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Monday, November 26, 2007
Paul Greenberg :: Townhall.com Columnist
Peace Through Confusion
by Paul Greenberg
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Let us begin with this one fact, for it may be the only thing that is clear in all the diplomatic fog that has settled over this Chinese puzzle:

Joseph Wu is an envoy.

I know that much. He walks, he talks, he looks like a diplomat. It takes me a good half-hour of asking dumb questions for him to show even the slightest trace of exasperation. Yes, he's definitely a diplomat. He speaks at least a couple of languages. (I can vouch for the quality of his English, though not his Chinese.)

To top it off, after our cordial interview during the afternoon, Mr. Wu was the guest of honor at a reception and birthday party for him at the Embassy Suites here in Little Rock. And it was held in The Envoy Room! That cinches it. The man is definitely an envoy, a credentialed representative of the government of...

Well, that's where the confusion sets in. He's an envoy, all right, but an envoy from where? From a country with no formally, officially, universally recognized name. It's now known as Taiwan/Taipei/Republic of China or whatever you prefer to call that large land mass with a population of 23 million between the Chinese mainland and the Philippines.

The regime on the mainland is called the People's Republic of China, which is another conundrum. For that regime is certainly not the people's, nor a republic, nor does it encompass all Chinese. Its name is triply contrary to fact, as in the Holy Roman Empire of medieval times.

Words are wonderfully elastic things, extending even beyond the bounds of belief, yet wars have been fought over them. Thankfully, only a verbal war is now under way between the two Chinas - although at last count the "people's republic" on the mainland had something like a thousand missiles pointed at Taiwan. But for now the two sides are throwing only communiques at each other. Every rally produces a counter-rally, every gesture its opposite but equally heated response.

The object of diplomacy should be to keep this conflict only verbal, which is why the thicker the word-fog, the better. Words become fighting words when they get specific. The longer this dispute remains one over terminology, the longer it can be cushioned by words, words, words - like a grenade swaddled in layers of soft asbestos.

At this point, it would take a Lewis Carroll to keep up with the Alice in Wonderland vocabulary in which this dispute is conducted. Consider: Not long ago the Communist regime on the mainland (which is now deep into capitalism) passed an anti-secession ordinance against Taiwan/Taipei/Republic of China/Insert Your Own Name of Choice Here.

For in Beijing's eyes, Taiwan is a breakaway province. Never mind that it was never part of Communist China. How do you break away from a regime you were never part of? Yes, Lewis Carroll would understand, but maybe only Lewis Carroll.

Whenever and wherever these two Chinas cross diplomatic paths, like a couple who live together without speaking to each other, at least not formally, an elaborate ritual has been devised.

Every international organization has to come up with its own mutually acceptable name for the country/government/place informally known as Taiwan - from the World Trade Organization to the World Health Organization, not to mention Firefighters International, the International Pigeon Racers organization, Video Games International, the Miss Universe contestŠ.

Each calls that island in the Pacific something different. It's Chinese Taipei at the Olympics and a Separate Custom Territory to the WTO. Mr. Wu's own resume identifies him as, hold your breath, Representative of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States.

Again and again the Chinese on Taiwan have sought recognition by the United Nations under the name Taiwan - a purely ceremonial demand so long as the other, much bigger China sits on the Security Council, complete with veto power and the world's recognition.

Now the republic on Taiwan is planning a plebiscite on the question of whether the island should demand admission to the UN under the name Taiwan. This isn't diplomacy so much as a publicity stunt - and a provocation. What purpose such a plebiscite would serve eludes me. It must be the same purpose little boys pursue when they tease bulls.

Strategic ambiguity has its uses in diplomacy as well as in military affairs. It sure beats the heck out of war. There is no need for either regime to be our enemy. Clarity is. The trick is to come up with a name sufficiently ambiguous to be acceptable to both sides - Chinese Taipei, for example.

