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Tuesday, January 23, 2007
Michael Medved :: Townhall.com Columnist
Mr. Bush: Surprise Us With Brevity, Big Goals, Bipartisanship
by Michael Medved
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Maybe it's not "The Most Important Speech of His Presidency" -- according to conventional wisdom, that would have been his recent announcement of a "new direction" in Iraq -- but the upcoming State of the Union address still presents a hugely significant opportunity for President Bush.

He can seize that opportunity if he sets the right ambitious, activist tone, and if he breaks decisively with the recent tradition of presenting boring laundry lists in place of oratory.

Surely, the president and his advisors understand that they must use this speech to reassure the public that the remaining two years of this administration will amount to more than gridlock, partisan posturing and polarization. The Democrats who now control both houses of Congress made a credible start with their well-advertised "100 Hours" agenda -- winning passage of a series of largely insignificant, demonstrably popular and mostly uncontroversial measures.

Some of these feel-good gestures (like the lavish funding for embryonic stem cell research) will no doubt inspire Bush vetoes. But the president should avoid making any reference whatever to these forthcoming battles. Doing so would amount to a tacit acknowledgment that the Democrats now set the agenda and that he merely responds, enabling them to focus ongoing debate on issues on which both the public and Congressional majorities clearly side with them.

In order to regain the initiative, to rally demoralized Republicans, to restore the reformist edge and ambitious conservative vision that recently have been overwhelmed by setbacks in Iraq and at the ballot box, President Bush must chart a middle course between conciliation and confrontation, deference and defiance. He can't come across like a whipped puppy that's eager to please, but he must also avoid any suggestion of stubborn obstructionism that ignores the messages of the recent elections.

To convey the right flavor of energy and engagement, the president should concentrate on three essentials for the State of the Union Address:

1. Startle the Country With Brevity and Focus

Let's face it: Most SOTU speeches are snoozers -- even when delivered by first class orators like Reagan and Clinton. All the departments of government contribute their own ideas during the preparation period, and expect some nod from the president. These stately, lumbering addresses provide pomp and grandeur and lots of opportunity for partisan applause, but only rarely can anyone remember what the president actually said.

If Bush kept his remarks to less than a half hour (including applause) rather than the customary hour-or-more, he'd throw the opposition and the media (often the same thing, by the way) utterly off balance. Rather than listing all his hopes and plans in the speech, he should sketch out broad visions -- and simultaneously release to the press and Congress far more detailed plans and proposals.

Last year, President Bush offered a lengthy list of worthy propositions covering the broadest possible range of security, foreign policy, economic, environmental, social and cultural issues. Even his most devoted supporters would find it difficult to recall any of these suggestions. At the moment, the public wants a sense of change and movement -- of logjams breaking, of progress and cooperation. The president can capture that spirit if he sketches a few lofty but comprehensible goals that people can remember, and may want to discuss the next day around breakfast tables or water coolers at work.

2. Emphasize Common Goals, Leaving Specifics to Future Fights

Even on the bitterly divisive question of Iraq policy, President Bush must affirm that he and his Democratic critics share the same crucial aims: a viable, pro-western, anti-terrorist government in Iraq, and the return of most of our troops before the end of his presidency. If he pledges to achieve dramatic force reductions within that specified time period, the Democrats won't contradict him on the desire for a stable Iraq -- even though many of them no longer believe that this long-term goal of U.S. policy is worth further sacrifice.

By the same token, the American people want to see ethical reform and a reduction in the influence of lobbyists and big business. The president should announce that he shares that desire with the Democrats, and therefore demands a new effort to scale back the biggest source of corruption: the intrusion of government bureaucracy into every corner of the economy and every intimate detail of our lives.

This speech could provide an unparalleled opportunity to link the public desire to clean up influence peddling and special interests with a sweeping new effort to scale back regulation and lawsuits and the diabolical complications of the tax system that help make the sleazy dealing all but inevitable.

