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Saturday, October 21, 2006
Paul Driessen :: Townhall.com Columnist
The real climate change catastrophe
by Paul Driessen
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Opposition to hydroelectric projects (damming rivers) and nuclear power (radioactive wastes) likewise perpetuates endemic Third World poverty. So would a new European Union proposal to tax imports from China, India and other poor countries that are exempt from the Kyoto Protocol, because this gives them an “unfair trade advantage” over EU countries that are struggling to meet their Kyoto #1 commitments.

But UK Climate Change Minister Ian Pearson insists that climate change “is one of the most pressing issues facing countries in sub-Saharan Africa.” And environmental zealots blame malaria rates on climate change, to deflect charges that their callous opposition to insecticides is killing African babies.

Elsewhere, government and private studies calculate that the Protocol would cost the United States up to $348 billion in 2012. The average American family of four would pay an extra $2,700 annually for energy and consumer goods, and in US minority communities, the climate treaty would destroy 1.3 million jobs and “substantially affect” standards of living.

Yet, even perfect compliance with Kyoto would result in Earth’s temperature being only 0.2 degrees F less by 2050 than under a business-as-usual scenario. Assuming humans really are the culprits, actually controlling theoretical global temperature increases would require 40 Kyoto treaties – each one more restrictive, each one expanding government control over housing, transportation, heating, cooling and manufacturing decisions.

The real danger is that we will handcuff economies and hammer poor families, to promote solutions which won’t solve a problem that the evidence increasingly suggests is moderate, manageable and primarily natural in origin.

The real catastrophe is that we are already using overwrought claims about a climate cataclysm to justify depriving Earth’s most impoverished citizens of electricity and other modern technologies that would make their lives infinitely better.

Real ethics and social responsibility would weigh these costs and benefits, foster robust debate about every aspect of climate change, ensure continued technological advancement, and give a seat at the decision table to the real stakeholders: not climate alarmists – but those who have to live with the consequences of decisions that affect their access to energy, health, hope, opportunity and prosperity.

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About The Author
Paul Driessen is senior policy adviser for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), which is sponsoring the All Pain No Gain petition against global-warming hype. He also is a senior policy adviser to the Congress of Racial Equality and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green Power - Black Death.

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Straw Man Agument
Mr Driessen claims
'Proclaiming that “climate change is real” ignores Earth’s constant, natural warming and cooling.'

This is a fallacy! The argument is not that the earth's climate hasn't changed in the past, or won't change in the future. In-fact the evidence is that the past climate has changed much more that would be liveable in by humans. The argument is that the rapidity and extent of climate change has altered enormously. I refer you
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/images/c/c1/2000_Year_Tempe rature_Comparison.png
The recent anomalous temperature increase cannot be reasonably accounted for without the increases in atmospheric CO2. It is true that the solar link has not been properly established, but it's not for the want of trying. The mechanism is not well understood and there is insufficient evidence to show that solar output is increasing. The most trusted studies show that output is declining, or is at a minimum. At most, the solar contribution to recent warming is small, rather less than that of CO2.

Debate - or Science
One gets the distinct impression from Driessen that he considers that debate is a substitute for science. I don't think this is a line of argument that can be taken seriously.

Mr Driessen claims
'Asserting “the science is settled” ignores the debate that still rages.'

But what is the nature of the so-called debate?
Amongst most scientists, the debate is about minor details. The tiny minority of scientists who are arguing that man is not responsible seem mostly [if not all] to be funded by the fossil-fuel industry via self-proclaimed 'independent' think-tanks like the Heartland, Cato or the George C. Marshall Institutes (there are many others).
Note that this small cadre of scientists are not all climatologists and they mostly publish their spurious scientific arguments in NewsWeek, the Wall Street Journal and other non-scientific outlets. They are mostly not doing any research. There is only a tiny amount of science to support them, but there is a lot of fossil-fuel money ( mostly oil and coal)!
http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/global_warming/exxon _report.pdf
http://www.exxonsecrets.org

The majority of climate scientists agree largely with the IPCC reports.
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html
http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/index.htm

The evidence of GW is 'unequivocal' – IPCC.

'The understanding of anthropogenic warming and cooling influences on climate has improved since the TAR, leading to very high confidence [at least 9 out of 10] that the global average net effect of human activities since 1750 has been one of warming, with a radiative forcing of +1.6 [+0.6 to +2.4] W m–2 (see Figure SPM.2). {2.3., 6.5, 2.9}' - IPCC
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