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Monday, February 23, 2009
Paul Greenberg :: Townhall.com Columnist
Our Own Lost Decade?
by Paul Greenberg
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Who said, "East is East and West is West, and ne'er the twain shall meet?"

Wait, wait, don't tell me; let me Google it up on my own and call it, in the grand tradition of Tom Lehrer's ditty about Nikolai Ivanovich Lobachevsky ... Research!

Ah, yes, here 'tis: Kipling. Of course.

But no matter what that rip-roaring versifier contended -- Orwell called Kipling the best of the bad poets -- this country seems determined to follow the same economic policies that Japan did back in the '90s. And achieve the same gosh-awful result: a lost decade.

This still new administration just passed its first, $787 billion spending bill to stimulate the economy. Small potatoes compared to Japan's great (and failed) experiment in the 1990s. During that decade the Japanese adopted ten (10) stimulus packages worth a grand total of $1.4 trillion in today's U.S. dollars, including $500 billion spent just on public works from 1992 to 1998.

The result: Japan's unemployment rate doubled. Its economy mainly just stood still, slowly sinking in the East. If just spending money on the same old failed enterprises could end a recession, Japan should have been booming. It wasn't. Quite the opposite. Welcome to the Lost Decade.

Japanese politicians thought they could go on subsidizing their mismanaged banks and industries indefinitely. The result: They kept their country's economic slide going indefinitely.

Now the masterminds in Washington are making the same super-sized mistake when it comes to the failing and flailing American auto industry.

This time General Motors and Chrysler have asked for another $21.6 billion from the taxpayers on top of $17.4 billion they got just last December. Even then it was clear they would be back soon enough with their hands out.

Can anybody be surprised that the last bailout didn't work? And will anybody be surprised when this one doesn't?

At this point, the prospect is for bailouts as far as the eye and accountants can see.

Ah, but if these automotive giants don't get their billions, they warn, they'll go bankrupt.

Is that a threat or a promise? These outfits have needed to be reorganized, re-capitalized, and generally revitalized for years now. Bankruptcy would be the most direct way to do it.

Call it re-organization, merger, acquisition or any other name that might soften the blow, but only clear, definite action can free these debt-bound giants from the immense hole they've dug for themselves. And want to go on digging.

But instead, they're holding themselves for ransom. ("Give us the money or we'll go broke!")

GM and Chrysler are already shutting down assembly lines and dropping some of their poorest-selling models. Say goodbye to Dodge Aspen, Durango, PT Cruiser, Saturn, Hummer, some Pontiac models ... and who knows how many others by the time all this is over.

A lot of good people, people who've done their jobs and followed the rules, many of whom have been pillars of their church and community, are going to get hurt. Like the kind of small-town car dealers who are the bulwark of every good cause in their community. While the highbinders may float away on their golden parachutes, everybody else could feel the pinch.

But Americans have gone through much worse and not only survived but triumphed. Better a definite crisis now that leads to a new start than unending entropy.

Creative destruction, the economist Joseph Schumpeter called the essence of capitalism. While it's the destruction that may be most evident at the moment, the creativity is already showing. Saturn dealers, for example, are tying to find a way to preserve Saturn as an independent, freestanding, international company.

Why let these huge moribund corporations divest themselves of this or that branch piecemeal as they founder? Are they likely to do any better at shutting down their unprofitable branches than they did adding them?

Why not do the job for them? It needs to be done quickly, clearly, legally -- in bankruptcy court.

Yes, it would be painful. Drastic surgery usually is. But afterward these overextended outfits could start to recuperate.

Congress' approach to date can be summed up simply enough: Send good billions after bad, getting only paper promises and vacuous assurances in return. That's not good enough. These corporate leviathans are a money hole. The only thing sure about the next bailout is that still another will be demanded.

But the administration may only temporize, and wind up adopting the Japanese model willy-nilly. This country, too, can lose the next decade. East and West can meet -- in failure.

Let's give the American auto industry a new beginning. And end this form of corporate welfare as, unfortunately, we're coming to know it.

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No Stimulus intended.
They know this will not stimulate the economy, so they did it for other reasons. They are using fraud to take power in this country. Certainly it is fraud to pass socialized medicine this way and the other undesirable programs they have changed. They are probably in charge owing to fraud. It is a sad day for America, in fact, for the free world. The Russian's said it best using humor. The Russian joke went, "If America goes socialist, where are we going to buy our grain?" Remember when they bought our grain, may still.

did japan cave to their unions?

