Global snack and beverage producer
PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) posted encouraging
results for its fiscal-2009 third quarter. But despite
sequential improvement, the company will need heavy
investment to align its products with shifting consumer
trends.
Revenue came in light, at $11.08 billion, a 1.5% decline
from the year-ago period and slightly below analyst
expectations. However, a 10% year-over-year gain in earnings
per share -- $1.09 versus $0.99 -- beat expectations,
although results were helped by a lower tax rate. Excluding
mark-to-market and one-time items in both periods, EPS rose
2%. Those who prefer to pour from the currency-neutral tap
can cite a more respectable 8% increase.
Total company volume, meanwhile, edged up 1%, with snacks
doing substantially better than beverages (up 2% and 0.5%,
respectively). Yet with both categories in the black,
PepsiCo's volume improved on the
previous quarter's results.
Segment performance was varied, deserving a line-by-line
read. Among the highlights, I have to flag Americas
Beverages, where North American net revenue fell 7% on a 6%
drop in volume. At 25% of 2008 net revenue, this segment --
and its poor performance -- represents a big challenge for
PepsiCo. Commenting on the overall marketplace environment,
CEO Indra Nooyi told conference call listeners:
Now, unfortunately in beverages versus foods, there is a
free alternative called tap water, and so one has to be
very cognizant of that as we think about the outlook for a
beverage business.
The company's Gatorade brand -- its second-biggest-selling
beverage by volume -- is the ongoing subject of a brand
transformation following declines in market share and volume
in the first half of the year. Volumes for Gatorade did
improve sequentially, but I still question whether the new
"G" can be a long-term success.
On a positive note, PepsiCo's U.S. carbonated soft-drinks
portfolio captured the No. 1 volume and market-share
positions in the quarter. However, that's in "measured
channels," which excludes sales from
Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) and some other
retailing locations. In other words, private-label beverage
producer
Cott (NYSE: COT) could've put up a better
fight than those numbers suggest.
So what's PepsiCo's growth strategy going forward? In
short, it's focusing on getting the value equation right, and
providing products that offer functional health and wellness
benefits. In light of ongoing consumer trends, both
approaches appear spot-on. Continued... |