While the media continues to have "Obama Fever," I keep looking at poll after poll confirming Hillary Clinton as the clear leader in the Democratic race for the White House.
Let's take a look at her "secret recipe" for winning her party's nomination.
First, take a good number of prominent men who manage to break up the male Democratic vote into small pieces.
Second, capture at least 40 percent of the female Democrats who say they will vote in any given state's presidential primary.
Third, remind as many African-American voters as you can that you are still Bill's wife.
Voila -- you'll likely win most primaries.
Still, many Democrats and Republicans scratch their heads in disbelief when I suggest the foregoing scenario that could lead to Senator Clinton being nominated.
Let's dispel the mystery by dissecting our latest InsiderAdvantage poll, this one from Alabama. We asked whom that state's Democratic voters would vote for if the presidential primary were held today. Here's how they answered:
Hillary Clinton: 40 percent
Barack Obama: 19 percent
John Edwards: 18 percent
Joe Biden: 5 percent
Christopher Dodd: 3 percent
Bill Richardson: 3 percent
Undecided/Don't know: 12 percent
The poll was conducted April 30-May 1, among 500 likely Democratic voters in Alabama. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent. The data have been weighted for age, race and gender. Continued... |