At another juncture when the clash between the two Chinas was heating up - in 1958, when the shells had begun to fly in a dispute over the offshore islands of Quemoy and Matsu - an American president named Eisenhower showed the world how to cool down a crisis.

The sophisticates tended to describe the old general as just a good-natured duffer with no sense of the finer points of diplomacy. And here he was being called on to answer some all too specific questions from the press: Would the United States enter the developing clash? How far was this administration prepared to go to defend Taiwan? Shouldn't it just abandon those little islands that Beijing claimed?

Ike's press secretary, James Hagerty, was worried. The regime on Taiwan was begging to be "unleashed" - like a feisty Pekinese barking at a huge mastiff. One wrong word at the press conference, Mr. Hagerty told his boss, and everything, namely the world, might blow up.

"Don't worry, Jim," Ike assured him. "I'll just go out there and confuse 'em." And he did. At length. The man was inarticulate like a fox. And the crisis passed.

Call it peace through confusion. Which is a much better result than war through clarity.

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Well, I was taught
to eschew obfuscation. Yet I don't see rogsfoni's 10:53 parallel. True, our historic dealings with both Arab and even Central and South American states have been disastrous whenever we have deemed it prudent to remain ambiguous and even deceptive in our efforts to act in our nation's best interest. However, Taiwan and China is the best kind of problem: Somebody else's"! Our policy's ambiguity is completely understandable to both sides, and they cannot blame us any more than themselves. We didn't create the ambiguous nature of their history. We are simply a witnessing mutual trading partner, who warns against the mutual problems both sides might face economically, should they actively pursue aggressive resolution of their dispute. We tell Beijing we won't stand for bullying and let Taiwan know that our military assistance won't help their immediate trade, but hurt it. Then its their problem! All we have to do is maintain our posture.

Its like watching a juggling act: enjoyable until it encompasses you, Keep off the stage, and appreciate the ticket price and value!

Sederoff
I suspect you'd find the same thing to be true about the younger Chinese. What I have found remarkable in trips I have taken is how increasingly incongruous the perception of communism is in relation to their market economy. Many thought that Hong Kong was doomed - yet it is still remarkably free. Today, in China, one can travel through city after city, and never see a statue or photo of Mao, find young people who've never read the "little red book", and never hear a word about Taiwan - other than in reference to trade and business. Perhaps Taiwan matters, but not at the cost of world opinion or building the country. It's as if the political class needs to keep reminding the public about the issue - or it would be entirely forgotten, or worse yet, ignored.

Nam65-66
Cowboys and Patriots.

One thing to consider
Once the old blowhards die off, maybe cooler heads will prevail because the younger generation doesn't care that much.

I spoke to a college student from Taiwan about a year ago. I asked if the whole conflict increased the anxiety of the citizens of Taiwan making it hard to live there. She said, "No, not really. It's been going on for so long that the people of Taiwan basically ignore it all." And that is the crux of the whole matter. How long can mainland China do their saber rattling before everyone, even the communists themselves, become desensitized and accept that it’s all just a game?

China
If Hillebeast becomes Prersident we want have to worry about China, she will just finish what her husband was doing. Sell the rest of AMERICA to CHINA and we will become ONE. Then the Hillebeast can move to another country and mess it up. This is why the DEMS are pushing for a more SOCIALIST country. That way they can sell us out and lie about it at the same time. Remember if you state it enough(DEM PLOY) people will start believing in it.

Peace through confusion
Clarity, not confusion, is what is necessary in international affairs. Confusion kicks the ball down the road so that problems which could have been handled with sticks and stones, end up being settled with atomic weapons.

The middle East is a good example of this. We have trained thugs through forebearance (fog, confusion) so that they eventually become strong enough to represent mortal danger.
Leon

Kepha
You're right. However, as I recall, the people on Taiwan were treated as second class citizens by Chang and his group for a very long time. Nor, I suspect, did they have much to say about it when Chang arrived.

