A movement is underway across the nation to change the way we elect the
President. Since the bitterly contested election of 2000, in which Vice
President Albert A. Gore, Jr. won the popular vote but lost the election
to President George W. Bush, Democrats have been anxious to modify the
way in which the President is elected. For many the goal is either to
eradicate the Electoral College or make its votes insignificant to the
outcome of the election.
Recently, Republicans and Democrats in California have proposed two
separate ballot initiatives for the 2008 election that would alter the
way California's electoral votes are distributed in the Electoral
College. The Republican proposal would replace the winner-take-all
system with one in which the electoral votes would be awarded by how
Congressional districts vote.
Meanwhile, Democrats have introduced "The National Popular Vote for
President Act." This initiative would require States to award their
electoral votes to whichever candidate wins the most actual votes (i.e.,
popular votes) nationally. It would take effect only if States
representing a majority of the Electoral College votes agreed to the
change. Because of California's population and influence, there is a
concentrated effort to push this initiative through next year. A
Democratic consultant told the LOS ANGELES TIMES that "a lot of people
who lived through the 2000 election ...feel pretty strongly that we
ought to have a national popular vote. The Electoral College is a
vestige of another time period." The presumption behind this statement
is that if history conflicts with one's desire for power, abolish
history and retain power at all costs.
But the Founders created the Electoral College because they believed it
to be most prudent to protect the interests of a diverse nation. They
were wary of a central government with too much power, so they
established a federal system of government that limited the
responsibilities of the national government and left all others to the
States.
If this initiative in California and others like it across the country
were to succeed our electoral system would change in two ways.
First, it would give undue influence to large urban areas at the expense
of rural voters. Cities like New York City, San Francisco, Chicago and
Los Angeles would have far more importance in a popular vote than they
do in the Electoral College. Campaigning in Iowa and South Carolina,
which currently attracts much attention, would cease because voters in
those States would be of little significance to the Presidential
election. Instead of representing a diverse group of Americans from
across the nation, the President would represent those in large cities.
Second, it would have the potential to contradict the votes of those
within the State itself. If a candidate were to win the popular vote
nationwide but Californians had voted for another candidate, the votes
of Californians would not go to the one for whom they had voted but to
the one for whom citizens of other States had voted. So it would be
possible for the voters of populous states like New York, Illinois,
Texas and Florida to decide which candidate would receive California's
electoral votes.
While it theoretically is possible in the Electoral College to win the
Presidential election by winning the eleven most populous states
[California (55 votes), Texas (34), New York (31), Florida (27) Illinois
(21), Pennsylvania (21), Ohio (20), Michigan (17), Georgia (15), New
Jersey (15), and North Carolina (15)] and disregard the rest of the
country, no President has ever come close to achieving such a feat. The
States themselves, though populous, are too diverse. Instead,
candidates must campaign across the country, maintaining the Founders'
original intent that Presidential candidates seek popular support over a
geographical majority of the country, not in isolated urban areas.
The Founding Fathers were highly suspicious of unregulated majorities.
Hence, they deliberately created the Electoral College to constrain the
will of the majority and to ensure that the votes of those in less
populous States were heeded. Californians should be wary of this latest
attempt to enfeeble the Electoral College. Power is seductive. James
Madison perceptively warned against unrestrained majority rule in
Federalist # 10. "When a majority is included in a faction, the form of
popular government enables it to sacrifice to its ruling passion or
interest both the public good and the rights of other citizens," he
wrote. "Either the existence of the same passion or interest in a
majority at the same time must be prevented, or the majority, having
such coexistent passion or interest, must be rendered, by their number
and local situation, unable to concert and carry into effect schemes of
oppression...." This is great wisdom that, in spite of its age, is
applicable today. |