Month after month, official Washington downplayed the trickle and then
constant stream of bad news out of Iraq, content to advertise hopeful signs
like free elections. But even this president finally had to face the bloody
facts and draw the obvious conclusion: The coalition of the ever less
willing in Iraq was losing the war. And to leave the conduct of this war to
the same generals with the same minimal strategy would lead to the same
defeat.
Something new was called for, anything new. So the old approach has been
shelved, and the old generals eased aside or kicked upstairs. Their old
assurances had long since ceased to assure. (Why one of them - George Casey
- is being nominated for Army chief of staff mystifies. Why reward failure?)
A new commanding general now has been called in, complete with a new
strategy and a new team of subordinates to carry it out. His approach is an
open book, specifically the U.S. Army's new counter-insurgency (COIN) manual
published just last month. The new commander - Lt. Gen. David H. Petraeus,
Ph.D. - should know it well; he was the strategist responsible for putting
it together.
The new manual lays out the challenge now facing American forces and our
allies in Iraq, and how Gen. Petraeus proposes to respond to it: Clear and
hold enemy strongholds. We've cleared them before, but
neglected to hold them. The general does not propose to repeat that
strategic error. His aim will be to isolate the enemy from popular support.
He understands that not all the insurgents can or need be killed or captured
to achieve that aim - so long as they are neutralized.
Already the first tentative but hopeful results of such a strategy are being
reported in Baghdad, where leaders of Moktada al-Sadr's murderous Mahdi Army
are being rounded up. Armed gangs are disappearing from the streets of Sadr
City as they go into hiding. Meanwhile, Sunni terrorists try to kill as many
innocent civilians as possible in hopes of keeping the sectarian violence
going, the country ungovernable, and American public opinion demoralized.
As the debate over the war mounts this week, here is what may be the most
relevant excerpt from the new counter-insurgency manual, with emphasis
added:
"Most enemies either do not try to defeat the United States with
conventional operations or do not limit themselves to purely military means.
They know that they cannot compete with U.S. forces on those terms.
Instead, they try to exhaust U.S. national will, aiming to win by
undermining and outlasting public support."
Militarily, the new strategy may work, but only if given time, patience and
support. But what about politically? None of the lessons from this new
manual will avail if the war isn't won on the decisive front in any such
conflict: the home front. That is where another war was lost, the one in
Vietnam.
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