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Friday, January 30, 2009
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Shelve the Stimulus
by Larry Kudlow
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Will the Dems' health care Christmas Present to America be an improvement or detriment to our health care system?


By the way, Scott Rasmussen’s latest poll shows that already -- before the new TARP money is included -- public support for the humongous stimulus package has dropped to 42 percent.

It remains to be seen whether Republicans can in fact stop the stimulus package, but that certainly would be a very good idea. The long-run financial consequences will certainly force higher future tax rates -- a prosperity killer feared by Arthur Laffer. And while all the social spending gets baked into the long-run budget baseline, the short-run implications of the plan have little economic-growth potential.

Meanwhile, there’s no shortage of alternative tax proposals that would truly re-ignite the economy. Former Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush economist Larry Lindsey criticized the Democrat package in Wednesday morning’s Wall Street Journal, describing it as "heavily weighted toward direct government spending, transfers to state and local governments, and tax changes that have virtually no effect on marginal tax rates." Instead, Lindsey proposes a big payroll tax cut that would slice three points off the rate for both employer and employee.

Rush Limbaugh also made an appearance in the Journal. He has a clever idea to give Obama 54 percent of the $900 billion package -- equating that amount to the new president’s electoral majority -- while 46 percent, which was John McCain’s electoral tally, would go to a plan that would halve the U.S. corporate tax rate and provide a capital-gains tax holiday for one year, after which the investment tax would drop to 10 percent.

It was Sen. John McCain on Fox News last Sunday who started the stimulus revolt when he said he couldn’t support the package and called for less spending along with a large corporate tax cut. Over in the House, Republican leaders John Boehner and Eric Cantor have successfully launched an opposition drumbeat by attacking congressional Democrats rather than directly hitting President Obama. Now all eyes will turn to Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell to see if he can keep up this drumbeat.

Will commonsense Americans really support a massive overdose of government run amok? I seriously doubt it. This whole story has to be completely rethought.

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Saudi Pay off
The stimulus package has gaurnteed that the Saudis will keep buy some of our debt. Note the lack of anything that suggests of producing energy.

We need a Roosevelt building plan. We need energy independance. We need self determination. What lovely campaign rhetoric. Where is the money to actually produce enough energy to get us off 1/8th the foriegn oil? Hundreds of billions and we can not produce one major power plant to lower our imports. JOKES ON US.

Our government will talk about the transmission end of the energy equation.

Wonder if it was the Saudis who made up this global warming thing. Who bennefits if we rely on sources which will never produce more than 10% of our energy needs? But Americans can be made to feel good about saving the planet.

We are getting into dangerous territory
I read somewhere that deficits in the range of 4% are OK. I don't know what the limit is, but I'm sure there is one, and it seems to me that if the growth in the economy dwarfs the deficit, as it does in most years, we're OK. I guess that among other things, a reasonable deficit can be tolerated for a year or two -- like, now.

But the 2009 deficit may be 10% or more of GDP. I would think that, basically, it's just too much, too fast.

I've also read that as long as the total government debt is well below 100% of GDP, that's OK, too, for much the same reason. But Obama is moving us quickly to where government debt is over 100% of GDP, and that scares the s**t out of me. For example, we have a national debt in the $10 trillion range, but the GDP is in the $14 trillion range. And as much as I hate it, a $20 trillion national debt might be OK if the GDP is, say, $30 trillion. But I don't know if we'll be able to absorb a national debt that is skyrocketing by $1 trillion a year or more, with the GDP stagnant or contracting.
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