Energy independence remains another area where the president can stress common goals. He's spoken at length about energy issues in each of his previous SOTU speeches, but even his surprising promotion of hydrogen vehicles made little impression. This time, he should sound an impassioned call for three over-arching aims that the Democrats must enthusiastically support -- much stronger conservation and energy efficiency, more development of alternative energy sources, and quickly increased production of domestic petroleum. He must plead for the necessary interdependence of these three goals, suggesting that an emphasis on only one or two of them will make meaningful progress impossible.

Finally, he should surprise the world and energize his base by pledging himself to work tirelessly for one of the two huge issues which Democrats assume he'll never dare to touch: entitlement reform to protect the government's future solvency, and/or radical, across-the-board tax simplification. In his State of the Union, he should get the country to acknowledge the worthiness of his broad purposes -- shoring up Social Security and Medicare to prevent their future collapse, and rescuing the overburdened American taxpayer from the nightmarishly complex process of filing returns and trying to dodge taxes. Even if the Democrats block all progress in this direction, he will still benefit by forcing them to respond to his (conservative) reform agenda.

3. Push Joint Accomplishment in Place of Partisan Manuevers

I would like to hear President Bush congratulate the Democrats on their success in the elections and their dynamic leadership during the opening days of Congress, showing that it's still possible for the system to move quickly and get things done.

"You've shown unity and dedication in setting the agenda for the first hundred hours," he could proclaim. "Now let us work together to set a joint agenda for the next hundred weeks." (And yes, Bush does have that long before he turns over the White House to his successor.)

In that context, he can place himself above partisan politics. After all, he might be the only person in the House chambers during that joint session who's never had a moment's thought of running for the White House in 2008 (the Constitution makes it impossible for him).

With Hillary, Obama, McCain, Kerry, Dodd, Biden, Hagel, Brownback and many other would-be candidates in the audience for his speech, the commentators and TV cameras will focus on them and attempt to discuss the address in terms of their prospects in the primaries. Bush should ask us all to forgo that temptation: to concentrate instead on working together to make the most of the two years left in his term rather than pushing all the problems onto the desk of the next president.

"Many of you tonight might feel tempted to look ahead to the next election in 2008," he might say. "But it's more important that we look back at the elections of 2004 and 2006, and the promises we made to the people to act decisively in their behalf. Keeping faith with the votes they've already cast is more urgent and important than angling for support in some future campaign that hasn't even started."

A few days before his big speech, President Bush received an encouraging sign that despite the increasingly vicious criticism of his leadership on Iraq, a pitch for bipartisanship and cooperation might find some eager support from the opposition party. The House Democrats invited Bush to join them at their February private retreat in Colonial Williamsburg and the president promptly agreed. It's a small gesture, perhaps, but if he alludes to it in his speech -- mentioning other battling leaders (Jefferson, Madison, Patrick Henry, George Mason, George Washington) who once managed to work together in Williamsburg in even more trying circumstances -- the little signal might convey a big message.

One final factor may help facilitate a successful speech by the president on Tuesday night.

Throughout his career, George W. Bush has always seemed energized and at the top of his game when he faced skepticism and low expectations -- in his memorably feisty second debate with Kerry, for instance, after his lame, shrugging performance in their first exchange. In 2000, after John McCain won a landslide victory in New Hampshire, Bush came roaring back with renewed fire and passion (and some say viciousness) that turned his flailing campaign around.

At this point he knows that his heavily-hyped Iraq speech proved itself a dud that collapsed with a sickening thud. After the big build-up and long anticipation, the president, regardless of the evaluation of the substance of his remarks, delivered a listless TV performance with an uncharacteristic air of uncertainty, even desperation.

He needs to regain some of his Texas swagger, and to reframe the debate in historic terms of big ideas and significant, attainable, comprehensible goals. He's done it before in some of his most successful prior addresses -- in both of his convention acceptance speeches, for instance, and his second Inaugural.