The lost decade for Japanese gives pause for thought. will Obama pause? He seems always in an urgent hurry to beat the clock. Something learned beneath the basketball hoop?

NO-- he won't stop. He'll keep spraying taxpayer dollars all over the Detroit landscape. WHY? The automaker's unions is why. They OWN Obama.

I have to laugh
I will be in Japan in exactly a month, to do the work of the lord and savior Jesus Christ. I have to laugh because it was not that long ago that liberals were talking about the mistakes of the Japanese economy and their over spending with their continual stimulus packages. The answer then was to open their economy, allowing their currency to circulate. It worked yet the same liberals have in a decade forgot what they was preaching to the Japanese.

Who's in Control?
I said in another comment that to understand Obama, his policies, and his actions a person has to understand George Soros. At that time, I was just finishing the second chapter of "The Shadow Party How George Soros, Hillary Clinton, and Sixties Radicals Seized Control of the Democratic Party" by David Horowitz and Richard Poe.

I'm in chapter 6 now and I would add that to understand what's happening to our economy a person has to understand George Soros. On 'Black Wednesday' (September 16,1992) he became known as the 'Billionaire who broke the Bank of England'. page 87

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/2773265/Billionaire-who- broke-the-Bank-of-England.html

His profit from that crash was nearly $2 Billion.

Then there came 'Black Monday' (August 17, 1998) when Russia was forced to devalue the ruble and default on its debt. Read pages 90 - 95 to learn how Soros was intimately connected 'with Russia's wholesale collapse into corruption and anarchy."

And finally, there's our own financial meltdown on September 11, 2008 when $550 Billion were withdrawn from our money markets. That's what panicked Bush and Paulson.

In a 2004 interview with Richard Poe, Anne Williamson said: "Through them [the Clintons], Soros found a public platform to espouse his wacky politics. With Bush in power, Soros no longer has that kind of influence. That's a big part of what's driving him crazy."

Soros said in a PBS interview in 1995 that: "I do have great access in [the Clinton] administration. There is no question about this. We actually work together as a team." pg 90-91


Japan
Patrick:

Don't you think it rather presumptuous to go around to another culture and tell them how they should all convert to the Christian faith? Would many Americans welcome being "witnessed" to by some adherents of say Shinto or Buddhism--not that that happens. Didn't you guys cause enough problems back in the 1630s

And while some say the US won't fully recover from its economic collaspe for 6-12 years and while there are some comparisons--the Japanese economic crisis began with a real estate bubble that burst followed by a string of bank failures and the Nikkei losing 80% of its value from the high in 1989. Japan also had a number of systemic issues that the US doesn't have--both political and economic and it unwise to compare Japan late 1991-early 1992 to the US early 2009.

The stimilus packages failed in Japan because of deep rooted systemic problems at both the economic level and the political level. This is not to say the one passed last week will work in the US. Much of the spending is not until 2010 and beyond and has little direct impact on the economy anyway, but the stimilus packages failed in Japan for reasons not present in the US and to compare the two is foolish and shows a lack of understanding of Japan as it existed in 1992.




The bailout flu
We had the bird flu, the asian flu, now the bailout flu. Who cares if Japan showed us that this won't work. They were just lacking the proper messianic figure.

You couldn't give me a GM or Chrysler for 50% off and 0% interest after this travesty. Good riddance boys. Bring on the tough love.

Oh, wait, OBummer is here to prop them up indefinitely.

Long live Ford, Honda and Toyota

Japan--Keep the change
Japan has had a messianic figure for quite some time--the emperor--and in this case Akihito.

As I said Japan's stimilus failed because of deep rooted and systemic problems both at the economic and political levels. No stimilus would have worked. The US plan isn't really a stimilus but a suplemental budget for a long list of Democratic pet programs and will have zero effect on the economic problems except by increasing the debt (and I don't believe Obama's claims to slash the debt by half by 2012).

Your opposition to giving money to GM and Chrysler I fully support as do a vast majority (70%) of other Americans. Chrysler is dead by December anyway.

A Mistake?
"Now the masterminds in Washington are making the same super-sized mistake when it comes to the failing and flailing American auto industry."

In what time warp could it possibly be considered a mistake? They know EXACTLY what they are doing. And it is an attempt to destroy our freedoms so we can be forced into the communist mold prescribed by the 60's hippies, Hillary, and Soros! Don't know about the rest of you, but I'm joining in on the Santelli's TEA PARTY.
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