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Friday, April 13, 2007
Michael McBride :: Townhall.com Columnist
Extending tours is an admission of force mismanagement
by Michael McBride
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In manufacturing, overtime is problematic. It is typically used to cover short term gaps in manpower and training. It usually covers the gap created between production expansion, hiring to the increased demand, and completion of skills training for the new hires. Often the duration of the overtime is calculable, and its negative effects limited.

It is problematic nonetheless. Labor costs rise by a factor of up to, or over, fifty per cent. Workers can become fatigued and their individual productivity may diminish. During extended periods demanding overtime, this often results in the combined negative impact of both higher labor costs and lower productivity. Eventually, costs outstrip margins, and overtime may not be solving the gaps in labor.

Compounding the business costs are the human costs. Aside from fatigue and weariness, workers' morale can suffer immeasurably from a perceived lack of management concern, manifested by the lack of management driven, long-term solutions. Soon the extra monies earned by overtime are viewed as uneven when compared to the sacrifices made in terms of reduced time off, increased productivity loads, fatigue, and the general loss of control of one's schedule.

Eventually demanding more, produces less.

As is will be with today's announcement by the Army that they will be extending tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Army leadership is failing to manage its part of the war, as today's announcement, coupled with rocketing re-enlistment costs, highlight. It is the abject responsibility of Pentagon leaders to develop an overall strategy for manning their service in such a way that promotes not only accomplishing the near-term mission, but the sustaining of that mission over time.

It has been clear for a while that our presence in Iraq would be required well out into the future. Our Commander-in-Chief has repeatedly reemphasized our commitment to the mission and to the people of Iraq. Manning the Army with re-enlistment bonuses and gross tour extensions, hints that Army leadership either never grasped this concept, or if they did, were derelict by not implementing long-term corrective actions…the types of corrective actions that would fairly rotate our troops into the combat zones and with adequate rest and recuperative time between tours.

Potentially worse, is that Army leadership has been counting on Congressional intervention to solve their manning problems for them. Congressional blustering over Iraq funding, may have given the Army leadership the false hope that a Congressional timeline would solve their manpower mismanagement issues for them; before they manifested themselves as the failures they are. With Presidential vetoes threatening any calendar driven withdrawals; the Army is now forced to come to grips with their planning and manning deficiencies.

The drastic action that the Army took today is the result of a lack of vision and direction from within the Army, from its civilian staff on down. The Army should have been pro-actively implementing strategies that gave individuals and combat units reasonable respites from combat, and provided adequate opportunities to re-man, re-fit and retrain, prior to returning to combat. Not only are fifteen month tours too long, but one year respites are far too short.

Army leadership has failed at its primary function…developing sustainable force structures and deployment schemes that are capable of supplying combat ready forces uninterrupted out into the future. Their failure is even starker when compared to their Marine brethren who have demonstrated a capacity to sustain combat operations with seven month rotations into the combat zones. Meeting force requirements is the leading purpose in life for staff officers, and the Army staff is showing no aptitude for it.

Today's announcements will have sent devastating shock waves through the Army's deployed units, and across their base housing units. While the Army and Marine troops deployed in the field have earned the trust and respect of the country, the competency of the military leadership in the Pentagon, specifically the Army through these tour extensions, is rightfully called into question. It seems that the failings of those in the comfortable surroundings in the Pentagon are being covered by onerous dictums that are not sustainable out into the future.

Move Army HQ to Iraq for fifteen months, it would likely generate better solutions than calling on those who have served this nation so well, to work harder.

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About The Author
Michael E. McBride retired as a Major from the Marine Corps and blogs at http://www.mysandmen.blogspot.com.

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Mismanagement
Our latest email exchange was when you advocated replacing incompetent hospital commanders with line officers. Now who in the world will you get to replace fouled up line officers? Anything in the armed forces going right for you?

"Imus"
...

Broken
At least someone is writing on why the military may or may not be "broken" as the Dems claim.

