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Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Morgan Housel :: Townhall.com Columnist
Dow 10,000: What's Next?
by Morgan Housel
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Grab your "Dow 10,000" caps, Fools. The five-figure index is back.

You've probably heard by now: The Dow breached the 10K mark today, on the back of stellar earnings from Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). Traders screamed. Confetti fell. CNBC anchors giggled. I may have heard celebratory gunfire. While they may be materially irrelevant, these psychological barriers get investors riled up.

This milestone is exciting, of course. But who can forget watching the Dow fall below10,000 almost exactly a year ago? The words "shock and awe" come to mind. What was then the sign of the world coming apart at the seams is today a sign that recovery has arrived.

As an example, I found this headline from last October:

Panicked global markets reel, Wall Street plunges below 10,000 pts

And then this one from this morning:

Dow 10000: Relief, Recovery on Trader Minds

The same level, one year apart, with polar opposite reactions. If that's not a sign of the powers of investor psychology, I don't know what is. 

More interestingly, it's been 10 years since the Dow first crossed the 10,000 mark. Curious about what the financial world looked like back then, I dug up a few broad metrics for comparison:

Metric

1999

Today

GDP

$9.4 trillion

$14.4 trillion*

Unemployment

4.2%

9.8%

Fed Funds Rate

4.75%

Zilch

U.S. Population Continued...

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About The Author

Morgan Housel is a Motley Fool contributor.

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