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Friday, October 24, 2008
Larry Kudlow :: Townhall.com Columnist
Reagan + Friedman + Keynes
by Larry Kudlow
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Was the Copenhagen Global Warming Summit Walk-Out a Win for the U.S.?


Back in early 1981, when I went to Washington to work for President Reagan, one of the architects of supply-side economics, Columbia University’s Robert Mundell, visited my OMB budget-bureau office inside the White House complex. At the time we were suffering from double-digit inflation, sky-high interest rates, a long economic downturn, and a near 15-year bear market in stocks.

So I asked Prof. Mundell, who later won a Nobel Prize in economics, if President Reagan’s supply-side tax cuts would be sufficient to cure the economy. The professor answered that during periods of crisis, sometimes you have to be a supply-sider (tax rates), sometimes a monetarist (Fed money supply), and sometimes a Keynesian (federal deficits).

I’ve never forgotten that advice. Mundell was saying: Choose the best policies as put forth by the great economic philosophers without being too rigid.

Of course, John Maynard Keynes was a deficit spender during the Depression. Milton Friedman warned of printing too much or too little money. And Mundell, along with Art Laffer, Jack Kemp, and others, revived the importance of reducing high marginal tax rates to reward work, investment, and risk. The idea was to make each of these activities pay more after tax, and in the process boost asset values across-the-board. This incentive model of economic growth was used effectively by President John F. Kennedy and the great 1920s Treasury man, Andrew Mellon.

During the 1980s Reagan enacted Mundell’s three-legged approach. He slashed tax rates on the supply-side and was not afraid to run budget deficits in the Keynesian mold. At the same time, Reagan gave Paul Volcker carte blanche to practice the tough-minded monetarism that curbed excess money and vanquished inflation. This eclectic policy mix reignited economic growth, and it ushered in a three-decade prosperity boom that revived free-market capitalism.

Today, however, the economic naysayers are ignoring the advice of Prof. Mundell. Looking at our financial crisis, with its deflationary sweep from stock markets to home prices to energy, they want to lurch leftward to a big-government tax-and-spend regulatory approach. Instead, we need to put all three legs of the Mundell hypothesis in place. And we’re already two-thirds of the way there.

Treasury man Henry Paulson is using a $700 billion rescue package to prop up banks with new capital, purchase distressed assets, and backstop inter-bank lending. Keynesian deficits will finance it. But it’s working. While ankle biters on the left and right have dissed Paulson’s plan, important credit-market spreads have declined significantly in the last two weeks. Continued...

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About The Author

Lawrence Kudlow is host of CNBC's Kudlow & Company

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Bloefeld
"Deficits are not relevant when you can print your way out of them. Same with recessions."

That's right. "liberals and democrats" (said with a Hannity sneer) believe that money grows on tree while "conservatives and republicans" (said with Limbaughian reverence) know that it comes from a printing press operated by the Treasury.

Abolish the Federal Reserve and go back to the gold standard would be a good start to cleaning up this mess, followed by repealing the 16th amendment. For good measures fractional reserve banking should be outlawed.

Once again, Krudlow shows himself to be a Wall Street prostitute.

Prof. Mundell formula
Is how to build a house of sand which has just destroyed over the last months. Larry god love him has spent to much time in and around government. The government is the problem 99 times out of a 100. Low taxs, very limited government, perhaps we might think about limiting the Feds to their role in the Constitution. If the government wants to do something that would help it should promote producers and discourage parasites....
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