"We are looking for big deals. The way I refer to it is
that we are hunting the elephant. But we have got an elephant
gun and it's loaded."
-- Warren Buffett, September 2002
Mission completed.
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A)
(NYSE:Â BRK-B) shot and killed a massive, $44
billion elephant with this morning's acquisition of rail
giant
Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI).
And not really
killed, of course, because Burlington Northern
shareholders are getting $100 a share -- about 30% above
where shares closed yesterday. Shareholders can opt for
either cash or Berkshire stock.
Berkshire's buying the remaining $26 billion it doesn't
already own, plus $10 billion in debt. That makes it the
largest acquisition in its history, trouncing its former
elephant, the $22 billion purchase of General Re back in
1998. It also makes Berkshire's big investments last fall in
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) and
General Electric (NYSE: GE) look like
peanuts.
Buffett's been loading up on railroads for years now. It
really
startedin 2007 with big purchases of Burlington,
Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC), and
Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP). Who knows what
he's thinking now, but the allure originally sounded
something like this:
This advantage gets cemented in stone when you consider
how darn tough it is to build a railroad. It's a unique
position where their advantage over competitors (trucks) is
growing, but the ability of new entrants to enter the
industry is held down by massive capital needs. Berkshire
co-Chairman Charlie Munger commented on this a few years ago,
saying:
Railroads -- now that's an example of changing our
minds. Warren and I have hated railroads our entire life.
They're capital-intensive, heavily unionized, with some
make-work rules, heavily regulated, and long competed with
a comparative disadvantage vs. the trucking industry, which
has a very efficient method of propulsion (diesel engines)
and uses free public roads. Railroads have long been a
terrible business and have been lousy for investors.
We did finally change our minds and invested. We
threw out our paradigms, but did it too late. We should
have done it two years ago, but we were too stupid to do it
at the most ideal time.
There's a German saying: Man is too soon old and too
late smart. We were too late smart. We finally realized
that railroads now have a huge competitive advantage, with
double stacked railcars, guided by computers, moving more
and more production from China, etc. They have a big
advantage over truckers in huge classes of business.
In other Berkshire news, class B shares will be split
50-to-1. This is big news in the Berkshire world because of
Buffett's famous steadfast insistence on
notdoing so. Continued... |