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Friday, November 02, 2007
Pat Buchanan :: Townhall.com Columnist
Sinking Currency, Sinking Country
by Pat Buchanan
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U.S. diplomats stationed overseas, students and businessmen are already facing tougher times.

U.S. foreign aid does not go as far as it did. And there is an element of comedy in seeing the United States going to Beijing to borrow dollars, thus putting our children deeper in debt, to send still more foreign aid to African despots who routinely vote the Chinese line at the United Nations.

The Chinese, whose currency is tied to the dollar, and Japan will continue, as long as they can, to keep their currencies low against the dollar. For the Asians think long term, and their goals are strategic.

China -- growing at 10 percent a year for two decades and now growing at close to 12 percent -- is willing to take losses in the value of the dollars it holds to keep the U.S. technology, factories and jobs pouring in, as their exports capture America's markets from U.S. producers.

The Japanese will take some loss in the value of their dollar hoard to take down Chrysler, Ford and GM, and capture the U.S. auto market as they captured our TV, camera and computer chip markets.

Asians understand that what is important is not who consumes the apples, but who owns the orchard.

Other nations that have kept cash reserves in U.S. Treasury bonds and T-bills are watching the value of these assets sink. Not fools, they will begin, as many already have, to divest and diversify, taking in fewer dollars and more euros and yen. As more nations abandon the dollar, its decline will continue.

The oil-producing and exporting nations, with trade surpluses, like China, have also begun to take the stash of dollars they have and stuff them into sovereign wealth funds, and use these immense and growing funds to buy up real assets in the United States -- investment banks and American companies.

Nor is there any end in sight to the sinking of the dollar. For, as foreigners demand more dollars for the oil and goods they sell us, the trade deficit will not fall. And as the U.S. government prints more and more dollars to cover the budget deficits that stretch out -- with the coming retirement of the baby boomers -- all the way to the horizon, the value of the dollar will fall. And as Ben Bernanke at the Fed tries to keep interest rates low, to keep the U.S. economy from sputtering out in the credit crunch, the value of the dollar will fall.

The chickens of free trade are coming home to roost.

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About The Author
Pat Buchanan is a founding editor of The American Conservative magazine, and the author of many books including State of Emergency: The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America .
 
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©Creators Syndicate
petro-dollars
The dollar is used to trade for oil. Practically all oil contracts are negotiated in dollars. There is approx. 15 trillion (with a T) dollars in existence. And over 90% of that is held outside of this country for oil trading aka petrodollars. If the value of he dollar falls too much or too fast, oil contracts will be negotiated in a stronger, more stable currency. Without an incentive to hold petro-dollars, this money will flood back into the US driving up the price of everything. We are going to wake up and not be able to afford to live in our own country. The seeds have been sown for our financial destruction.

The Great Depression was another example of the government destroying its people. The Fed was created in 1914. It printed money. It lowered interest rates which made borrowing cheaper. Banks loved it. The people loved it. The result was the Roaring 20's. The result was the depressed 30's. Fifteen years of cheap money caused over 7 years of negative growth. Through scientific economics we have perpetuated over 36 years of cheap money (since Bretton Woods failed in '71). How many years of indentured servitude will it take to correct this mistake?

Blame it on both D's and R's
The next catastrophic event to befall America will likely be economic in nature. The public debt used to finance our insane welfare programs and our insane foreign policy, is largely owned by Japan and China.

America has been living in a dream world, where you can get rich by selling someone your already-overpriced home. Or, by buying already-overpriced homes, then "flipping" them at a nice profit to the next, bigger fool, who in turn flips them again, on and on.

Until the whole Ponzi game collapses.

Both D's and R's are equally guilty. Both have endorsed the Federal Reserve System, foreign adventures, and welfare schemes for almost a century. Finally, the bill is about to come due. We won't be able to pay.

Soon, those million-dollar homes that sold originally for two hundred grand will be right back on the market for two hundred grand. After the dollar is devalued to its true market level, those $10 Chinese jeans at Walmart will cost $40. A tank of gas for that luxury SUV will cost $150.

The coming economic correction will make the Great Depression look like the good ol' days.
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