However, I still do not have an answer to the idea that we have 1.4+ million active duty, and 1.5 million reserves but we can't keep 150,000 troups in the field (and that is with many support positions outsourced to private companies).

What if Iran attacks us, Iraq, Isreal or Saudi Arabia? Where would those troups come from?

The Dems want to put troups into Dufar.

Can we only put 150,000 troups in the field out of almost 3 million service people?

Heart
This goes right to the heart of the issue.

If we can not effectively fight the war in Iraq, If this is the real limitation of our power,how in the world are we going to meet any bigger challenge?

What if we actually had to deal with Russia or China or for that matter Iran (3 times as many people as Iraq)?

The Republicans are supposed to be the party of national security and we can't even maintain 150,000 troups in the field.

It sends the wrong message at home and abroad.

The Dems are saying "the military has reached it's limits of power and can't win, so lets spend the money on welfare".

The Republicans are talking about winning and national security but Americans are watching and see limits of power?

Something is not right.

Just another Bush failure
He is the commander-in-chief. Now he even wants someone else to take that job but noone is stupid enough. Well maybe McCain.

Rolie
This action by the Army...singularly...smacks of poor generalship and staff work. I am not down on the military, but the pointy end of the spear needs, and deserves, better leadership from the five sided puzzle palace. MM

So tell me
Exactly what were the rotation times of the soldiers in Korea or WWII. I mean, how often was the first Infantry division rotated home from Italy?

That would be.... NEVER. The enlistments were for the duration of the war and the time in theatre was the same. They were rotated to rear areas for R&R, but that is all.

Folks, this is either a war or it is a game. If it is a game, it is not fun and we should stop playing. If it is a war, STFU and fight.

Military Options
Back in 1972, for both political as well as social reasons, Nixon ended the draft. For 34 years we relied upon men and women volunteers. Most Vietnam era officers who remained in the military remarked how positve it was to have enlisted men who motivated, skilled, and well educated. Since 1981, we made a decision to have a smaller, more costly military versus a larger conscript force. Since Napolean, nation states kept a moderatly sized army augmented by a huge reserve force to be used in times of war.

WWI and WWII changed drastically the way we approach war. Since Vietnam military theorists began to bandy about ideas such as information and network centric armies that relied more and more upon technology and less on mass conscripts. Nuclear weapons and missles changed a lot of people's minds about force size, tactics, and weapons systems.

Yet, no one considered how the All-Volunteer Force could remain intact during a long, low intensity operation. Since there is no declared war, a serviceman isn't obligated to remain in the military beyond his enlistment. Yes, the President can implement stop-gap procedures, but he cannot do that indefinitely. The Draft could overnight solve staffing shortages, but niether the President nor Congress wishes to send an Army level force(150,000 to 250,000 infantry) into Iraq and Afghanistan indefinitely.

The problem that both the WH and DOD failed to consider when they planned this operation was use of force. Our military was designed to fight short intense combat operations by using overwhelming force at all levels, and for a diplomatic solution that forced our enemies to give in within weeks if not days. In both cases of Afghanistan and Iraq this wasn't done. In the long run, the most humane thing to do was massive air bombardments of both the Anbar Province of Iraq as well as Western Pakistan. The air-war would have expanded as both Syria and Iran began to supply terrorists with weapons, training, and money. Out of self preservation the diplomatic solution would have been arrived at within days. Niether Pakistan, Iran nor Sryia wish to see thier nations destroyed in order to facilitate a long insurgency.

The political dimensions as well as the long term consequences should have been measured by Rumsfeld, Powell, and Ric. Powell offered nothing, and Rumsfeld didn't have most of his senior officers on board for any solution. Rice was in over her head from the beginning. Bush himself, unlike Lincoln and FDR failed to demand results from his subordinates. Now, 3 years later, we find ourselves in this quandry.

A little benefit analysis
15 months away from family is tough but so is 12 months. If it provides a level of certainty to when that soldier can rejoin their loved ones (and that certainty remains to be seen) then so be it. 15 months is still a lot shorter than the years soldiers fought in wars up until Vietnam.

