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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Paul  Edwards :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Coming U.S. Drought (Is Here)
by Paul Edwards
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Joel Belz, in the current issue of World magazine, compiles a list of “big problems facing our society”—a list, perhaps, not unlike one you and I might compile:

When I asked a group of friends a few days ago what issues came first to their minds in terms of the big problems facing our society, the answers were not surprising. International terrorism; the war in Iraq; the scourge of abortion; the definition and disintegration of the family; genocide in Sudan; the monopoly of secularist, statist education; a dismaying electoral process in the United States—it didn't take this alert group long to assemble a list of nearly 20 gloomy things to think about.

Interestingly, Belz found the list lacking in at least one major issue of concern:

To all that darkness, I added still one other possible cause for dismay: drought in the United States. And I suggested that just one more year of shortfall in the usual rain patterns in big regions of the country might well lead to social disruptions of a kind that would eclipse our concern for the list we first assembled.

My guess is drought wasn’t on your list of gloomy things to think about, either.

Let’s be clear: we’re not talking about a potential drought, but a very real and present drought in highly populated areas of the United States. The governor of Georgia recently declared a state of emergency in 85 of the state’s 159 counties “where rainfall the last few years has been about half of what is normal.” The state of Georgia has now mandated a 10 percent reduction in water use by force of law with fines levied for non-compliance. And according to Belz, there have been “hints that the National Guard might have to be called out to enforce the conservation measures”—an indication of just how serious this drought has become.

The University of Nebraska at Lincoln monitors the severity of the drought in the country at their U.S. Drought Monitor website. The image map is alarming.

Belz observes:

We humans can drill deeper for oil and gas, and we can build higher kilowatt electrical generators, and we can print money to bluff our way through an economic crisis. We can even, when desperation sets in, send a surge of soldiers to Iraq. But no one has figured out a way yet to hook a fleet of 747s to a bank of rain clouds, tow them to Georgia, Arizona, or southern California's wildfires, and flip a switch to make those clouds drop their rain. Continued...

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About The Author

Paul Edwards is the host of The Paul Edward Program and a pastor. His program is heard daily on WLQV in Detroit and on godandculture.com

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Reply to thickasabrick
I agree with your points about the need to conserve natural resources. However, you make the mistake of ascribing the cause to an economic system. The true cause is the human nature's affinity for selfishness. This transcends economic theory. By your argument, China or the Former Soviet Union would be an ecological paradise, instead of ticking, toxic time bombs. Granted, China has moved away from "pure" communism toward some quasi fascist system.

Your island example is just exploitation of an indigenous population and their private property by some powerful entity that was likely aided by a government agent. Change the island to the area about to be flooded by the Three Gorges Dam project and you get my point.

In any case, the good times are likely to be coming to an end. Whether it is "peak oil" or ground water contamination, we will be facing tough times down the road. Most Americans lack survival skills and do little to prepare. I intend to save enough from my current career to build a sustainable homestead in the hinterlands and raise my kids there.

I suggest reading "Crunchy Cons" and "Deep Economy."

contd...
One flaw in capitalism is that it does not handle the case where individual actions are relatively harmless, but are collectively harmful to people removed in space (like next country) or time (like next generation). For example, it is harmless for you to catch a fish and sell it for a profit, but if everyone goes fishing then the waterhole is soon fished out. Once the fish are gone, no market force is necessarily going to put them back out of some sense of guilt for the plight of the next generation. The future generation, on the other hand, can apply no market forces to the people who caused the problem in the first place.

Also, conventional economic theory is not capable of balancing the books for allocation of finite resources. For example, an inhabited island is found to be made of guano, so the inhabitants are relocated to a nearby island, and the island is mined until it lies below sea level. Sure, people got rich, everyone had a full belly from the bumper crops, and nobody got hurt. Today, that is. Tomorrow, after the rich people's trinkets have rusted, bellies are empty again, and the poor suckers who sold their island have nowhere to really call home, one has to ask was that the best use of the land?

Capitalists rightly point out that the system has served mankind the best of any, however nobody ever seems to ask if we actually need to exploit the earth any more than we already do. I have a big house now and all sorts of stuff which I never had before, but I am no happier than when I had my little 15 square house and a rusty Chrysler. Capitalism is, like fire, a good servant and a lousy master.
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