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Monday, September 17, 2007
Paul Greenberg :: Townhall.com Columnist
Economics vs Politics
by Paul Greenberg
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What was the biggest suprise of Election Day?



With gasoline prices now only medium outrageous, Gentle Reader may have forgotten how eager politicians were last year to find someone to blame when the pain at the pumps was off the charts.

The usual congressional investigation was hastily called, the usual outrage expressed, and the usual suspicions voiced with the usual lack of any economic effect. Then the political ritual was concluded, prices fell in the normal course of economic events, and few now ask whether there was anything to all that talk. It's a question worth asking as a lesson in politics - and economics.

Mark Pryor, the junior senator from Arkansas, was one of those making roundhouse accusations back then. In search of the nearest scapegoat for high oil prices, he settled for the same old one: dastardly Big Oil. The senator was out to protect us, so he said, from "the greed and profiteering in the oil marketplace" - not to mention economic literacy.

So what happened? Even though Sen. Pryor joined a number of his colleagues in trying to bully the Federal Trade Commission into cooking up some evidence to back up his conspiracy theory, all the FTC could do was reach the same conclusion it usually does: There was no substance to his charges.

Once again the bogeyman turns out to be nothing more sinister than the law of supply and demand. Sure enough, when supply dwindles and demand goes up,so do prices. Big surprise.

But every time gas prices go up, a certain kind of politician is shocked, shocked! Or at least pretends to be. And demands an investigation. Which is a lot easier than taking Economics 101 all over again.

Naturally the politician blames some vague, amorphous monster out there like Big Oil rather than the real-life owner-operator of your neighborhood filling station. After all, the little guy votes.

And it's too much trouble to think this thing through - as Henry Hazlitt did in his dandy little primer, "Economics in One Lesson."

To quote Mr. Hazlitt, "we cannot hold the price of any commodity below its market level without in time bringing about two consequences. The first is to increase the demand for that commodity. Because the commodity is cheaper, people are both tempted to buy, and can afford to buy, more of it. The second consequence is to reduce the supply of that commodity. Because people buy more, the accumulated supply is more quickly taken from the shelves of merchants. But in addition to this, production of that commodity is discouraged."

Gosh, just like gasoline last year.

If there's an avaricious cartel setting oil-and-gas prices, it's called OPEC. But oil sheikhs and Venezuelan caudillos are scarcely subject to a congressional investigating committee.

If there's a conspiracy at work here, it's the dismal science itself -economics. It's been refuting demagogues ever since they've been taking advantage of our anger, suspicion and ignorance. Hey, somebody's got to be blamed when we're unhappy. Especially somebody rich and powerful. What better scapegoat than Big Oil?

The art and science of economics may never be as simple or dramatic as Mark Pryor's populist rhetoric. But the study of economics may have the great advantage of clarifying things rather than hopelessly muddling them. Attached as we all may be to our own favorite conspiracy theory, along comes an actual investigation, and it goes poof. Which is just what's happened,again, to Mark Pryor's. Continued...

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Doc - oil profits
Not only are the profits devalued when put into dollars but, they are from the oil prices controlled by the bidders who in turn are bidding higher and higher because 80% of all oil reserves are in "state controlled" fields around the world. They depend on high oil prices to fund their governments and thus, any decline in demand is met with a decline in production. Now, however, with India and China and much of Asia in double digit growth for demand of oil, they only have to keep the increase of production to just at demand rates or slightly below to keep the price high.

We are funding Iran, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela with oil sales and the lower their production, the longer their fields last and the money for the oil in them, flows in. We depend on oil sales in dollars to prop the dollar up. The dollar's value is only based on demand for it. As a nation we owe more than we own now, (GAO report 2007) and only demand keeps the dollar at even current value levels. Much of that demand comes because other nations need dollars to buy oil with. OPEC agreed to sell oil in only dollars if we would protect them (1971) when the dollar was collapsing. We needed to keep buying foreign oil to keep that demand for oil being sold in dollars high enough that they would only sell oil in dollars. If we became oil independent, they would have no reason to sell in dollars and our currency would collapse almost overnight.

CAN
Anyone please explain all the stupid arse high profits the oil co. are making? I am also a knuckle dragging capitalist and I am all for free enterprise, MAKES THE FREE WORLD GO ROUND, but how bout you make a fair profit and i don’t go broke driving to work.
P.S. this also has to do with food prices EVERYTHING moves by a truck, sooner or later.
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