As far as Hunter's position, if the allegations of Taliban/Saddam support are true, then it could be refused. However, the Taliban obviously never went very far down the road to surveillance, and Saddam's defense was considered very second rate.

If the issue were only whether or not foreign countries could acquire US companies, components of which have defense contracts, then that would be an issue of national security - and would likely be reveiwed.

However, the world-wide integration of the financial and business community is increasingly frustrating the ability of governments to control these things.

If a Europeon company buys a US company, we might scrutinize it. But if a Chinese buys a Europeon company which 5 years ago bought a US company - we probably have very little say.

Eben, you blew it.
Eben, the government of Taiwan prior to Chiang's retreat there in 1949 was a provincial government of the Republic of China, for Japan had retroceded Taiwan to China in 1945 (they took it from China in 1895). Hence, Taiwan and a few Fujianese Islands (Jinmen and Mazu) are the rump of the Republic of China founded in 1911.

Do you agree with Hunter?
HUNTER CALLS ON ROMNEY TO OPPOSE BAIN PARTNERSHIP WITH CHINESE COMPANY

San Diego, CA - - - Presidential candidate and current Ranking Member of the House Armed Services Committee, Congressman Duncan Hunter, today called on former Governor Mitt Romney to send a “clear statement” to the leadership of the company he founded, Bain Capital, to terminate a proposed business deal with a controversial Chinese corporation seeking to acquire U.S. defense contractor 3COM. Bain Capital is attempting to form a business arrangement with Huawei Corporation, a Chinese corporation founded by an officer of the Peoples Liberation Army of Communist China, which faces allegations of assisting Saddam Hussein in the targeting of U.S. aircraft and in helping the Taliban develop surveillance equipment.

READ MORE

http://controlcongress.com/uncategorized/hunter-calls-on-ro mney-to-oppose-bain-partnership-with-chinese-company




Time will tell.
The author also does not mention the fact that whereas Taiwan has never been a part of the current Chinese nation - it was at one time. Similarly, when Chang and his army were defeated on the mainland, they decamped to Taiwan, where they took over the island and the government that existed at that time. There was no election by the people who lived there, and no choice. For many years, Chang and his followers dominated the island and the people who lived there. Now, that era has passed, and they do have equality with those who left the mainland - and do vote. I suspect that this will resolve itself over time. The Chinese have adopted a market economy, and capitalism is the beginning of democracy. It may take another 50 years until a majority of the Chinese are moved into the middle class, but in all other countries where capitalism has been adopted - those countries ultimately also became democracies. Once this has transpired, then it will be likely that the objections of the Taiwanese will begin to disappear. And, some have already gone as the Chinese have demonstrated in Hong Kong that they can incorporate an area with a democractic form of government without comptletely turning it upside down.

Time will tell.

Sometimes wars are necessary...
...and sometimes they ain't.But the people who make that decision are the one's who are alive at the time and their movers and shakers.i.e. their leaders.Results are judged by historians not yet born.But life is for the living,not the one's who have lived or not yet born.That is the way it is and always will be.

Meanwhile,who do you think is going to go to the Super Bowl?

Denial

Denial (Don’t Even Notice I Am Lying) has kept many a failed relationship lingering on. "Neither one of us wants to be the first to say goodbye." Gladys Knight. A troubled relationship could go a number of ways: reconciliation and happily ever after, till death do we suffer, murder in the first degree... Whatever the outcome of a personal relationship, world peace is usually not affected. But China and [insert name] is a different story.

I'm not convinced that delaying the inevitable outcome between China and [insert name] is a good thing or a bad thing? Should cooler minds prevail after the stalemate, then it’s a good thing. Should emotions (and rockets) flare after years of suppression, then that’s probably not a good thing?

In the meantime, the political face-saving goes on, and on, and…

The situation remains precarious at best. My question is what role will the USA play should it come to fisticuffs? More shall be revealed…

http://klintons.com
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