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Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Michael Gerson :: Townhall.com Columnist
Meetings With a Murderer
by Michael Gerson
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WASHINGTON -- Zimbabwe's Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai is attempting something rare and difficult -- sharing power with the man who tried to murder him.

Every Monday morning, Tsvangirai conducts public business across the table from Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe's president, founder and oppressor. During a recent interview in Washington, Tsvangirai observed to me that the 85-year-old Mugabe "is someone who can be charming when he wants. I am on guard when he becomes charming. It is when I'm most suspicious of his intentions."

*** Special Offer ***

Mugabe has a long history of co-opting his political opponents -- or killing them. "He has not co-opted me," says Tsvangirai. The killing part is not for want of trying. In 1997, regime thugs attempted to throw Tsvangirai out of a 10th-story window. In 2002, he was charged with treason and threatened with a death sentence. In 2007, he was beaten bloody during a protest. And the presidential election that Tsvangirai won last year was clearly stolen by Mugabe.

Yet Tsvangirai is now part of an unlikely power-sharing agreement with Mugabe, becoming prime minister in a unity government. It is, he admits, a "calculated risk."

Tsvangirai describes two calculations. First, he was concerned that Zimbabweans were too weary to take to the streets to contest a stolen election. "You don't want people to reach struggle fatigue. People wanted to try this cohabitation, to ease their economic plight."

Second, Tsvangirai is making the extraordinary calculation that "Mugabe is part of the solution." While most of the rest of the world insists that Mugabe must go, Tsvangirai believes his presence is necessary "to create stability and peace during the transition." The alternative, he fears, could be a destructive militarization of the conflict. And he hopes that the aging Mugabe is considering his own legacy -- choosing to finish his career as the founder of his country, not as the villain of his country.

Given Mugabe's history, this smacks of naivete. But Tsvangirai believes he has a realistic political approach. "You don't expect people who were violent yesterday to wake up one morning and become peaceful." So his strategy is to "build institutions in the course of time" -- particularly through the process of writing a new constitution, leading to new elections. Tsvangirai talks again and again of "institutions" and "mechanisms" and "political architecture" as the methods to make democracy irreversible. His intention is to fight arbitrary and personal rule with the weapons of process -- a Madisonian response to a Neronian dictator.

Four months into the unity government, the results are mixed. The prime minister deserves credit for beginning to stabilize the economy, particularly controlling Zimbabwe's legendary inflation. In August 2008, Zimbabwe's central bank revalued its currency by removing 10 zeroes from its currency; five months later, it removed 12 more. Now the country has essentially scrapped its currency and moved to an economy based on the American dollar and the South African rand. While 70 percent of the population still depends on food aid, goods are back in the stores.

But Mugabe's ruling party remains in charge of the secret police and key ministries. It continues to harass opponents and confiscate farmland. Tsvangirai optimistically calls these elements a "dwindling remnant" -- but it hard to imagine that they will dwindle without a fight. And Mugabe has asserted his dominance with the appointment of political cronies in blatant violation of the power-sharing agreement -- so far with little consequence.

It was this point that Tsvangirai emphasized during his recent U.S. visit, calling on Mugabe's brutal attorney general and corrupt reserve bank governor to step down -- and the world to insist upon these outcomes. This represents a test for South Africa's new president, Jacob Zuma: Will he abandon the "quiet diplomacy" of his predecessor, which often amounted to permission for Mugabe's abuses, and insist that the power-sharing agreement be enforced? It is a test for President Obama: Will he pressure Zuma to do the right thing? And it is a test for the power- sharing agreement itself. A stalemate on these appointments, Tsvangirai admits, would "undermine the credibility of the new dispensation."

Tsvangirai's strategy -- using a power-sharing arrangement with a tyrant to gradually end a tyrant's power -- has little precedent of success. If Tsvangirai fails, he will be just another victim of Mugabe's charming ruthlessness. But if the prime minister succeeds, he will be an exceptional statesman, who set aside his own claims of justice for the peace and progress of his country. And he would become Zimbabwe's true founder.

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About The Author
Michael Gerson writes a twice-weekly column for The Post on issues that include politics, global health, development, religion and foreign policy. Michael Gerson is the author of the book "Heroic Conservatism" and a contributor to Newsweek magazine.
 
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He won't make it.
Neither will Zimbabwe.

Zimbabwe
Here in the UK we have a number of Zimbabwian ladies worship with us at our church, they are unfailingly cheerful but with loved ones still in taht country clearly have concerns. I am a citizen of the former colonial power and feel deep shame at the craven policies followed by the Labour Government in this natter over the last 12 desperate years. I used to think that the answer would be for someone to put a bullet in Mugabe's head, but I realised that that would give the green light to an even more oppressive regime meaning that the people would suffer even more.

For some time I, with others have prayed fervently for intervention and improvement, it seems to be bearing fruit so keep praying.

One last point with everything else going on in the world Zimbabwe slips off the agenda this must not happen.

Tsvangirai may have read Babur-nama
Babur in 1526 invaded India from the northwest (possibly aided by dissatisfied feudatories of Delhi Sultan Ibrahim Lodhi--who had already proven a useless leader already in battles with Mewar, to which he would have lost had Babur not invaded) defeating Ibrahim Lodhi rather easily despite of Lodhi's larger force.

An apocryphal story is that two extremely intelligent soldiers loyal to Lodhi unsuccessfully attempted to kill Babur on several occasions, being caught only on the last attempt. Babur, impressed with their tenacity, appointed them as his personal bodyguards--and stayed quite safe till his death in 1530 (the two men proved as tenacious in protecting Babur as they had in trying to kill him) from natural causes.

The above story may be Tsvangirai's strategy.

Gerson
a stellar piece of journalism, NOT!

the conservatives
don't care about Zimbabwe

tyler
Do you mean all conservatives, everywhere at every time? Or just the ones now? Because one conservative here does care, even if we may disagree on what terms 'caring' may mean- military intervention? Economic aid? Diplomatic pressure? One can certainly pray; I don't think that would hurt. I would have to know a lot more about the situation before I could say much more.

Strange to say, but I'm glad you posted.
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