If I lived in a Gaza refugee camp, I'd have only one source of information, and several groups of thugs around to make sure no other voices were heard as to the reality of the situation. Under those circumstances, I'd also cheer at Israel's misfortune. I'd have no way of knowing any different, and I'd get killed if I did not.

Kermujin has it right
Bullies always see an offering of peace as weakness ... thats a fact of nature.

Terry got it right too
Those Russians are tuff sons-of-bitches ....
Read anything you can about Stalingrad.

RUSSIA
They will build up and there isn't a thing the USA will do about it,except cower in some corner hoping they won't whip our rear!

ZAP
YOU HAD BETTER READ THE BOOK OF REVELATION KJV. Why build up? They will lead a host of nations against Israel,but they get whipped by God himself.

Russia and Gibbs' Quip
Robert Gibbs quipped, "We might be talking about Russia." The context was the press briefing the other day. He was being "tortured" by the press over AIG, etc.

Anyhow, the remarks shows that the Obama adm is indeed thinking about Russia, these days.

Cavell
Basically everything you have to say is from some left wing retard site that is as unoriginal as saying the GOP is dead. Feel free to do some of your own homework for a change.

Cavell
You are right in some respects,we are
what you say,but look who's running the show now.You think China is playing games or Chavez,they are out to destroy our way of life,but here's what I think. From within our own country we will be destroyed.There are already cells in our borders ready to finish what osoma started.Also read Ezekiel 37-39 KJV Or Daniel 11-12.Okay,you don't believe it!Oh well---------

Cavell
and speaking of marginally less idiotic - do you really know why Georgia attacked Russia? Or Ossetia? Feel free to look it up. You like to think you have things figured out but psedo intelligence shows otherwise.

Watch Ukraine
If you want to see if Obama has any spine, just watch any and all comments on Ukraine. As Brzezinski famously noted, Russia without Ukraine can never again be an empire. Russia with Ukraine is automatically an empire again.

COMING COLLISION OF AMERICA. AND RUSSIA
The disastrous collision of a U.S. commercial and defunct Russian military satellite on Tuesday, February 10th over Siberia came just seven days after Iran launched its first sputnik into space, a harmless peaceful communications satellite, so we are told, called Omid or Hope-to commemorate the 30th anniversary of the Iranian revolution, the one that calls for the violent world conquest of Islamic peace.

Tuesday, the 3rd day of the week, was dedicated to the war god Mars in Roman times, and I wonder if the heavenly collision was an ominous sign prefiguring a terrestrial clash between Russia and the U.S. over Iran's nuclear weapons program. Unfortunately, the Russians have shown zero interest in stopping Iran's quest for the bomb while busily selling them nuclear technology at rock bottom prices for their civilian energy program. This should surprise no one as a nuclear armed Iran is a strategic asset to Russia in its ambition to control the world's energy supplies. Let's have no illusions, these two country's are allies in evil

Will evidence turn up of Russian collusion with Iran's illicit program? Will this be Obama's first major test in foreign policy? Or will the two countries collide over some other matter like Russia's sale of advanced weapons systems to Iran, or naval exercises in the Caribbean with benevolent dictator Benito Chavez? Will there be a disastrous collision at sea as there was in space with U.S. and Russian warships firing on each other? Will we go to Defcon 4 as we did in the days of the Cuban Missile Crisis?

Or could this collision have been a celestial sign urging us to destroy the Iranian satellite which the mullahs could divert to military purposes especially against Israel once they go nuclear? Maybe debris from the two destroyed satellites will impact the Iranian satellite and do the job for us rendering it useless, or should I say hopeless.



Mistaken
Of course you are all mistaken. Surely all the world is enamored with our president. All Obama has to do is read a few platitudes from his teleprompter and Russia will roll over like a whipped pup. Right?

Obama is an idiot
He showed his foreign policy ignorance during the campaign and voters chose to ignore it. They are now about to reap the benefits.

Interesting
China is increasing Military spending, so is Russia.

Obama wants to cut our Military spending by 10 percent, and wanted to make our wounded troops pay for their own health care.

WOW!

Al in CO - I concur, Obama is an Idiot
When a Part in a Machine breaks and the Machine malfunctions. You can either replace the entire Machine at Great expense or replace the Defective part causing the problem. Obama needs to go...
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