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Thursday, November 22, 2007
Matt Towery :: Townhall.com Columnist
The Ron Paul Factor
by Matt Towery
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As we continue to poll and observe the various states involved in the early caucus/primary battles for the Republican presidential nomination, one thing is becoming increasingly clear to me: While Ron Paul may lag behind most of his GOP competitors in the polls, the intensity of devotion from his supporters makes his candidacy deserving of more attention than it's gotten to date.

His sometimes-quirky mannerisms and oddball demeanor fly in the face of what most Republicans traditionally look for in their presidential nominees. And his comments startle many for their bluntness and contrariness to long-running establishment GOP thinking.

That's exactly why Paul could have an unexpected impact not only on the Republican nomination process, but also on the November general election as well.

Consider that over 600 people turned out for a rally for Paul in Reno, Nevada, recently. The media described the crowd as a mixed group that included many college students.

That's another indicator of the potential impact of the Paul campaign. I recall in 1980 when establishment Republicans and conservatives were backing George H.W. Bush, John Connally or Howard Baker for president.

But on college campuses, the birth of the modern College Republicans movement was feeding off of the support of frustrated college students for the maverick in the race, Ronald Reagan.

Don't get me wrong. I am not predicting Paul will pull a Reagan and somehow beat out the GOP's establishment contenders. I will suggest that Paul may fatally damage several potential candidates, and perhaps the entire Republican Party, if he breaks away and runs as a legitimate third-party candidate after Tsunami Tuesday's primaries in early February.

Paul blends a unique mixture of cynicism over the health of the economy, loud opposition to the erosion of civil liberties, plus a stand as the only GOP candidate who's flat-out opposed to the war in Iraq.

Those issues unite a seemingly disparate group of voters who collectively feel that 20 years of the presidency being shared between two families -- the Clintons and Bushes -- is more than enough. They are voters who have found their mouthpiece in Paul, who's willing to voice their frustration over Republicans, Democrats and whoever and whatever else represents "The Establishment."

Paul could be deadly to someone like conservative Mike Huckabee, who is steadily rising in many polls but can't be assured of the devoted turnout of his supporters, as Paul almost surely can.

Paul's words have also taken away some of the ink that should have gone to Fred Thompson, who entered the race as the supposed "I'll say anything and throw caution to the wind" candidate, but whose measured and often boring campaign speeches have consistently fallen short of their billing.

Unlike many GOP candidates, Paul hasn't tried to have his cake and eat it, too, on the subject of President Bush. He has little or nothing charitable to say about the president. And with new revelations coming from Bush's own press secretary about "who knew what when" in the CIA leak scandal, Paul's distance seems all the wiser.

How do I think Ron Paul will impact 2008? It's at least possible that he'll fare better than expected -- and not just eventually in scattered primaries, but as early as next week in the much-awaited CNN/YouTube debate in Florida. Paul is often quicker and less plastic than his counterparts, and could do well in such a format.

But where will Ron Paul really do his damage? It could be by seriously damaging the Republican establishment his followers so despise.

How? By running as a third-party candidate. In critical "Red States," where the vote may turn on just a small percent, Paul could block any hope of a GOP victory.

That would likely mean a Hillary Clinton presidency. But it might also mean a true remake of the Republican Party for the future. The abandonment of the get-along, go-along Republican Party is something that many, including and beyond Paul's supporters, would like to see.

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About The Author
Matt Towery is a former National Republican legislator of the year and author of Powerchicks: How Women Will Dominate America.
 
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Ron Paul is the cure...
America is very sick and Ron Paul is the cure that will help to cleanse Washington of all its germs.

Neo-Cons like that tool, Sean Hannity, stand opposed to Ron Paul simply because he's against sacrificing liberty for the sake of security. I sort of relate him to the prophet Jeremiah in the Old Testament... He speaks the truth, it isn't what others want to hear, so they turn against him.

Ron Paul '08

JACOBIN/NEOCON/CFR NATIONBUILDING!!!
Fact is...we are in the middle of ????
a recession and even if the stock market appears to be up it doesnt take into account the inflation rate or devalued dollar.

With all of this Nation Building and planting seeds of democracy campaign going on...we are basically through the war in Iraq and our military and contractors are undergoing a vast reconstruction in Iraq spending away the hard earned tax dollars of Americans whose jobs are being outsourced on the one hand while the Jacobin/Neocons/CFR tells us to go get retrained or go back to school to be nurses or computer programers while this same group is attempting to insource foreigners to fill those jobs too.

The Jacobin/Neocon/Cfr folks are out to destroy the middle class in this country and they would not feel guilty if there was a permanent slave labor class who were born into this caste system and could never get out of it.

This same group do not believe in individual rights but rather in collective rights that it is our moral obligation to give up our individual liberties for the good of the collective. The Bolsheviks tried something very similar in Russia when they came to power in 1917. Basically, these Jacobin/Neocon/Cfr folks are radical liberals who have highjacked the Republican party and who are now trying to redefine the term Conservative. They are liberal Marxists
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