15 months allows a soldiers on the ground to use what they've learned just a little longer. The additional three months may not sound like much but that's time where soldiers can share experience not only with soldiers but Iraqis who badly need to learn how to fight their own battles. Their fight won't end in the next two years or twenty. That's not to say the Iraqis aren't up to the fight, it's simply the nature of the region. Look at any country in the middle east Syria, Lebanon, Israel.

Finally don't ignore probably the primary driving force in the extension, the uncertainty of funding the additional forces to end this sooner than later. Army leadership doesn't control how much money's in the purse. In many situations they don't even get a say in how to spend it.

Give us the mission, give us the means to achieve it and avoid limiting our ability to do the job. We will amaze you.

BG
The President, had maybe 3 years ago the moral capital to aske the people to sacrifice some domestic spending for a larger military. By larger, I don't mean creation of more armoured divisions, or the creation of more special ops units as some liberals demand.

By larger, I mean the creation of more light, mobile, combat units that can operate in both an urban as well as rural areas. For the Army the 10th Mountain is a good example; Perhaps we should add another Marine Division beyond the existing 3 (This hasn't occured since WWII when the Marines had 7 Divisions). The Air Force, and Navy would be expanded to operate anywhere in the globe with greater numbers and payloads. We could bring our soliders from NATO home; these 3 heavy divisions could remain intact, and be ready to operate at short notice by prepositioning, and added air and sealift.

The USAF needs another 5 or 6 fighter wings, the navy needs increases in both sealift, air support, as well as bigger gun platforms. (Recommision the Iowa and New Jersey?).

All and all, we need to be spendning about 7-8% of our GDP on the military (today it is about 3%).

Interesting
...and good comments here, among the shallow and silly.

There are a couple of key points. First, America has never conceived of its military as having a mission of occupying and pacifying. As JP points out, we organize our military to achieve objectives with decisive COMBAT. The practical meaning of this, in terms of force mix and doctrine, has changed over time. But the principle remains the same.

What that translates into is more preparation for large-footprint decisive force, and less for large-footprint occupation and stabilization.

I can't join anyone in excoriating Bush, Rumsfeld et al for not seeing clairvoyantly what no one in American history has ever seen about the potential aftermath of decisive combat. At NO TIME have our armed forces ever been organized to perform the current mission in Iraq, nor would it have been possible to fully reorganize them for this mission in the short space of 5 years (the number of defense programming years that Bush has had to make any impact on the military).

The other point is that America's understanding of what it needs to have the will to do has not kept up with technology, and the enemy's inventiveness.

In that "good" war, WWII, the enemy presented himself in the guise of a unified nation-state and an aggressive, organized, combat-seeking armed force, with the one tied closely to the fate of the other. Attacking such an enemy where he had arrayed himself for combat, and pursuing him to his center of gravity, was an obvious exercise both militarily and POLITICALLY.

Notably, it was the defeat of two such enemies -- Germany and Japan -- that gave us the messy aftermath we are still dealing with. In this aftermath tyrants have learned to not present their armies to us for pitched battle, and even to survive the defeat of their armies in the field. Meanwhile, highly motivated extremists have learned that they can advance their own cause better by NOT turning themselves into the obvious targets that nation-states and armies are in the first place.

The success of this career has, however, depended entirely on the state of American will. We are largely preprogrammed to think in terms of fighting other nations' armies, with a heroic defense against aggression being our pretext. Because of this, since WWII, our idea of armed force, and our will, have regularly failed to extend to what is needed to defeat modern enemies.

What is needed is this: the will to take the offensive, even when an enemy's national army has not positioned itself provocatively; and the will to impose change through armed force, with the understanding that after we do so, things will actually... CHANGE. The hope that we can get the enemy to change his heart's desire, while we do nothing to change the conditions in which he makes decisions, has been the hobgoblin of quite a few American minds, big and little, for the last 50 years.