With many commentators expecting a chastened, even frightened president facing a hostile Congress for the first time, I'm betting that he manages to exceed their paltry expectations one more time. With this in mind, the crucial demand for the State of the Union Address comes down to a simple plea: Mr. Bush, surprise us.

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About The Author
Michael Medved's daily syndicated radio talk show reaches one of the largest national audiences every weekday between 3 and 6 PM, Eastern Time. Michael Medved is the author of eleven books, including the bestsellers What Really Happened to the Class of '65?, Hollywood vs. America, Right Turns and, most recently, The Ten Big Lies About America.
 
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The President Missed an Opportunity
To make the point that weening ourselves from mid east oil as fast as possible will probably defeat terrorism faster than the military approach would. By doing so, he also failed to state a clearly obvious thing we SHOULD BE DOING in the short term. That is DRILLING 24/7, 365 DAYS A YEAR, ON SHORE AND OFFSHORE, EVERYWHERE IN THE USA AND OTHER PARTS OF NORTH AMERICA.

To have soldiers dying in the mid east to protect our strategic interests (oil) there and then relinquish our resposibility to the sacrifices those soldiers are making by letting Democrats play politics and blocking domestic drilling DURING A TIME OF WAR fought for this commodity is considered treasonist by some and delusional by most.

One more
Also, as oil becomes more expensive, oil currently thought "impossible" to recover becomes economically feasible. Not to mention the possibility of substitution (eg. oil shale, tar sands and coal as alternate sources, nuclear electricity generation, where feasible hydrogen derrived using nuclear electricity, etc.) once the price rises high enough.

When was the last time you worried about a shortage of wood or whale oil? Yet both reached peak production at some point and substitutes were found. Oil will be no different.

Sorry for the typos
Second paragraph should read:

In addition, peak oil is a bit of a fable. As oil becomes harder to recover, the price rises and usage drops

Peak oil
Utahnotmormon, it is absurd to even consider "peak oil" now, while off-shore drilling is stopped many places and an entire continent (Antarctica) has yet to even be given a cursory survey.

In addition, peak oil is a bit of a fable. As oil becomes harder ro recover, the price rises and suage drops. It is the way the market works. You should read some of Prof. Julian Simon's works on scarcity myths.

Good speech (except for Katrina)
Very nice column, Mr. Medved. I know it's a cliche, but Americans are truly tired of partisan bickering. All but us political junkies don't give politics that much thought. If the rest of the country could see the two parties begin to cooperate on achieving success for our great country, success could quickly snowball into a renewed sense of pride in our form of government. Wouldn't that be nice?

As for the speech, the President did reasonably well. However, by ignoring New Orleans I'm afraid the President has most assuredly wiped out what modest gains the GOP has made with blacks. Everyone who visits New Orleans still says the place is a total disaster. This shouldn't be, America. Sure, local and state governments could be doing more, but the magnitude of that disaster requires the federal government. Rightly or wrongly (since Congressional Republicans didn't appear to care too much, I say "rightly"), the President and his party have sustained immense damage. Ignoring Katrina in the SOTU may have made that damage permanent.

to Lynne:
WHAT national security???? This President along with his administration and a whole lot of Congress have allowed our country to be overrun by illegal aliens! They have REFUSED at every turn to secure the border, but were quite quick in installing surveillance cameras and to enact illegal wiretaps, in addition to illegal searches and seizures to surveil American citizens. In addition, legislation has been promoted by this administration and passed by both parties that strip habeas corpus from American citizens. Do you understand? That means, AMERICANS can be picked up at the President's whim, thrown in a secret prison INDEFINITELY, with no due process whatsoever.

If this admninistration and one heck of a lot of Congress cared one iota about national security, they would have secured the borders after 9-11. NO, we chose instead to overthrow a sovereign nation that had NOTHING whatsoever to do with the bombing.

