Having participated in every Presidential election since 1960 as a
reporter, commentator, Congressional assistant, delegate or activist, I
am in a position to state without contradiction that there has been no
election like this one in the past half century.
Think about it. This election is the first since 1952 without either a
President or Vice President as a candidate. That was the year that
General Dwight D. Eisenhower defeated former Governor Adlai E.
Stevenson, which brought back the Republicans for the first time in 20
years. That fact alone caused the late NBC political guru Tim Russert to
declare that he was so fortunate to be alive for this 2008 election
which is in and of itself precedent-setting. Unfortunately Russert
didn't live to see the outcome.
Secondly, it is difficult to remember that as the electoral season began
before the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary all the pundits
knew that the Democratic nominee would be Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton
and if she had a serious opponent it would be perhaps New Mexico
Governor Bill Richardson. The Republican nominee would be former New
York Mayor Rudolph (Rudy) Giuliani. Who would be Giuliani's real
challenger? Why, it would be former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
A funny thing happened on the way to the cutting-room floor, as we used
to say.
Of course, the Democrats would have a woman on their ticket. The
so-called women's groups were front and center in Hillary's campaign.
Republicans never would have a woman on their ticket, we were led to
believe. After all, to be a real woman you had to be liberal. The
Democrats put forth an interesting cast of potential nominees. Former
Senator Mike Gravel, of Alaska, emerged from obscurity to embarrass his
fellow candidates. Congressman Dennis Kucinich, of Ohio, took the prize
for taking the most far-out positions. Other candidates such as Senators
Joseph R. Biden, Jr. and Christopher J. Dodd were rather typical
Democrats. They thought they could do well against Hillary because poll
data showed she had high negatives. And then there was a freshman
Senator with the unusual name of Barack Hussein Obama. He was a Black.
Blacks had run for President before in Democratic primaries. They didn't
do well. So how would a freshman Senator who only had been in federal
office for a couple of years before he declared for the Presidency
possibly survive against the heavyweights?
Just one problem. Obama is a captivating speaker able to attract throngs
of young people. He made the word "change" the main idea of the 2008
elections. It didn't take long for the candidates besides Clinton and
Obama to drop out. Obama looked as if he had the nomination sewed up. He
won a dozen primaries in a row. Suddenly it was a Clinton v. Obama
two-person race. She came on strong toward the end of the process and
barely lost the Democratic nomination to the freshman Senator from
Illinois.
Over in Republican land the man who was endorsed by almost anyone who
was anyone in the Republican primaries, the same man with a huge
financial advantage, bombed out quickly. Rudy Giuliani had a strategy of
ignoring the first smaller states and holding his whole campaign hostage
to Florida. He was defeated. The victor? The Senator from Arizona, who
two months earlier had been carrying his own bags, Senator John S.
McCain III, with the help of Independents in New Hampshire and Florida,
suddenly emerged from written-off to frontrunner. Romney was depleting
his children's inheritance, trying to catch McCain. He, too, dropped out
the day after saying he was staying in all the way to the GOP Convention
in St. Paul, Minnesota. That left former Governor Mike Huckabee, of
Arkansas, as McCain's only opponent. He was more of a regional candidate
whose deft humor could not overcome McCain's momentum. The man whose
campaign had been tagged as dead and buried found himself the winner of
the Republican nomination for President.
What a year! Still, the week before the party conventions, the Vice
Presidential nominees had not yet been selected. There was more
speculation about the selections in both parties than anyone can
remember. Would Obama put Hillary on the ticket? How about a woman?
Obama's wife wanted no part of Hillary on the ticket. How about another
woman? The campaign was afraid that the Clinton people would consider
such a move a poke in the eye. What was Obama's chief weakness? Defense
and foreign policy. So in the end the candidate who had received 9,000
votes in the early primaries took the place of the woman who received 18
million votes. Still, most everyone thought Biden was a solid choice.
On the Republican side, Senator McCain waited until the last moment to
select Alaska Governor Sarah Heath Palin as his running mate. That move
single-handedly revived a moribund GOP and most likely will make for a
very lively and close general election, an election which is still
Obama's to lose. The Republican Party had been split with Representative
Ron Paul, of Texas, securing big money and support. But it is difficult
to recall any Vice Presidential pick who has so reframed the general
election. So experience is with the Vice Presidential nominee among the
Democrats and with the Presidential nominee among the Republicans.
Excitement is generated for Democrats with the Presidential nominee and
for Republicans with the Vice Presidential nominee.
The political autumn now is with us. There is every indication that this
will be an extraordinarily interesting and exciting campaign between now
and November 4. What finish could possibly match what has happened in
this truly remarkable year? How about this: McCain wins the popular vote
but Obama is elected President by means of the Electoral College.
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