We could, for example, have defeated North Vietnam in the 1960s, if our will had extended to attacking and destroying the military and political infrastructure there. But our will did not encompass taking that measure. Most people even today remain unable to see that that is why we truly did lose -- politically -- in Vietnam (although our troops never lost a battle there).

Instead, as we are beginning to do in Iraq, we constrained ourselves to not root out the enemy in his lair. We focused on fighting him on his terms, when he emerged briefly to snipe at us.

We could fight an enemy like Nazi Germany on his terms, because such terms favored us as well. But waiting to be sniped at will never favor America. The tiebreaker here is not numbers of troops or even form of organization, it is the political will to take the offensive, rather than insisting that, as each new day dawns, we must always wait to be the wronged party in order to justify each bullet we fire.

Bush assumed an offensive posture after 9/11, taking the initiative to do more than just "shoot back." But America is bogged down now in a shortfall of national will. Frankly, having more troops in Iraq so we can clear and hold, instead of clear and fold, is not a bad idea, but it's mainly not ENOUGH. The next "North Vietnam" that we haven't defeated in this situation is Iran -- and no amount of pacifying villages in Iraq will keep the "Viet Cong" at bay unless we deal with Iran.

Our will is not adequate to that reality. US troops and a whole lot of Middle Easterners are likely to suffer for it, not because we're deployed in Iraq, but because we lack the will to resume the offensive. I suspect it will take another major terrorist attack to galvanize America into continuing to fight the war on terror with the requisite will.

Recuriting
I don't know enough to know if the military has been mismanaged or not. What strikes me as a horrible hypocrisy, endangering the lives of our soldiers and hurting our chances of success is the campaign against the ROTC on college and high school campuses. That coupled with the anti-war movement, which makes it difficult to recruit soldiers adds to the problem of not having enough soldiers and officers. To just blame the administration and the military for this is disingenuous. The ROTC issue is rooted in the anti don't-ask-don't-tell, pro gay movement. Regardless of the merits of that position it is irresponsible in light of the costs to our military men and women and to the security of our nation.

To Husker
I don't know how long rotations were in World War II but I do know that psychiatrists then working in military mental health learned that when a man in the field was promised an end date and then that end date was extended, one or more times, the likelihood of mental breakdown increased. It seems that people can stand a hard time if they know when it's going to end, but when the end keeps disappearing toward the horizon, decompensation (going crazy) is more likely. That I learned in school.

And here's something I didn't learn in school. It's personal note on the effect of long open-ended rotations. I had an uncle who served in the South Pacific in WWII. He was left for some incredible length of time manning a station single-handed---that might not be the right military words, but he was alone in the jungle for longer than he should have been. By the time he was relieved, he was insane. He spent the entire rest of his life, about 30 years, in a VA hospital and until the major tranquilizers like Thorazine came out in the 1950's, he had to be on a locked ward. Off drugs he raved and raged; on drugs he was a zombie, and that was his life. The whole, entire rest of his life. His poor young wife, a sweet religious lady, remained faithful to him, stayed married to him, so never had the children she wanted and of course supported herself however she could until she died in her eighties. Honor? Glory? The whole mess was 100% a tragedy.

I think that some people don't have a clue about what we are asking of our young men. War is not a video game to be enjoyed at home by fat men drinking beer in their recliner chairs. I was sickened by a recent post that suggested that we drop nuclear bombs on every country with Muslims living there, then the poster ended with: "Let the games begin!".

Lily
I spent 12 years in the Military including time during combat ops in Iraq, Somalia and The Horn. This isn't WWII or a massed conscript army. Most soldier involved in actual combat return willingly. You don't see recruitment problems with the combat people. The Reserves and Guard are another problem. We rely too much on them. Extended deployments, multiple deplyoments put economic hardship on these untis, as thier military pay is usually far below thier civilian pay.

You won't find any victims in the military, Lily. My father spent two years in Korea during the war, I had a brother do a full term in Vietnam as well as 2 Uncles who served 6 years before and after WWII in the Army. All are/were combat vets who faced severe exposure to long term combat. None had the problems you speak of.