How can you stand behind such actions? This President is no more a conservative than Ted Kennedy or Nancy Pelosi. Look at what he has DONE, not the fact that he SAYS he's conservative. He has spent more than all Presidents before him COMBINED. Through the various non-free trade agreements that he has untiringly pushed, much of our manufacturing has been shipped overseas and along with that, one heck of a lot of our decent paying jobs.

He and his administration have brazenly stomped all over our Constitution at every turn.

Do you really want your country's sovereignty to be turned over to a North American Union???? Be quite sure, because this is exactly what this President is doing and it is very far along the path. It is scheduled to be completed by 2010.

So sit there and stick to your "party" line and betray your COUNTRY. I have one thing to ask you... where are you going to go once this country is no more.

US national security in the balance?
I suppose if you equate some of the world's few remaining mega-pools of oil as a question of national security, then this statement has some legs. Peak Oil is not some fantasy, but a mathematical equation that has variables, but a common conclusion. Bush, the oilman, surrounded by oilmen and women, is all too aware of the realities of Peak Oil, and to his credit is the only president besides Carter to alert the populace to the need to conserve what easy oil is left in the world, albeit a bit late in his presidency.
Now most people in the know understand the meaning of easy oil and that the vast majority of remaining easy oil lies in the Middle East and Central Asia. After that, it's hard oil, from shale, tar sands, arctic regions and deep below the oceans. The harder to get, the more expensive the oil. In order for economies to remain stable, much less grow, a steady flow of energy is required, so if national security means keeping our economy the healthiest in the world, then I would agree with the author's statement.

If, on the other hand, he is equating our national security with the phantom war on terror, or the "fight them there so we don't have to fight them here" nonsense, then he is only promoting a scenario that allows for the military industrial complex to continue to mold our foreign policy and economics by conquest.

Peseverance and patience
The last years of any two-term president are profoundly challenging as inveterate problems seem truly refractory. President Bush is making the case for giving Iraq the best chance for success, which only means achieving nominal stability.

It's a simple argument but one that few Americans want to hear because they are fearful that his plan won't. Most on the left will dismiss his argument despite the fact that they've not advanced any credible alternatives.

Despite his domestic recommendations, this is a foreign policy speech because it is on this front that Mr. Bush's legacy will be secured. Time will tell but no policy can prevail against an anemic electorate with misguided expectations.

Time will tell, but the challenges are clear and the future of the Middle East, and by parity of argument, U.S. national security hang in the balance.

For more on this and related subjects, please go to:

http:clearcommentary.townhall.com

Philip Mella

Oops
Oil-coal = oil produced from coal (and from oil shale).

What we know for sure
This President and his administration have no respect whatsoever for our Constitution. At nearly every turn they have attempted to thwart it, and in the rest, they have simple ignored it.

He needs to be impeached and then tried for treason.


Oh, and Michael
hydrogen power solves nothing. I wonder who told Bush the idiot it would. We need oil-coal.

Medved is for Amnesty and, probably,
open borders. I've heard Bush is going to reitroduce this idea tonight and Michael will be thrilled. Well, I'm not. Because of that I won't go along with anything he and the other NeoCons support -- Iraq, the war on "terror", support for Israel. To hell with him and Bush!

Tancredo 2008.

Swagger?
Your points are well taken Mr. Medved, but qualities
like "Texas swagger" were most effective in delivering him elections, not meaningful legislation.
He had a very tough go of it getting members of his own party in the Congress to promote any unified agenda the past six years. Do you truly believe swagger will bear him any fruit now, considering his party is in the minority ?


No Oral
George W. Bush should just write his State of the Union, messenger it to Capitol Hill and get to bed early for the State of the Union. Washington, Jefferson and many other presidents never delivered a State of the Union so why should Bush. At this juncture of the Bush presidency, the "big" speech and the whole State of the Union charade is a pointless waste of time.
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