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Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Shock-and-Awe Easing
by Larry Kudlow
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While energy and other commodity prices have experienced a wicked plunge since the summer, in recent days -- ahead of the Fed’s new policy decision -- the dollar has fallen and commodities have rebounded. But the question is this: In the future, will the Fed be able to unwind its huge cash-liquidity injections? The same can be asked about government bailouts for banks and quite possibly Detroit. Yes, this is an emergency. But it’s also unprecedented government intervention in the economy. How we restore traditional free-market capitalism remains unsaid and unknown. That is worrisome.

Stocks cheered the Fed’s move by rallying nearly 400 points on Tuesday. Savvy investors Ken Heebner and Robert Doll -- two financial and political conservatives -- strongly endorsed the Fed moves on CNBC. This massive easing almost certainly underscores the likelihood that stocks bottomed on November 20. Both the monetary surge and the upturn in equities are pointing to economic recovery next spring or summer.

Meanwhile, on the fiscal policy front, everyone has been focusing on Obama’s huge big-government-spending infrastructure play. But Team Obama is also drawing up plans for a massive purchase of mortgages in order to get long-term borrowing rates down to 4.5 percent -- a full percentage-point drop. The specifics are sketchy, but there’s no question the Obama Treasury, led by Tim Geithner, will be working hand-in-glove with Geithner’s former Fed boss Ben Bernanke to drive down mortgage rates and stop the housing slump.

Perhaps Bernanke himself scored a few points with his historic shock-and-awe easing move. It’s as though Bernanke is telling the new president: Hey, I’m on your team.

But I still believe the best economic stimulus would be a move to cut tax rates across-the-board for individuals and businesses. No matter how much money the Fed prints, or how many roads or mortgages Uncle Sam buys, none of it creates new incentives for private enterprise, risk-taking, and investment.

To complement the Fed’s easy money, permanent tax cuts would increase the production and investment that would soak up the excess money and create non-inflationary growth. Alas, supply-side tax cuts are nowhere to be found right now.

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Income tax cuts are less effective now
One big change from 1960 (when JFK cut income tax rates) and from 1980 (when Reagan cut income tax rates) is that today, millions of Americans actually pay more in Social Security payroll tax than they do in income tax. (Though that tends to be more at the lower end of the income scale.)

Cutting their income tax rates again won't put much more money back in their pocket to spend.

And cutting the Social Security payroll tax is out of the question, given that Social Security is having a hard enough time remaining solvent as it is.


ragtopcaddy
I have to agree with you ragtopcaddy, however, I'm afraid that we Republicans can no longer blame it just on the Democrats. We have some real sell-outs in the Republican establishment in Washington, starting with people like GWB. If we would clean our own house we would have a much better chance of whittling down the Democrats.
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