Chesty Puller said it best; "We best breed a tougher stock of Americans, or some other nation wil come in and do it for us."

Rotation and more
Right on JP!!

My father was in the SeaBees and spent two years in the south pacific during WWII; the duration plus 6. My stepfather hit the beach at Anzio during WWII and was in combat most of the remainder of WWII. He came home in late '45 with three Purple Hearts, a couple of Bronze Stars, and a chest full of campaign ribbons. They had a hard life but they knew they were in for "the duration plus six". The last time he visited we talked about the current rotation policy and he said he'd rather stay there and get it done. Coming home knowing he'd have to go back would be too hard.

I don't care what kind of reenlistment bonus we pay our combat experienced military, it's not enough. Tell me what a squad of Marines is willing to give for a combat experienced Corpsman? Would you want your son to be led by a combat experienced platoon leader or a nugget right out of the academy? We just don't pay our military enough and we don't give them enough support when they come home and/or retire.

Oh yeh, it's PC to say we support our military, but too much of that is lip service. You can't bad mouth our country, belittle our Commander-in-Chief, and then claim you support the military. Those are just totally mutualy exclusive.

Chickens home o roost
There is a longer thread to this problem, remeber during the Clinton administration and Bill declared he shrank the size of the federal government? What he didn't say was 300,000 of that number was out of the military. Although I would like to blame it solely on him, but I can't he had a compliciant Republican dominated congress.

With that 300,000 add in at that time and over the years normal retirements, people deciding not to re-up, medical retirements, and your general bad-actors getting kicked out and the number grows.

Having worked with mission planners while I was in, and providing numbers for my particular career-field to the planners. It was my understanding from them that ideally for the Theater Commander what is ideal is for every pair of boots you have in the field you need three pair back home, to keep a good rotation rate, plus people get sick, injured, and unfortunately killed.

Now couple all that with a media and and the Dems insulting the military, proclaiming everything is all bad, we are Nazis, Stalinist,and act like Pol Pot (ask Turban Durbin) we are stupid, (John Kerry)our Preisdent is a liar and like Hitler, and just wanting to cut and run and not fight to win. This party has long had a disdian for the military anyway. Very liberal colleges running recuiters off the premises. And yes alot of times people that have seen the horrors of war especially up close some just don't want to deal with it any more and I don't blame them. All this has and effect on recruitment, the reenlistment levels have been high for those who know what the life is like and are really motivated in defending their country.

Remember: "War is an ugly thing, but not the ugliest of things. The decayed and degraded state of moral and patriotic feeling which thinks that nothing is worth war is much worse. The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself."
John Stuart Mill
English economist & philosopher (1806 - 1873)

WINNING THE WAR
WE WILL WIN. OUR POLITICAL LEADERSHIP IS GUTLESS, AND THAT WILL NOT CHANGE. THE TROOPS ON THE GROUND WILL FIGHT AND WIN. I WILL GO ANYWHERE NEEDED AS MANY TIMES AS IT TAKES FOR AS LONG AS IT TAKES AND FIGHT. I WILL DO MY PART, AND I DO NOT CARE WHAT THE TRAITOROUS, COWARDLY DEMOCRATS/LIBERALS DO OR THINK. THE BURDEN HAS ALWAYS FALLEN TO THE FEW. OUR ENEMIES WILL DIE OR KNEEL BEFORE US. WE WILL WIN. WE WILL PREVAIL.

Winning
I salute you Ultracon.

Been there, done that
I was deployed for 12 months and thought that was too long. I am really upset with the prospect of going back for 15 months. What if a unit needs to extend? Do we break up that family for 2 years? The Army is not taking care of its Soldiers or its families.

I have no doubt that if reenlistment bonuses and the tax-exempt status disappeared, reenlistments would drop to record lows.

BTW, where are the bonuses for officers to stay past their retention control point? I'm sick to death about reenlistment bonuses! Some of these enlisted Soldiers are making more than me when you count their reenlistment bonuses and annual uniform allowances.
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